Short Trade on AAVE 17 Oct 2025 at 17:47:52
Take profit at 206.6787 (1.25 %) and Stop Loss at 210.5956 (0.62 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 17 Oct 2025 at 17:47:52
Take profit at 206.6787 (1.25 %) and Stop Loss at 210.5956 (0.62 %)
Position size of 1282.3692 $
Take profit at 206.6787 (1.25 %) and Stop Loss at 210.5956 (0.62 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.67 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.841584 15m : 0.068817 1H : -0.049762 |
1 |
Indicators:
106535
0.00760909
107346
0.841584
106774
0.00535896
107346
0.068817
110022
-0.02432
107346
-0.049762
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 09:00:00
[1] => 237.96
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
[1] => 256.66
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 262.49
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 236.48
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
[1] => 243.87
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 233.2
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
[1] => 246.17
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
[1] => 202.55
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:00:00
[1] => 200.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 17:00:00
[1] => 209.67
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25754757476033
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5179669148883
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7878454695387
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:45:00
[1] => 202.55
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
[1] => 210.71
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 06:15:00
[1] => 204.04
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 07:15:00
[1] => 212.91
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
[1] => 200.09
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 208.7
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 13:30:00
[1] => 201.23
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:30:00
[1] => 206.42
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 15:30:00
[1] => 201.83
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
[1] => 209.67
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25754757476033
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6169053163553
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8844572164693
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:40:00
[1] => 200.09
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:50:00
[1] => 205.17
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 11:35:00
[1] => 200.9
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 208.7
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 13:30:00
[1] => 201.23
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:30:00
[1] => 206.42
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:50:00
[1] => 202.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 15:35:00
[1] => 201.83
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 17:15:00
[1] => 209.52
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
[1] => 209.67
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25754757476033
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6169053163553
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.071592210767458
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 10:40:00 | 200.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 10:50:00 | 205.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 11:35:00 | 200.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 208.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 13:30:00 | 201.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 14:30:00 | 206.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 14:50:00 | 202.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 15:35:00 | 201.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 17:15:00 | 209.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 17:45:00 | 209.67 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 04:45:00 | 202.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 210.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 06:15:00 | 204.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 212.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 10:30:00 | 200.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 208.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 13:30:00 | 201.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 14:30:00 | 206.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 15:30:00 | 201.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 17:45:00 | 209.67 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 09:00:00 | 237.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 19:00:00 | 256.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 262.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 236.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 22:00:00 | 243.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 233.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 246.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:00:00 | 202.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 10:00:00 | 200.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 17:00:00 | 209.67 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 17:47:52 |
17 Oct 2025 19:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209.29 | 210.5956 | 206.6787 | 2 | 114.37 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 210.5956 - 209.29 = 1.3056
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 209.29 - 206.6787 = 2.6113
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6113 / 1.3056 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1282.3692 | 100 | 6.1272 | 12.82 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.3056 = 6.13
Taille de position USD = 6.13 x 209.29 = 1282.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.13 avec un stoploss a 210.5956
Avec un position size USD de 1282.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.13 x 1.3056 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.13 x 2.6113 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.086 % | 13.79 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 206.6788
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 206.026
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 205.3732
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 204.7204
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 204.0676
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 203.4148
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 202.762
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 202.1092
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 201.4564
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 200.8036
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 200.1508
[stop_loss] => 210.5956
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 23:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.74
[max_drawdown] => 0.18000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 20.78
[high] => 209.47000000
[low] => 205.55000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.79
[mae_pct] => 0.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.78
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:47:52-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:47:52-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.99
[max_drawdown] => 1.34
[rr_ratio] => 2.98
[high] => 210.63000000
[low] => 205.30000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.91
[mae_pct] => 0.64
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.98
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:47:52-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-18T00:47:52-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 209.67000000
[high_after] => 210.63000000
[low_before] => 201.83000000
[low_after] => 205.30000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)