Short Trade on AAVE 12 Oct 2025 at 00:30:52
Take profit at 229.8955 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 234.8673 (0.71 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 12 Oct 2025 at 00:30:52
Take profit at 229.8955 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 234.8673 (0.71 %)
Position size of 1125.7627 $
Take profit at 229.8955 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 234.8673 (0.71 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.97 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.746336 15m : -0.030484 1H : -0.029303 |
2 |
Indicators:
110496
0.00513345
111064
0.746336
111213
-0.00134873
111064
-0.030484
116631
-0.047738
111064
-0.029303
Market Structure Score: 0
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2025 00:30:52 |
12 Oct 2025 05:00:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233.21 | 234.8673 | 229.8955 | 2 | 114.17 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 234.8673 - 233.21 = 1.6573
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 233.21 - 229.8955 = 3.3145
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.3145 / 1.6573 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1125.7627 | 100 | 4.8272 | 11.26 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.6573 = 4.83
Taille de position USD = 4.83 x 233.21 = 1126.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.83 avec un stoploss a 234.8673
Avec un position size USD de 1126.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.83 x 1.6573 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.83 x 3.3145 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.42 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6603 % | 92.92 % | 14 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 229.8954
[stop_loss] => 234.8673
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-12 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 229.06675
[stop_loss] => 234.8673
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-12 05:05:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.89
[max_drawdown] => 0.87
[rr_ratio] => 2.17
[high] => 234.08000000
[low] => 231.32000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.81
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.17
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-12T00:30:52-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-12T02:30:52-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.7
[max_drawdown] => 1.54
[rr_ratio] => 3.05
[high] => 234.75000000
[low] => 228.51000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.02
[mae_pct] => 0.66
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.05
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-12T00:30:52-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-12T07:30:52-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 234.12000000
[high_after] => 234.75000000
[low_before] => 225.05000000
[low_after] => 228.66000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)