Short Trade on MERL 30 Sep 2025 at 14:02:58

Take profit at 0.3072 (1.51 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3142 (0.74 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 30 Sep 2025 at 14:02:58

With 3416.6883 MERL at 0.3119$ per unit.

Position size of 1065.6651 $

Take profit at 0.3072 (1.51 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3142 (0.74 %)

That's a 2.04 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.192702

15m : 0.052497

1H : -0.055088

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.32
  4. atr: 0.001560965722
Details
  1. score: 1.32
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.308858
  4. ema21 : 0.31286
  5. ema50 : 0.314948
  6. ema100 : 0.311732
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00984741
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0127907
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00662917
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.000536851
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.25699
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.25682
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105577
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0235424
  17. rsi : 0.47222
  18. adx : 0.172122
  19. kc_percentage : 0.471335
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0759641
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.526299
  22. volume_ema1 : 248270.47082658
  23. volume_ema2 : 524108.53790424
  24. chop : 62.6987
  25. regime : range_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.307281
  29. ema21 : 0.306479
  30. ema50 : 0.309492
  31. ema100 : 0.315023
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0150307
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00261519
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00973436
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00991667
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0760657
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0158034
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.063011
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0679304
  42. rsi : 0.634718
  43. adx : 0.203431
  44. kc_percentage : 1.00408
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0347048
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.393929
  47. volume_ema1 : 57893.748404513
  48. volume_ema2 : 95523.181973963
  49. chop : 45.7147
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.30882
  54. ema21 : 0.306652
  55. ema50 : 0.305679
  56. ema100 : 0.30636
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00997094
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00707069
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00318199
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0180811
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.169709
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0994517
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0373093
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0100761
  67. rsi : 0.779983
  68. adx : 0.296971
  69. kc_percentage : 1.31605
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0201879
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.255235
  72. volume_ema1 : 22246.17426355
  73. volume_ema2 : 29870.072086704
  74. chop : 31.2438
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    113056
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00133333
  81. 5m_price:
    113206
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.192702
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    113508
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00265637
  86. 15m_price:
    113206
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.052497
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    111656
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0138889
  91. 1H_price:
    113206
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.055088
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Sep 2025
14:02:58
30 Sep 2025
15:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3119 0.3142 0.3072 2.04 0.04532
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3119
  • Stop Loss: 0.3142
  • Take Profit: 0.3072

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3142 - 0.3119 = 0.0023

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3119 - 0.3072 = 0.0047

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0047 / 0.0023 = 2.0435

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1065.6651 100 3416.6883 10.66
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0023

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0023 = 3478.26

Taille de position USD = 3478.26 x 0.3119 = 1084.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.3142

Avec un position size USD de 1084.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0023 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0047 = 16.35

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.35$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3478.26
  • Taille de position USD 1084.87
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.35
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0435

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.51 % 16.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.74 % 7.86 $
PNL PNL %
16.06 $ 1.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4489 % 60.88 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

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    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3073
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.30615
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.305
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
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            [take_profit] => 0.30385
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3027
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.30155
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3004
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.29925
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2981
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
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            [take_profit] => 0.29695
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
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            [take_profit] => 0.2958
            [stop_loss] => 0.3142
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 19:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
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    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0109
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0014
            [rr_ratio] => 7.79
            [high] => 0.31330000
            [low] => 0.30100000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.79
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-30T14:02:58-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-30T16:02:58-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0163
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0014
            [rr_ratio] => 11.64
            [high] => 0.31330000
            [low] => 0.29560000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.23
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-30T14:02:58-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-30T21:02:58-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.31210000
            [high_after] => 0.31330000
            [low_before] => 0.30040000
            [low_after] => 0.29560000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)