Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 7.24 MRNA at 182.77$ per unit. Take profit: 184.9813 (1.21 %) & Stop Loss: 181.6643 (0.6 %)
Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 7.24 MRNA at 182.77$ per unit. Take profit: 184.9813 (1.21 %) & Stop Loss: 181.6643 (0.6 %)
Position size of 1322.4215 $
Take profit at 184.9813 (1.21 %)
and Stop Loss at 181.6643 (0.6 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.68 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bull_medium tf_aligned : 1 23/09 14:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.265369 15m : 0.18479 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
84%
|
23/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
82%
|
23/09 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
39%
|
23/09 18:00 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
47%
|
23/09 18:10 |
Indicators:
84729.3
-0.00674618
84157.8
0.265369
85574.5
-0.016556
84157.8
0.18479
84383
-0.00266923
84157.8
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192.41
195
0.6582
0.6617
0.3302
0.2377
0.4058
1
0.2043
0.577
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0.6222
0.6816
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0.2212
0.64
0.0573
0.5628
0.485
0.7735
0.7673
-3.3634
11.088
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:18 | 182.77000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:24 | 182.10000000 | -0.367% |
| 3 | 14:31 | 182.13000000 | -0.35% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 11:35:00 | 179.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 11:45:00 | 181 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 12:20:00 | 179.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 14:00:00 | 192.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 15:30:00 | 185.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 15:35:00 | 182.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 17:00:00 | 185.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 17:15:00 | 183.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 17:50:00 | 185.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 18:15:00 | 182.46 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 00:00:00 | 183.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 02:45:00 | 181.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 05:15:00 | 184.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 07:00:00 | 184.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 08:45:00 | 181.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 12:15:00 | 179.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 14:00:00 | 192.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 15:30:00 | 182.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 17:00:00 | 185.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 18:15:00 | 182.46 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 01:00:00 | 153.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-21 18:00:00 | 176.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-22 01:00:00 | 171.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-22 04:00:00 | 174.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-22 13:00:00 | 167.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-22 15:00:00 | 187.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 02:00:00 | 181.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 05:00:00 | 184.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-23 12:00:00 | 179.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-23 14:00:00 | 192.41 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 14:18:24 |
23 Sep 2026 14:25:00 |
6 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182.77 | 181.6643 | 184.9813 | 2 | 206.77 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 181.6643 - 182.77 = -1.1057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 182.77 - 184.9813 = -2.2113
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2113 / -1.1057 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1322.4215 | 100 | 7.2354 | 13.22 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.1057 = -7.24
Taille de position USD = -7.24 x 182.77 = -1323.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.24 avec un stoploss a 181.6643
Avec un position size USD de -1323.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.24 x -1.1057 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.24 x -2.2113 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7879 % | 130.23 % | 0 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?