Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 18:05:40

Take profit at 330.3394 (0.11 %) and Stop Loss at 330.8653 (0.053 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 18:05:40

With 45.6342 MSTR at 330.69$ per unit.

Position size of 15090.7666 $

Take profit at 330.3394 (0.11 %) and Stop Loss at 330.8653 (0.053 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 7.06
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.470766

15m : -0.130548

1H : 0.009799

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.1168714652
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.946
  4. ema21 : 331.574
  5. ema50 : 337.547
  6. ema100 : 342.912
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00225457
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00491235
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0176952
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0356442
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0896803
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.105753
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.118608
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0863408
  17. rsi : 0.450779
  18. adx : 0.294841
  19. kc_percentage : 0.423953
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0272881
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.21598
  22. volume_ema1 : 114165.81636981
  23. volume_ema2 : 145616.02219089
  24. chop : 33.0962
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 330.369
  29. ema21 : 329.831
  30. ema50 : 330.218
  31. ema100 : 330.816
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.000969189
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00163142
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00117139
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00038211
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0522972
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0272785
  40. ema_slope_50 : 6.46919E-5
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00436159
  42. rsi : 0.570713
  43. adx : 0.181817
  44. kc_percentage : 0.860524
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00707752
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.957607
  47. volume_ema1 : 2415.3842988461
  48. volume_ema2 : 56976.456905721
  49. chop : 56.8348
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 330.702
  54. ema21 : 330.474
  55. ema50 : 329.796
  56. ema100 : 329.457
  57. price_ema9_diff : -3.68212E-5
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000689347
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00205546
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00373988
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00628135
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0130351
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0142872
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00860892
  67. rsi : 0.644175
  68. adx : 0.46627
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12148
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.000927512
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.956864
  72. volume_ema1 : 488.7551368732
  73. volume_ema2 : 11330.62279023
  74. chop : 87.889
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    123077
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0014969
  81. 5m_price:
    123262
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.470766
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    122617
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00525728
  86. 15m_price:
    123262
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.130548
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    122932
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00268157
  91. 1H_price:
    123262
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.009799
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
18:05:40
08 Oct 2025
18:35:00
29 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.69 330.8653 330.3394 2 132.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.69
  • Stop Loss: 330.8653
  • Take Profit: 330.3394

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.8653 - 330.69 = 0.17529999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.69 - 330.3394 = 0.35059999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.35059999999999 / 0.17529999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
15090.7666 100 45.6342 150.91
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.17529999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.17529999999999 = 45.64

Taille de position USD = 45.64 x 330.69 = 15092.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 45.64 avec un stoploss a 330.8653

Avec un position size USD de 15092.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 45.64 x 0.17529999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 45.64 x 0.35059999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 45.64
  • Taille de position USD 15092.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.11 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.053 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0756 % 142.64 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.3394
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 330.88283
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.3394
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 330.90036
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.3394
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 330.91789
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.3394
            [entry_price] => 330.69
            [stop_loss] => 330.95295
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.32999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 1.32
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T18:05:40-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T20:05:40-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.54
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 22.16
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T18:05:40-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T01:05:40-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.80000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 327.48000000
            [low_after] => 325.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)