23 Sep 2026 at 14:42:33

Long Trade on OURA (CatchTheWave)

With 38.38 OURA at 51.128$ per unit. Take profit: 51.5448 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 50.9196 (0.41 %)

Long CatchTheWave on OURA (23 Sep 2026 at 14:42:33 to 21:15:00 - 6 hours )

With 38.3839 OURA at 51.128$ per unit.

Position size of 1962.4942 $
Take profit at 51.5448 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 50.9196 (0.41 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade
Duration: 6 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.12
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.54
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_4h : bull_medium

tf_aligned : 1

23/09 14:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

5m : -0.059389

15m : 0.066882

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h —
1h —
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression range_medium
50%
23/09 18:30
5m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind compression range_low
46%
23/09 18:35

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.2786
  3. reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(-0.00) | regime:range_high|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bearish(-0.05)
  4. stop_price: 50.91957951
  5. tp_price: 51.54484099
  6. atr: 0.13894699636493
  7. score: 2.0004
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.4286
Details
  1. 1H
  2. timeframe : 1H
  3. ema9 : 51.4213
  4. ema21 : 51.0817
  5. ema50 : 0
  6. ema100 : 0
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00570442
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00664867
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0
  11. all_emas_in_trend : False
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.218662
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.161005
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0939893
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0544323
  17. rsi : 0.515298
  18. adx : 0.703046
  19. kc_percentage : 0.505593
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0707377
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0
  22. rvol_20 : 0.0844649
  23. rvol_50 : 1
  24. volume_zscore_50 : 0
  25. volume_vol_ratio : 1372.67
  26. chop : 36.1269
  27. regime : range_high
  28. ¸
  29. 15m
  30. timeframe : 15m
  31. ema9 : 51.402
  32. ema21 : 51.4522
  33. ema50 : 51.2784
  34. ema100 : 50.9419
  35. price_ema9_diff : -0.00533215
  36. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000974047
  37. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00338929
  38. price_ema100_diff : 0.00365285
  39. all_emas_in_trend : False
  40. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  41. ema_slope_9 : 0.0137986
  42. ema_slope_21 : -0.000658706
  43. ema_slope_50 : 0.0185311
  44. ema_slope_100 : 0.0233255
  45. rsi : 0.483218
  46. adx : 0.173664
  47. kc_percentage : 0.276732
  48. kc_width_percentage : 0.0283997
  49. volume_ema_diff : -0.681208
  50. rvol_20 : 0.00300965
  51. rvol_50 : 0.00261796
  52. volume_zscore_50 : -1.00012
  53. volume_vol_ratio : 32.7438
  54. chop : 38.6113
  55. regime : range_medium
  56. ¸
  57. 5m
  58. timeframe : 5m
  59. ema9 : 51.2601
  60. ema21 : 51.3701
  61. ema50 : 51.4623
  62. ema100 : 51.4852
  63. price_ema9_diff : -0.00257876
  64. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00213995
  65. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00179283
  66. price_ema100_diff : -0.00693963
  67. all_emas_in_trend : True
  68. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  69. ema_slope_9 : -0.0478412
  70. ema_slope_21 : -0.039357
  71. ema_slope_50 : -0.0199195
  72. ema_slope_100 : -0.00969807
  73. rsi : 0.387617
  74. adx : 0.189876
  75. kc_percentage : -0.000191404
  76. kc_width_percentage : 0.00922645
  77. volume_ema_diff : -0.885744
  78. rvol_20 : 0.0683794
  79. rvol_50 : 0.0420611
  80. volume_zscore_50 : -0.584566
  81. volume_vol_ratio : 276.603
  82. chop : 76.0047
  83. regime : bear_low
  84. ¸
  85. btc_indicators
  86. btc_indicators
  87. 5m_ema100:
    84664.4
  88. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00635587
  89. 5m_price:
    84126.3
  90. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.059389
  91. btc_indicators
  92. 15m_ema100:
    85556.6
  93. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0169641
  94. 15m_price:
    84105.3
  95. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.066882
  96. btc_indicators
  97. 1H_ema100:
    84382.4
  98. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00303515
  99. 1H_price:
    84126.3
  100. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    
                                                                                                                                
