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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 17:58:01

Take profit at 330.4189 (0.12 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9906 (0.058 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 17:58:01

With 41.9807 MSTR at 330.8$ per unit.

Position size of 13887.2188 $

Take profit at 330.4189 (0.12 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9906 (0.058 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.51
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.437289

15m : 0.222906

1H : -0.058142

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.54
  4. atr: 0.1270424762
Details
  1. score: 1.54
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.76
  4. ema21 : 331.663
  5. ema50 : 337.827
  6. ema100 : 343.159
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00315337
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00573858
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0182472
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0360176
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0770332
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102349
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.117761
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0852943
  17. rsi : 0.452869
  18. adx : 0.309585
  19. kc_percentage : 0.435007
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0301622
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.125709
  22. volume_ema1 : 170547.53775471
  23. volume_ema2 : 151502.29356194
  24. chop : 32.8476
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 330.289
  28. ema21 : 329.745
  29. ema50 : 330.195
  30. ema100 : 330.788
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00154482
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00164943
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00136049
  34. price_ema100_diff : 3.44965E-5
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0482904
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0231833
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00263763
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0056101
  41. rsi : 0.580408
  42. adx : 0.185737
  43. kc_percentage : 0.908614
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00771346
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.950647
  46. volume_ema1 : 2921.8896482691
  47. volume_ema2 : 59204.159013737
  48. chop : 58.3656
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 330.709
  52. ema21 : 330.429
  53. ema50 : 329.732
  54. ema100 : 329.482
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000275086
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000847089
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00211331
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00399815
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00906091
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0154739
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0151981
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00838224
  65. rsi : 0.694977
  66. adx : 0.477818
  67. kc_percentage : 1.53964
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000996873
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.965122
  70. volume_ema1 : 398.51225796471
  71. volume_ema2 : 11426.039536304
  72. chop : 76.2819
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    123019
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00105891
  78. 5m_price: 
    123149
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.437289
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122565
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00462312
  83. 15m_price: 
    123132
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.222906
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122869
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0022784
  88. 1H_price: 
    123149
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.058142
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
17:58:01		 08 Oct 2025
19:55:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.8 330.9906 330.4189 2 132.96
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.8
  • Stop Loss: 330.9906
  • Take Profit: 330.4189

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.9906 - 330.8 = 0.19059999999996

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.8 - 330.4189 = 0.3811

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3811 / 0.19059999999996 = 1.9995

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
13887.2188 100 41.9807 138.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.19059999999996

Taille de position = 8 / 0.19059999999996 = 41.97

Taille de position USD = 41.97 x 330.8 = 13883.68

Donc, tu peux acheter 41.97 avec un stoploss a 330.9906

Avec un position size USD de 13883.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 41.97 x 0.19059999999996 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 41.97 x 0.3811 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 41.97
  • Taille de position USD 13883.68
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9995

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.12 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.058 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0423 % 73.44 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.4188
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.3235
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.2282
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.1329
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.0376
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.9423
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.847
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.7517
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.6564
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.5611
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.4658
            [stop_loss] => 330.9906
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.13999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.14
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:58:01-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T19:58:01-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.65
            [max_drawdown] => 0.13999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 40.36
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.71
            [mae_pct] => 0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 40.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T17:58:01-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T00:58:01-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.80000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 327.48000000
            [low_after] => 325.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)