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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 28 Oct 2025 at 20:58:26

Take profit at 0.3105 (2.79 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3238 (1.38 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 28 Oct 2025 at 20:58:26

With 1807.8833 MERL at 0.3194$ per unit.

Position size of 577.4379 $

Take profit at 0.3105 (2.79 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3238 (1.38 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.57
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.003576

15m : -0.023903

1H : -0.011138

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.002950042926
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.32066
  4. ema21 : 0.339086
  5. ema50 : 0.364448
  6. ema100 : 0.379567
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00393009
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0543422
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0695885
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.158515
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.02443
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.746457
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.493599
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.292376
  17. rsi : 0.329838
  18. adx : 0.498768
  19. kc_percentage : 0.154932
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.166835
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.635915
  22. volume_ema1 : 790587.07617123
  23. volume_ema2 : 483269.00697545
  24. chop : 8.79262
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.311585
  28. ema21 : 0.312825
  29. ema50 : 0.325572
  30. ema100 : 0.337345
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0250796
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00396365
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0391539
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0531952
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.127758
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.109453
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.231012
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.176784
  41. rsi : 0.544286
  42. adx : 0.360129
  43. kc_percentage : 0.791006
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0746088
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.424634
  46. volume_ema1 : 122013.26680814
  47. volume_ema2 : 212062.33347699
  48. chop : 56.2285
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.314891
  52. ema21 : 0.311715
  53. ema50 : 0.311269
  54. ema100 : 0.317957
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0143186
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0101861
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00143363
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00453638
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.210154
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0983565
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0194697
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.04146
  65. rsi : 0.703242
  66. adx : 0.223473
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11309
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0385124
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.746403
  70. volume_ema1 : 111032.49059275
  71. volume_ema2 : 63577.813392086
  72. chop : 25.9483
  73. regime : bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    113446
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00840278
  78. 5m_price: 
    112493
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.003576
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    113922
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0121136
  83. 15m_price: 
    112542
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.023903
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    113437
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00832871
  88. 1H_price: 
    112493
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.011138
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3818
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3824
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3858
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-25 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-26 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4444
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-27 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3464
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3778
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2757
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3219
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59024541783163
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 16.068190061661
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.757344940152
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 00:30:00
                    [1] => 0.3632
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 03:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3619
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 04:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3599
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3778
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2757
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 17:15:00
                    [1] => 0.2957
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.3045
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:45:00
                    [1] => 0.3219
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59024541783163
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0903119868637
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7142857142857
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 12:40:00
                    [1] => 0.361
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2757
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.3198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 17:25:00
                    [1] => 0.2957
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 18:50:00
                    [1] => 0.3141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:05:00
                    [1] => 0.3045
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-28 20:50:00
                    [1] => 0.3219
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59024541783163
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0903119868637
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7142857142857
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.09%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.71%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0372
11.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0348
11.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-28 12:40:00 0.361 ↑ High
2025-10-28 14:45:00 0.2757 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 16:15:00 0.3198 ↑ High
2025-10-28 17:25:00 0.2957 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 18:50:00 0.3141 ↑ High
2025-10-28 20:05:00 0.3045 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 20:50:00 0.3219 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.71%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0540
16.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0348
11.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-28 00:30:00 0.3632 ↑ High
2025-10-28 03:15:00 0.3619 ↑ High
2025-10-28 04:45:00 0.3599 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 09:00:00 0.3778 ↑ High
2025-10-28 14:45:00 0.2757 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 16:15:00 0.3198 ↑ High
2025-10-28 17:15:00 0.2957 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 18:45:00 0.3141 ↑ High
2025-10-28 20:00:00 0.3045 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 20:45:00 0.3219 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
16.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.76%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1206
37.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0348
11.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-25 04:00:00 0.3818 ↓ Low
2025-10-25 07:00:00 0.4234 ↑ High
2025-10-25 10:00:00 0.3824 ↓ Low
2025-10-25 18:00:00 0.3858 ↓ Low
2025-10-25 23:00:00 0.4234 ↑ High
2025-10-26 15:00:00 0.4444 ↑ High
2025-10-27 20:00:00 0.3464 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 09:00:00 0.3778 ↑ High
2025-10-28 14:00:00 0.2757 ↓ Low
2025-10-28 20:00:00 0.3219 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
28 Oct 2025
20:58:26		 28 Oct 2025
22:15:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3194 0.3238 0.3105 2.02 0.04329
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3194
  • Stop Loss: 0.3238
  • Take Profit: 0.3105

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3238 - 0.3194 = 0.0044

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3194 - 0.3105 = 0.0089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.0044 = 2.0227

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
577.4379 100 1807.8833 5.77
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0044

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18

Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.3194 = 580.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.3238

Avec un position size USD de 580.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0089 = 16.18

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.18$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1818.18
  • Taille de position USD 580.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.18
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0227

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.79 % 16.09 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.38 % 7.95 $
PNL PNL %
-7.95 $ -1.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1603 % 156.82 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3105
            [entry_price] => 0.3194
            [stop_loss] => 0.32424
            [rr_ratio] => 1.84
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3105
            [entry_price] => 0.3194
            [stop_loss] => 0.32468
            [rr_ratio] => 1.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3105
            [entry_price] => 0.3194
            [stop_loss] => 0.32512
            [rr_ratio] => 1.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3105
            [entry_price] => 0.3194
            [stop_loss] => 0.326
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0036
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0134
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 0.33280000
            [low] => 0.31580000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.13
            [mae_pct] => 4.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-28T20:58:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-28T22:58:26-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0036
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0147
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 0.33410000
            [low] => 0.31580000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.13
            [mae_pct] => 4.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-28T20:58:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-29T03:58:26-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.32190000
            [high_after] => 0.33410000
            [low_before] => 0.29570000
            [low_after] => 0.31580000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)