Short Trade on MERL 02 Nov 2025 at 16:53:02
Take profit at 0.3095 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3129 (0.35 %)
Short Trade on MERL 02 Nov 2025 at 16:53:02
Take profit at 0.3095 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3129 (0.35 %)
Position size of 2187.1778 $
Take profit at 0.3095 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3129 (0.35 %)
That's a 2.09 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.17705 15m : 0.159744 1H : -0.153665 |
0 |
Indicators:
110120
-0.000950986
110015
0.17705
110260
-0.0022216
110015
0.159744
110237
-0.00200939
110015
-0.153665
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 17:00:00
[1] => 0.3466
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 05:00:00
[1] => 0.3251
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 08:00:00
[1] => 0.3353
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 13:00:00
[1] => 0.3218
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 14:00:00
[1] => 0.3436
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 11:00:00
[1] => 0.3118
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 17:00:00
[1] => 0.3115
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 22:00:00
[1] => 0.3406
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3021
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 12:00:00
[1] => 0.3158
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.393286890437
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0784508440914
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5349222111884
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 16:30:00
[1] => 0.3183
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 17:45:00
[1] => 0.3115
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 22:00:00
[1] => 0.3406
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 00:00:00
[1] => 0.3243
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 03:00:00
[1] => 0.3315
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 09:15:00
[1] => 0.3021
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 12:15:00
[1] => 0.3158
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 14:45:00
[1] => 0.3063
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 16:30:00
[1] => 0.312
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19230769230769
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6650342801175
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8609206660137
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 10:10:00
[1] => 0.3097
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 10:15:00
[1] => 0.3048
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 11:15:00
[1] => 0.3049
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 11:25:00
[1] => 0.3088
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 12:15:00
[1] => 0.3158
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 12:50:00
[1] => 0.3083
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 13:30:00
[1] => 0.3124
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 14:50:00
[1] => 0.3063
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 16:20:00
[1] => 0.3092
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 16:40:00
[1] => 0.312
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19230769230769
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.71151358344115
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90556274256146
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 10:10:00 | 0.3097 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 10:15:00 | 0.3048 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 11:15:00 | 0.3049 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 11:25:00 | 0.3088 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 12:15:00 | 0.3158 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 12:50:00 | 0.3083 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 13:30:00 | 0.3124 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 14:50:00 | 0.3063 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 16:20:00 | 0.3092 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 16:40:00 | 0.312 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 16:30:00 | 0.3183 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-01 17:45:00 | 0.3115 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-01 22:00:00 | 0.3406 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 00:00:00 | 0.3243 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 03:00:00 | 0.3315 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 09:15:00 | 0.3021 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 12:15:00 | 0.3158 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 14:45:00 | 0.3063 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 16:30:00 | 0.312 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 17:00:00 | 0.3466 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 05:00:00 | 0.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 08:00:00 | 0.3353 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 13:00:00 | 0.3218 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 14:00:00 | 0.3436 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-01 11:00:00 | 0.3118 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-01 17:00:00 | 0.3115 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-01 22:00:00 | 0.3406 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 09:00:00 | 0.3021 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 12:00:00 | 0.3158 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2025 16:53:02 |
02 Nov 2025 17:55:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3118 | 0.3129 | 0.3095 | 2.09 | 0.04121 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3129 - 0.3118 = 0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3118 - 0.3095 = 0.0023
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0023 / 0.0011 = 2.0909
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2187.1778 | 100 | 7014.6817 | 21.87 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0011 = 7272.73
Taille de position USD = 7272.73 x 0.3118 = 2267.64
Donc, tu peux acheter 7272.73 avec un stoploss a 0.3129
Avec un position size USD de 2267.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7272.73 x 0.0011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7272.73 x 0.0023 = 16.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.73$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 7.72 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.72 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5452 % | 154.54 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3095
[entry_price] => 0.3118
[stop_loss] => 0.31301
[rr_ratio] => 1.9
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 17:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3095
[entry_price] => 0.3118
[stop_loss] => 0.31312
[rr_ratio] => 1.74
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 17:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3095
[entry_price] => 0.3118
[stop_loss] => 0.31323
[rr_ratio] => 1.61
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 17:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3095
[entry_price] => 0.3118
[stop_loss] => 0.31345
[rr_ratio] => 1.39
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 17:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0023
[max_drawdown] => 0.0029
[rr_ratio] => 0.79
[high] => 0.31470000
[low] => 0.30950000
[mfe_pct] => 0.74
[mae_pct] => 0.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.79
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-02T16:53:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-02T18:53:02-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0082
[max_drawdown] => 0.0029
[rr_ratio] => 2.83
[high] => 0.31470000
[low] => 0.30360000
[mfe_pct] => 2.63
[mae_pct] => 0.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.83
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-02T16:53:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-02T23:53:02-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.31240000
[high_after] => 0.31470000
[low_before] => 0.30630000
[low_after] => 0.30430000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)