  101. ¸
  102. market_structures
  103. market_structures
  104. 1H_version: 1.1
  105. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-22 12:00:00
                        [1] => 48.982
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-22 14:00:00
                        [1] => 51.753
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-22 21:00:00
                        [1] => 50.381
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 06:00:00
                        [1] => 49.853
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 53.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8043273753528
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5575191061721
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6134435239604
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  106. market_structures
  107. 15m_version: 1.1
  108. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 00:45:00
                        [1] => 50.347
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 01:45:00
                        [1] => 50.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 06:45:00
                        [1] => 49.853
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 08:30:00
                        [1] => 52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 10:00:00
                        [1] => 51.709
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 11:15:00
                        [1] => 50.662
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 11:45:00
                        [1] => 53.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 14:15:00
                        [1] => 50.872
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 16:00:00
                        [1] => 50.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 16:45:00
                        [1] => 52.982
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1161526556189
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.82694951875861
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0699273227264
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  109. market_structures
  110. 5m_version: 1.1
  111. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 12:05:00
                        [1] => 52.175
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 12:50:00
                        [1] => 53.147
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 14:15:00
                        [1] => 50.872
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 15:20:00
                        [1] => 51.245
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 16:05:00
                        [1] => 50.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 16:45:00
                        [1] => 52.982
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 17:25:00
                        [1] => 51.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 17:55:00
                        [1] => 51.211
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 18:35:00
                        [1] => 51.331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-23 18:40:00
                        [1] => 51.128
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39547252147825
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.39704271631983
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  112. ¸
  113. market_structure_v2
  114. error : DataFrame trop court (31 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.
  115. ¸
  116. trend_analyzer_1h
  117. ¸
  118. orderbook_context
  119. obi_top5 : -0.4255
  120. obi_top10 : -0.3415
  121. micro_price : 51.14375048
  122. spread_pct : 0.068456
  123. mid_price : 51.1455
  124. bid_wall_price : 50.3
  125. bid_wall_size : 1436.81
  126. bid_wall_dist_atr : 6.0851
  127. ask_wall_price : 51.9
  128. ask_wall_size : 1678.74
  129. ask_wall_dist_atr : 5.4301
  130. snapshots_count : 5
  131. obi_top5_mean : -0.4255
  132. obi_top5_std : 0
  133. pressure_side : ask
  134. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  135. collection_ms : 6948
  136. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  137. error :
  138. ¸

Signaux confirmants (7)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 14:42 51.12800000 0%
2 14:48 51.10800000 -0.039%
3 14:54 51.12600000 -0.004%
4 15:01 51.01900000 -0.213%
5 15:06 50.99400000 -0.262%
6 15:12 50.99500000 -0.26%
7 15:18 50.99000000 -0.27%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0476
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6022
3.11%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-23 12:05:00 52.175 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 12:50:00 53.147 ↑ High
2026-09-23 14:15:00 50.872 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 15:20:00 51.245 ↑ High
2026-09-23 16:05:00 50.91 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 16:45:00 52.982 ↑ High
2026-09-23 17:25:00 51.205 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 17:55:00 51.211 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 18:35:00 51.331 ↑ High
2026-09-23 18:40:00 51.128 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.83%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0666
2.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6052
3.11%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-23 00:45:00 50.347 ↑ High
2026-09-23 01:45:00 50.2 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 06:45:00 49.853 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 08:30:00 52 ↑ High
2026-09-23 10:00:00 51.709 ↑ High
2026-09-23 11:15:00 50.662 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 11:45:00 53.15 ↑ High
2026-09-23 14:15:00 50.872 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 16:00:00 50.91 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 16:45:00 52.982 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.56%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.9376
3.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6052
3.11%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-22 12:00:00 48.982 ↓ Low
2026-09-22 14:00:00 51.753 ↑ High
2026-09-22 21:00:00 50.381 ↑ High
2026-09-23 06:00:00 49.853 ↓ Low
2026-09-23 11:00:00 53.15 ↑ High

Market Structure V2

Error: DataFrame trop court (31 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6948ms Confidence avant OB : 43% → 28%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.426
avg -0.426 ± 0.000
OBI Top 10 -0.342

Microstructure

Mid Price
51.1455
Micro Price
51.1438
Spread
0.0685%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
50.3000
Size
1,436.81
Dist ATR
6.0851

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
51.9000
Size
1,678.74
Dist ATR
5.4301

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Sep 2026
14:42:33
23 Sep 2026
21:15:00
6 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
51.128 50.9196 51.5448 2 49.075
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 51.128
  • Stop Loss: 50.9196
  • Take Profit: 51.5448

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 50.9196 - 51.128 = -0.2084

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 51.128 - 51.5448 = -0.4168

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4168 / -0.2084 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1962.4942 100 38.3839 19.62
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.2084

Taille de position = 8 / -0.2084 = -38.39

Taille de position USD = -38.39 x 51.128 = -1962.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -38.39 avec un stoploss a 50.9196

Avec un position size USD de -1962.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -38.39 x -0.2084 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -38.39 x -0.4168 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -38.39
  • Taille de position USD -1962.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4127 % 101.25 % 20

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.159
            [max_drawdown] => 0.186
            [rr_ratio] => 0.85
            [high] => 51.28700000
            [low] => 50.94200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.31
            [mae_pct] => 0.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-09-23T14:42:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-09-23T16:42:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.159
            [max_drawdown] => 0.215
            [rr_ratio] => 0.74
            [high] => 51.28700000
            [low] => 50.91300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.31
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.74
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-09-23T14:42:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-09-23T21:42:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 52.98200000
            [high_after] => 51.28700000
            [low_before] => 50.91000000
            [low_after] => 50.94200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#2 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 23/09/2026 14:00
Signal Confidence
28 % LOW
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime