Short Trade on PONS (CatchTheWave)
With 923.5 PONS at 0.546$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5292 (3.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5552 (1.59 %)
Short Trade on PONS (CatchTheWave)
With 923.5 PONS at 0.546$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5292 (3.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5552 (1.59 %)
Position size of 504.7029 $
Take profit at 0.5292 (3.17 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.5552 (1.59 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.85 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 29/09 18:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.373754 15m : 0.295798 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
29/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
29/09 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
70%
|
29/09 22:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
29/09 22:45 |
Indicators:
83540.6
0.00120004
83640.9
0.373754
83529.5
0.000652426
83584
0.295798
83790.4
-0.00178463
83640.9
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0.51322
198
0.5655
0.5269
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0.5058
1
0.1355
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0.8165
0.5077
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1
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0.5652
0.4127
3.7175
0.55
1.0404
3.7692
0.0629
0.1664
0.2538
0.88
0.1328
0.4855
0.4748
0.282
0.2234
-7.3156
2.105
1
0
1
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 17:30:00 | 0.53029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:50:00 | 0.52192 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:20:00 | 0.5325 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 19:05:00 | 0.532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:10:00 | 0.51624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 21:00:00 | 0.52923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 21:55:00 | 0.51322 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:10:00 | 0.52065 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 22:30:00 | 0.51543 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:50:00 | 0.55265 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 11:15:00 | 0.52849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:15:00 | 0.54332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 13:30:00 | 0.52791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:15:00 | 0.56395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:15:00 | 0.52092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:15:00 | 0.5325 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 0.51624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 21:00:00 | 0.52923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 21:45:00 | 0.51322 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:45:00 | 0.54146 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 12:00:00 | 0.63013 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.58152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 06:00:00 | 0.5111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 0.55129 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 15:00:00 | 0.5159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 23:00:00 | 0.54562 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 01:00:00 | 0.51519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 0.56395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 21:00:00 | 0.51322 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 0.55265 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 18:54:23 |
29 Sep 2026 19:20:00 |
25 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5465 | 0.5552 | 0.5292 | 1.99 | 0.2297 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5552 - 0.5465 = 0.0087
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5465 - 0.5292 = 0.0173
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0173 / 0.0087 = 1.9885
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 504.7029 | 100 | 923.5017 | 5.05 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0087 = 919.54
Taille de position USD = 919.54 x 0.5465 = 502.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 919.54 avec un stoploss a 0.5552
Avec un position size USD de 502.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 919.54 x 0.0087 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 919.54 x 0.0173 = 15.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.17 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.59 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 3.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4941 % | 31.04 % | 1 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?