Short Trade on BTC 09 Oct 2025 at 17:38:39
Take profit at 120990.1964 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 121589.4518 (0.16 %)
Short Trade on BTC 09 Oct 2025 at 17:38:39
Take profit at 120990.1964 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 121589.4518 (0.16 %)
Position size of 4861.6217 $
Take profit at 120990.1964 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 121589.4518 (0.16 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.112677 1H : -0.225273 |
2 |
Indicators:
121307
0.000680936
121389
1
121740
-0.0037811
121279
0.112677
122544
-0.00942431
121389
-0.225273
Market Structure Score: 0
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct 2025 17:38:39 |
09 Oct 2025 18:35:00 |
56 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121389.7 | 121589.4518 | 120990.1964 | 2 | 67505.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 121589.4518 - 121389.7 = 199.7518
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 121389.7 - 120990.1964 = 399.5036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 399.5036 / 199.7518 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4861.6217 | 100 | 0.04005 | 48.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 199.7518 = 0.04
Taille de position USD = 0.04 x 121389.7 = 4855.59
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.04 avec un stoploss a 121589.4518
Avec un position size USD de 4855.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.04 x 199.7518 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.04 x 399.5036 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2029 % | 123.27 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120990.1964
[entry_price] => 121389.7
[stop_loss] => 121609.42698
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120990.1964
[entry_price] => 121389.7
[stop_loss] => 121629.40216
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120990.1964
[entry_price] => 121389.7
[stop_loss] => 121649.37734
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120990.1964
[entry_price] => 121389.7
[stop_loss] => 121689.3277
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-09 18:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 120.7
[max_drawdown] => 321.8
[rr_ratio] => 0.38
[high] => 121711.50000000
[low] => 121269.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.1
[mae_pct] => 0.27
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.38
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:38:39-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-09T19:38:39-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 544.3
[max_drawdown] => 438
[rr_ratio] => 1.24
[high] => 121827.70000000
[low] => 120845.40000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.45
[mae_pct] => 0.36
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-09T17:38:39-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-10T00:38:39-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 121449.90000000
[high_after] => 121827.70000000
[low_before] => 120329.70000000
[low_after] => 120845.40000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)