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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 09 Oct 2025 at 17:25:29

Take profit at 320.8256 (0.23 %) and Stop Loss at 321.9272 (0.11 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 09 Oct 2025 at 17:25:29

With 21.7876 MSTR at 321.56$ per unit.

Position size of 7006.0253 $

Take profit at 320.8256 (0.23 %) and Stop Loss at 321.9272 (0.11 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.83
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.228611

15m : -0.079579

1H : 0.064544

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.24
  4. atr: 0.2447873917
Details
  1. score: 1.24
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 322.105
  4. ema21 : 324.369
  5. ema50 : 329.629
  6. ema100 : 336.214
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00169386
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00697815
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0159584
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0435864
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.112047
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.102645
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103864
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0876879
  17. rsi : 0.380401
  18. adx : 0.350118
  19. kc_percentage : 0.167421
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0245978
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.493371
  22. volume_ema1 : 84568.276643254
  23. volume_ema2 : 166923.78949755
  24. chop : 41.2604
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 320.921
  28. ema21 : 321.227
  29. ema50 : 322.923
  30. ema100 : 324.964
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00198897
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000953046
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00524986
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0104775
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0137658
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0223392
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0343376
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0293669
  41. rsi : 0.498781
  42. adx : 0.405374
  43. kc_percentage : 0.621283
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00988026
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.848118
  46. volume_ema1 : 6606.2503972751
  47. volume_ema2 : 43496.16564484
  48. chop : 59.4368
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 321.215
  52. ema21 : 320.915
  53. ema50 : 321.015
  54. ema100 : 322.247
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00107227
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000936392
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000312048
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00213443
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0202148
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0109804
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.000217765
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00876378
  65. rsi : 0.635475
  66. adx : 0.206559
  67. kc_percentage : 1.23888
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00264963
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.861361
  70. volume_ema1 : 934.07270354811
  71. volume_ema2 : 6737.4484381736
  72. chop : 41.8018
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    121274
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000478535
  78. 5m_price: 
    121332
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.228611
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    121819
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00420392
  83. 15m_price: 
    121306
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.079579
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    122543
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00988512
  88. 1H_price: 
    121332
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.064544
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Oct 2025
17:25:29		 09 Oct 2025
18:40:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
321.56 321.9272 320.8256 2 130.28
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 321.56
  • Stop Loss: 321.9272
  • Take Profit: 320.8256

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 321.9272 - 321.56 = 0.36720000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 321.56 - 320.8256 = 0.73439999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.73439999999999 / 0.36720000000003 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
7006.0253 100 21.7876 70.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.36720000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.36720000000003 = 21.79

Taille de position USD = 21.79 x 321.56 = 7006.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 21.79 avec un stoploss a 321.9272

Avec un position size USD de 7006.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21.79 x 0.36720000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21.79 x 0.73439999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21.79
  • Taille de position USD 7006.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.23 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1679 % 147.02 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.8256
            [entry_price] => 321.56
            [stop_loss] => 321.96392
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.8256
            [entry_price] => 321.56
            [stop_loss] => 322.00064
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.8256
            [entry_price] => 321.56
            [stop_loss] => 322.03736
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 320.8256
            [entry_price] => 321.56
            [stop_loss] => 322.1108
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.54000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.69999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.77
            [high] => 322.26000000
            [low] => 321.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:25:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-09T19:25:29-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.54000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 1.53
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 323.09000000
            [low] => 321.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:25:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-10T00:25:29-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 321.99000000
            [high_after] => 323.09000000
            [low_before] => 319.00000000
            [low_after] => 321.02000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)