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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 12 Oct 2025 at 00:31:15

Take profit at 21.0484 (1.66 %) and Stop Loss at 21.5818 (0.83 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Oct 2025 at 00:31:15

With 44.9997 AVAX at 21.404$ per unit.

Position size of 963.1744 $

Take profit at 21.0484 (1.66 %) and Stop Loss at 21.5818 (0.83 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 2.97
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.742478

15m : -0.030538

1H : -0.029223

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.1185192095
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 21.3249
  4. ema21 : 21.9358
  5. ema50 : 23.5199
  6. ema100 : 25.1659
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00370512
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0278458
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0673537
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.149487
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.497402
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.442165
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.429488
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.318447
  17. rsi : 0.391253
  18. adx : 0.613524
  19. kc_percentage : 0.302134
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.112484
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.406472
  22. volume_ema1 : 3996439.9508327
  23. volume_ema2 : 6733364.0584987
  24. chop : 57.1244
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 21.1773
  28. ema21 : 21.1987
  29. ema50 : 21.5212
  30. ema100 : 21.8013
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0107024
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0010083
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0149855
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0182268
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0147687
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0743605
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.104661
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0756238
  41. rsi : 0.544799
  42. adx : 0.249619
  43. kc_percentage : 0.732561
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0430559
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.304616
  46. volume_ema1 : 826249.09123836
  47. volume_ema2 : 1188191.5324557
  48. chop : 55.643
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 21.2723
  52. ema21 : 21.1631
  53. ema50 : 21.1355
  54. ema100 : 21.2219
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00618952
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00516074
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00130626
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00857697
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0920736
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0639309
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0192101
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00172781
  65. rsi : 0.660805
  66. adx : 0.230035
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01233
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0214657
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.13165
  70. volume_ema1 : 335532.79520543
  71. volume_ema2 : 386402.74374537
  72. chop : 48.6434
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    110496
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00513345
  78. 5m_price: 
    111064
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.742478
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    111213
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00134873
  83. 15m_price: 
    111064
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.030538
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    116631
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.047738
  88. 1H_price: 
    111064
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.029223
    90. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Oct 2025
00:31:15		 12 Oct 2025
05:00:00		 4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
21.404 21.5818 21.0484 2 9.302
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 21.404
  • Stop Loss: 21.5818
  • Take Profit: 21.0484

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 21.5818 - 21.404 = 0.1778

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 21.404 - 21.0484 = 0.3556

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3556 / 0.1778 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
963.1744 100 44.9997 9.63
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1778

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1778 = 44.99

Taille de position USD = 44.99 x 21.404 = 962.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 44.99 avec un stoploss a 21.5818

Avec un position size USD de 962.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 44.99 x 0.1778 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 44.99 x 0.3556 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 44.99
  • Taille de position USD 962.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.66 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.83 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.66
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6961 % 83.8 % 24

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 21.0484
            [stop_loss] => 21.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 05:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 20.9595
            [stop_loss] => 21.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-12 05:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.177
            [max_drawdown] => 0.149
            [rr_ratio] => 1.19
            [high] => 21.55300000
            [low] => 21.22700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.83
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-12T00:31:15-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-12T02:31:15-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.5
            [max_drawdown] => 0.149
            [rr_ratio] => 3.36
            [high] => 21.55300000
            [low] => 20.90400000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-12T00:31:15-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-12T07:31:15-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 21.44700000
            [high_after] => 21.55300000
            [low_before] => 20.64300000
            [low_after] => 20.90400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)