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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 30 Sep 2025 at 14:09:11

Take profit at 0.3076 (1.44 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3143 (0.7 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 30 Sep 2025 at 14:09:11

With 3557.1636 MERL at 0.3121$ per unit.

Position size of 1110.1908 $

Take profit at 0.3076 (1.44 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3143 (0.7 %)

That's a 2.05 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.187858

15m : 0.034991

1H : -0.024025

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.32
  4. atr: 0.001499321896
Details
  1. score: 1.32
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.308898
  4. ema21 : 0.312878
  5. ema50 : 0.314955
  6. ema100 : 0.311736
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0103641
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0127202
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00659618
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0011657
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.255944
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.256351
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105372
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0234369
  17. rsi : 0.474638
  18. adx : 0.172122
  19. kc_percentage : 0.478972
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0759154
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.516322
  22. volume_ema1 : 253814.8017428
  23. volume_ema2 : 524760.81212968
  24. chop : 62.6987
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.307321
  28. ema21 : 0.306497
  29. ema50 : 0.3095
  30. ema100 : 0.315027
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0155494
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00268622
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00970071
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00929425
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0771604
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.01531
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0628014
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0678265
  41. rsi : 0.638314
  42. adx : 0.203431
  43. kc_percentage : 1.0208
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0346826
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.340392
  46. volume_ema1 : 63438.079320737
  47. volume_ema2 : 96175.456199401
  48. chop : 45.7147
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.309396
  52. ema21 : 0.307106
  53. ema50 : 0.305892
  54. ema100 : 0.306315
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00873761
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00745757
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00396773
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0188832
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.177449
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.109243
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.044267
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0150374
  65. rsi : 0.784985
  66. adx : 0.317863
  67. kc_percentage : 1.31943
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0190545
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.33596
  70. volume_ema1 : 19732.538847479
  71. volume_ema2 : 29715.93339903
  72. chop : 31.5435
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    113049
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00164972
  78. 5m_price: 
    113236
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.187858
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    113508
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00240247
  83. 15m_price: 
    113236
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.034991
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111656
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.014147
  88. 1H_price: 
    113236
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.024025
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Sep 2025
14:09:11		 30 Sep 2025
15:15:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3121 0.3143 0.3076 2.05 0.04445
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3121
  • Stop Loss: 0.3143
  • Take Profit: 0.3076

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3143 - 0.3121 = 0.0022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3121 - 0.3076 = 0.0045

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045 / 0.0022 = 2.0455

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1110.1908 100 3557.1636 11.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0022

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0022 = 3636.36

Taille de position USD = 3636.36 x 0.3121 = 1134.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 3636.36 avec un stoploss a 0.3143

Avec un position size USD de 1134.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3636.36 x 0.0022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3636.36 x 0.0045 = 16.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.36$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3636.36
  • Taille de position USD 1134.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.36
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0455

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.44 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.7 % 7.83 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3845 % 54.55 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3077
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3066
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3055
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3044
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3033
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3022
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3011
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2989
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2978
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 16:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2967
            [stop_loss] => 0.3143
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-09-30 18:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0111
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0012
            [rr_ratio] => 9.25
            [high] => 0.31330000
            [low] => 0.30100000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.56
            [mae_pct] => 0.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-09-30T14:09:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-30T16:09:11-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0165
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0012
            [rr_ratio] => 13.75
            [high] => 0.31330000
            [low] => 0.29560000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.75
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-09-30T14:09:11-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-09-30T21:09:11-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.31210000
            [high_after] => 0.31330000
            [low_before] => 0.30040000
            [low_after] => 0.29560000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)