Long Trade on OURA (CatchTheWave)
With 124.04 OURA at 50.119$ per unit. Take profit: 50.248 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 50.0545 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on OURA (CatchTheWave)
With 124.04 OURA at 50.119$ per unit. Take profit: 50.248 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 50.0545 (0.13 %)
Position size of 6216.9443 $
Take profit at 50.248 (0.26 %)
and Stop Loss at 50.0545 (0.13 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.58 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 29/09 16:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.4269 15m : 0.119208 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bull_high |
56%
|
29/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
66%
|
29/09 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
57%
|
29/09 20:00 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_low |
64%
|
29/09 20:05 |
Indicators:
83610.9
-0.00114435
83515.3
0.4269
83591.8
-0.000916042
83515.3
0.119208
83767.2
-0.00300793
83515.3
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-26 16:00:00
[1] => 50.231
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 06:00:00
[1] => 50
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 09:00:00
[1] => 50.17
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-27 19:00:00
[1] => 50.134
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
[1] => 49.923
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
[1] => 47.471
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-28 19:00:00
[1] => 47.647
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 00:00:00
[1] => 47.851
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 04:00:00
[1] => 46.681
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 13:00:00
[1] => 50.573
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.89771221798193
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.3648807866155
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.3374392150982
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 01:30:00
[1] => 46.974
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 04:15:00
[1] => 46.681
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 05:30:00
[1] => 47.327
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 07:15:00
[1] => 47.169
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 07:45:00
[1] => 47.772
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 13:45:00
[1] => 50.573
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 15:15:00
[1] => 49.684
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 16:45:00
[1] => 50.117
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 19:15:00
[1] => 50.321
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 20:00:00
[1] => 50.094
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.40142286520538
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.049906176388387
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.45314808160657
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 15:25:00
[1] => 49.684
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 16:15:00
[1] => 49.923
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 16:45:00
[1] => 50.117
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 16:50:00
[1] => 49.717
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 17:30:00
[1] => 49.975
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 17:40:00
[1] => 49.85
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 17:50:00
[1] => 49.85
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 19:25:00
[1] => 50.321
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 19:55:00
[1] => 50.298
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-29 20:05:00
[1] => 50.298
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35587896139012
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.049906176388387
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
49.684
171
0.713
0.6254
0.4303
0.2963
0.54
0.2735
0.2712
0.8038
0.5956
0.856
0.683
0.7796
0.2787
0.1122
1
2.2063
2.6178
0.35
0.65
1
7
1
0.4074
0.4787
6.9356
0.6
0.2735
1.8969
2.6178
0.01
0.1527
0.76
0.967
0.7812
0.5664
0.8259
0.7796
-2.4163
8.5465
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:12 | 50.11900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:18 | 50.11900000 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:24 | 50.11900000 | 0% |
| 4 | 17:36 | 50.11500000 | -0.008% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 15:25:00 | 49.684 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:15:00 | 49.923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:45:00 | 50.117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 16:50:00 | 49.717 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 17:30:00 | 49.975 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:40:00 | 49.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 17:50:00 | 49.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 19:25:00 | 50.321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 19:55:00 | 50.298 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:05:00 | 50.298 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 01:30:00 | 46.974 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 04:15:00 | 46.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 05:30:00 | 47.327 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 07:15:00 | 47.169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 07:45:00 | 47.772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 13:45:00 | 50.573 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:15:00 | 49.684 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:45:00 | 50.117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 19:15:00 | 50.321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 50.094 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 16:00:00 | 50.231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 06:00:00 | 50 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 09:00:00 | 50.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 19:00:00 | 50.134 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 49.923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 47.471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 19:00:00 | 47.647 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 47.851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 04:00:00 | 46.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:00:00 | 50.573 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 16:12:27 |
29 Sep 2026 18:25:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.119 | 50.0545 | 50.248 | 2 | 49.019 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 50.0545 - 50.119 = -0.064500000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 50.119 - 50.248 = -0.129
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.129 / -0.064500000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6216.9443 | 100 | 124.0437 | 62.17 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.064500000000002 = -124.03
Taille de position USD = -124.03 x 50.119 = -6216.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -124.03 avec un stoploss a 50.0545
Avec un position size USD de -6216.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -124.03 x -0.064500000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -124.03 x -0.129 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.008 % | 6.22 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 50.248
[stop_loss] => 50.0545
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 22:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.094999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.0039999999999978
[rr_ratio] => 23.75
[high] => 50.21400000
[low] => 50.11500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.19
[mae_pct] => 0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 23.75
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-09-29T16:12:27-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-09-29T18:12:27-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.161
[max_drawdown] => 0.064
[rr_ratio] => 2.52
[high] => 50.28000000
[low] => 50.05500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.32
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.52
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-09-29T16:12:27-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-09-29T23:12:27-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 50.32100000
[high_after] => 50.28000000
[low_before] => 49.71700000
[low_after] => 50.06800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?