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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 08 Oct 2025 at 18:17:38

Take profit at 330.4658 (0.098 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9521 (0.049 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 08 Oct 2025 at 18:17:38

With 49.3491 MSTR at 330.79$ per unit.

Position size of 16324.1887 $

Take profit at 330.4658 (0.098 %) and Stop Loss at 330.9521 (0.049 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.3
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.417769

15m : 0.103699

1H : -0.111019

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.35
  4. atr: 0.1080735693
Details
  1. score: 1.35
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 329.966
  4. ema21 : 331.584
  5. ema50 : 337.551
  6. ema100 : 342.914
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00249688
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00487932
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0176797
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0353581
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0891806
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.105528
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.118512
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0862932
  17. rsi : 0.452678
  18. adx : 0.294841
  19. kc_percentage : 0.433979
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0272798
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.205299
  22. volume_ema1 : 115881.51383647
  23. volume_ema2 : 145817.86895167
  24. chop : 33.0962
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 330.453
  28. ema21 : 329.918
  29. ema50 : 330.241
  30. ema100 : 330.822
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00101724
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00162165
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000978138
  34. price_ema100_diff : -9.86988E-5
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0560118
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0312342
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.00280976
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00293091
  41. rsi : 0.577612
  42. adx : 0.178172
  43. kc_percentage : 0.897828
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00648877
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.939942
  46. volume_ema1 : 3325.9536658974
  47. volume_ema2 : 55379.423542892
  48. chop : 55.104
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 330.717
  52. ema21 : 330.521
  53. ema50 : 329.907
  54. ema100 : 329.795
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000218333
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000595299
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00185845
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00301686
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00452325
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0109899
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0126758
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0063428
  65. rsi : 0.671201
  66. adx : 0.458545
  67. kc_percentage : 1.35419
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000872115
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.819301
  70. volume_ema1 : 1932.9219719436
  71. volume_ema2 : 10696.936630409
  72. chop : 88.9335
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    123199
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000882223
  78. 5m_price: 
    123308
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.417769
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    122601
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00576476
  83. 15m_price: 
    123308
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.103699
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122933
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00305152
  88. 1H_price: 
    123308
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.111019
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
08 Oct 2025
18:17:38		 08 Oct 2025
19:15:00		 57 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
330.79 330.9521 330.4658 2 133.09
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 330.79
  • Stop Loss: 330.9521
  • Take Profit: 330.4658

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 330.9521 - 330.79 = 0.16209999999995

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 330.79 - 330.4658 = 0.32420000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.32420000000002 / 0.16209999999995 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
16324.1887 100 49.3491 163.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.16209999999995

Taille de position = 8 / 0.16209999999995 = 49.35

Taille de position USD = 49.35 x 330.79 = 16324.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 49.35 avec un stoploss a 330.9521

Avec un position size USD de 16324.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 49.35 x 0.16209999999995 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 49.35 x 0.32420000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 49.35
  • Taille de position USD 16324.49
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.098 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.049 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0453 % 92.45 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.4658
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 19:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.38475
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.3037
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.22265
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.1416
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 330.06055
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.9795
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.89845
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.8174
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.73635
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 329.6553
            [stop_loss] => 330.9521
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-08 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.43000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.14999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 2.87
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 330.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.87
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T18:17:38-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-08T20:17:38-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.64
            [max_drawdown] => 0.14999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 37.6
            [high] => 330.94000000
            [low] => 325.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.71
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 37.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-08T18:17:38-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T01:17:38-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 330.80000000
            [high_after] => 330.94000000
            [low_before] => 327.48000000
            [low_after] => 325.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)