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Short Trade on ARPA

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Short Trade on ARPA 17 Oct 2025 at 17:49:17

Take profit at 0.0207 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02118 (0.76 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 17 Oct 2025 at 17:49:17

With 50144.624 ARPA at 0.02102$ per unit.

Position size of 1054.04 $

Take profit at 0.0207 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02118 (0.76 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.92
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.652654

15m : 0.150373

1H : 0.041541

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.0001063590254
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0208137
  4. ema21 : 0.0212151
  5. ema50 : 0.0213052
  6. ema100 : 0.0208694
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00990832
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0189188
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0042305
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00721245
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.479225
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.325294
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.10377
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00241775
  17. rsi : 0.470023
  18. adx : 0.17389
  19. kc_percentage : 0.435023
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.127528
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.831222
  22. volume_ema1 : 75583.095519448
  23. volume_ema2 : 447828.01257668
  24. chop : 66.6793
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0207483
  28. ema21 : 0.0206754
  29. ema50 : 0.0209646
  30. ema100 : 0.0213627
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0130924
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00352453
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137925
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0160442
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.131809
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.015051
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0876085
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.081682
  41. rsi : 0.6076
  42. adx : 0.219789
  43. kc_percentage : 0.923279
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0391729
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.628633
  46. volume_ema1 : 14630.808778716
  47. volume_ema2 : 39397.252789221
  48. chop : 46.0899
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0209076
  52. ema21 : 0.0207353
  53. ema50 : 0.0206291
  54. ema100 : 0.0207507
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00537494
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00830948
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00514819
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.012974
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.186639
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.1406
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0606102
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0120238
  65. rsi : 0.74965
  66. adx : 0.368271
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14539
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0201934
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.203387
  70. volume_ema1 : 7634.324504957
  71. volume_ema2 : 6344.0287626941
  72. chop : 30.8588
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    106532
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00606449
  78. 5m_price: 
    107178
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.652654
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    106771
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00381774
  83. 15m_price: 
    107178
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.150373
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    110019
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0258166
  88. 1H_price: 
    107178
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.041541
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02379
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02058
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02279
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02017
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0192
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02446
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02045
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0239
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02009
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.050209205021
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.629168740667
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.964659034345
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02123
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:30:00
                    [1] => 0.02133
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:45:00
                    [1] => 0.02223
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02091
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 06:30:00
                    [1] => 0.02091
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.02202
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
                    [1] => 0.02052
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0214
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 15:30:00
                    [1] => 0.02009
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
                    [1] => 0.02112
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.47348484848485
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.629168740667
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1269288203086
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 10:55:00
                    [1] => 0.02109
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0214
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 0.02014
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 14:20:00
                    [1] => 0.02051
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 14:35:00
                    [1] => 0.02051
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 14:55:00
                    [1] => 0.02011
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 15:10:00
                    [1] => 0.02036
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 15:35:00
                    [1] => 0.02009
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 16:10:00
                    [1] => 0.02019
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
                    [1] => 0.02112
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.47348484848485
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1109460128777
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6062407132244
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.47%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.11%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0002
1.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0006
2.95%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 10:55:00 0.02109 ↑ High
2025-10-17 12:00:00 0.0214 ↑ High
2025-10-17 13:45:00 0.02014 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 14:20:00 0.02051 ↑ High
2025-10-17 14:35:00 0.02051 ↑ High
2025-10-17 14:55:00 0.02011 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 15:10:00 0.02036 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:35:00 0.02009 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 16:10:00 0.02019 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 17:45:00 0.02112 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.47%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.63%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.13%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0011
4.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0006
2.95%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 03:00:00 0.02123 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:30:00 0.02133 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:45:00 0.02223 ↑ High
2025-10-17 06:00:00 0.02091 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 06:30:00 0.02091 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 08:15:00 0.02202 ↑ High
2025-10-17 10:30:00 0.02052 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 12:00:00 0.0214 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:30:00 0.02009 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 17:45:00 0.02112 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.63%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
18.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0033
15.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0023
11.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 06:00:00 0.01842 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 11:00:00 0.02379 ↑ High
2025-10-14 15:00:00 0.02058 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 19:00:00 0.02279 ↑ High
2025-10-15 02:00:00 0.02017 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 0.0192 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 0.02446 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.02045 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 0.0239 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:00:00 0.02009 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
17:49:17		 17 Oct 2025
18:30:00		 40 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02102 0.02118 0.0207 2 0.00968
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02102
  • Stop Loss: 0.02118
  • Take Profit: 0.0207

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02118 - 0.02102 = 0.00016

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02102 - 0.0207 = 0.00032

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00032 / 0.00016 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1054.04 100 50144.624 10.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00016

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00016 = 50000

Taille de position USD = 50000 x 0.02102 = 1051

Donc, tu peux acheter 50000 avec un stoploss a 0.02118

Avec un position size USD de 1051$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 50000 x 0.00016 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 50000 x 0.00032 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 50000
  • Taille de position USD 1051
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.52 % 16.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.76 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
16.05 $ 1.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2379 % 31.25 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0207
            [stop_loss] => 0.02118
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02062
            [stop_loss] => 0.02118
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02054
            [stop_loss] => 0.02118
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02046
            [stop_loss] => 0.02118
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02038
            [stop_loss] => 0.02118
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0203
            [stop_loss] => 0.02118
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02022
            [stop_loss] => 0.02118
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00068
            [max_drawdown] => 4.9999999999998E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 13.6
            [high] => 0.02107000
            [low] => 0.02034000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.24
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:49:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:49:17-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00082
            [max_drawdown] => 7.0000000000001E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 11.71
            [high] => 0.02109000
            [low] => 0.02020000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:49:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-18T00:49:17-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.02112000
            [high_after] => 0.02109000
            [low_before] => 0.02009000
            [low_after] => 0.02020000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)