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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 28 Oct 2025 at 20:48:15

Take profit at 0.3102 (2.45 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3219 (1.23 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 28 Oct 2025 at 20:48:15

With 2041.9979 MERL at 0.318$ per unit.

Position size of 649.3553 $

Take profit at 0.3102 (2.45 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3219 (1.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.009951

15m : 0.057129

1H : -0.032691

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.27
  4. atr: 0.002611821203
Details
  1. score: 1.27
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.32038
  4. ema21 : 0.338959
  5. ema50 : 0.364393
  6. ema100 : 0.379539
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00742937
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0548131
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0697976
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.162143
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.03081
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.749305
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.49478
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.292964
  17. rsi : 0.31858
  18. adx : 0.502114
  19. kc_percentage : 0.121792
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.163419
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.450175
  22. volume_ema1 : 682360.37358457
  23. volume_ema2 : 470536.45372996
  24. chop : 8.72319
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.311225
  28. ema21 : 0.312661
  29. ema50 : 0.325502
  30. ema100 : 0.337309
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.021767
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00459376
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0394482
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0572457
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.117982
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.113755
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.232769
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.177646
  41. rsi : 0.528409
  42. adx : 0.356879
  43. kc_percentage : 0.749939
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0717926
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.500728
  46. volume_ema1 : 104869.71605814
  47. volume_ema2 : 210045.44515346
  48. chop : 60.3877
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.311719
  52. ema21 : 0.309828
  53. ema50 : 0.310479
  54. ema100 : 0.317855
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0201464
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00610419
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00209493
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000454512
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.101272
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0334896
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0127544
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0592889
  65. rsi : 0.709652
  66. adx : 0.163622
  67. kc_percentage : 1.27126
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.033026
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.208623
  70. volume_ema1 : 67720.108196192
  71. volume_ema2 : 56030.759566256
  72. chop : 32.3648
  73. regime : bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    113482
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00905127
  78. 5m_price: 
    112455
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.009951
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    113921
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0128658
  83. 15m_price: 
    112455
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.057129
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    113437
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00865453
  88. 1H_price: 
    112455
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.032691
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3818
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3824
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3858
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-26 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4444
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-27 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3464
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3778
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2757
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3211
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.40485829959515
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.995647442873
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.467174464998
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 00:30:00
                    [1] => 0.3632
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 03:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3619
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 04:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3599
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3778
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2757
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 17:15:00
                    [1] => 0.2957
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3045
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3211
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.40485829959515
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0246305418719
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4515599343186
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 12:30:00
                    [1] => 0.3613
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2757
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 17:25:00
                    [1] => 0.2957
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 18:50:00
                    [1] => 0.3141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:05:00
                    [1] => 0.3045
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3211
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.40485829959515
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0246305418719
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4515599343186
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.02%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.45%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0394
12.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0345
11.12%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-28 12:30:00 0.3613 ↑ High
2025-10-28 14:45:00 0.2757 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 16:15:00 0.3198 ↑ High
2025-10-28 17:25:00 0.2957 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 18:50:00 0.3141 ↑ High
2025-10-28 20:05:00 0.3045 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 20:45:00 0.3211 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.02%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.45%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0559
17.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0345
11.12%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-28 00:30:00 0.3632 ↑ High
2025-10-28 03:15:00 0.3619 ↑ High
2025-10-28 04:45:00 0.3599 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 09:00:00 0.3778 ↑ High
2025-10-28 14:45:00 0.2757 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 16:15:00 0.3198 ↑ High
2025-10-28 17:15:00 0.2957 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 18:45:00 0.3141 ↑ High
2025-10-28 20:00:00 0.3045 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 20:45:00 0.3211 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
16.00%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1225
38.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0345
11.12%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-25 04:00:00 0.3818 ↓ Low
2025-10-25 07:00:00 0.4234 ↑ High
2025-10-25 10:00:00 0.3824 ↓ Low
2025-10-25 18:00:00 0.3858 ↓ Low
2025-10-25 23:00:00 0.4234 ↑ High
2025-10-26 15:00:00 0.4444 ↑ High
2025-10-27 20:00:00 0.3464 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 09:00:00 0.3778 ↑ High
2025-10-28 14:00:00 0.2757 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 20:00:00 0.3211 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
28 Oct 2025
20:48:15		 28 Oct 2025
20:50:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.318 0.3219 0.3102 2 0.04362
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.318
  • Stop Loss: 0.3219
  • Take Profit: 0.3102

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3219 - 0.318 = 0.0039

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.318 - 0.3102 = 0.0078

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0078 / 0.0039 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
649.3553 100 2041.9979 6.49
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0039

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0039 = 2051.28

Taille de position USD = 2051.28 x 0.318 = 652.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 2051.28 avec un stoploss a 0.3219

Avec un position size USD de 652.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0039 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0078 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2051.28
  • Taille de position USD 652.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.45 % 15.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.23 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -1.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2264 % 100 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3102
            [entry_price] => 0.318
            [stop_loss] => 0.32229
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3102
            [entry_price] => 0.318
            [stop_loss] => 0.32268
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3102
            [entry_price] => 0.318
            [stop_loss] => 0.32307
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3102
            [entry_price] => 0.318
            [stop_loss] => 0.32385
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0116
            [rr_ratio] => 0.19
            [high] => 0.32960000
            [low] => 0.31580000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 3.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-28T20:48:15-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-28T22:48:15-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0161
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 0.33410000
            [low] => 0.31580000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 5.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-28T20:48:15-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-29T03:48:15-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.32110000
            [high_after] => 0.33410000
            [low_before] => 0.29570000
            [low_after] => 0.31580000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)