Short Trade on PENGU 02 Nov 2025 at 16:53:21
Take profit at 0.01733 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01756 (0.46 %)
Short Trade on PENGU 02 Nov 2025 at 16:53:21
Take profit at 0.01733 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01756 (0.46 %)
Position size of 1821.2594 $
Take profit at 0.01733 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01756 (0.46 %)
That's a 1.87 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.86 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.689399 15m : 0.101813 1H : -0.187768 |
0 |
Indicators:
110120
-0.000950986
110015
0.689399
110260
-0.0022216
110015
0.101813
110237
-0.00200939
110015
-0.187768
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 21:00:00
[1] => 0.019124
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 08:00:00
[1] => 0.01901
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 13:00:00
[1] => 0.017542
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 22:00:00
[1] => 0.017905
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 00:00:00
[1] => 0.018503
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 10:00:00
[1] => 0.017728
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 16:00:00
[1] => 0.018348
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-01 18:00:00
[1] => 0.017795
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 02:00:00
[1] => 0.018257
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 14:00:00
[1] => 0.01715
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.37092622008
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.801749271137
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4548104956268
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 00:45:00
[1] => 0.018224
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 02:00:00
[1] => 0.01802
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 02:45:00
[1] => 0.018257
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 05:30:00
[1] => 0.01751
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 06:45:00
[1] => 0.018101
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 09:45:00
[1] => 0.017237
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 11:15:00
[1] => 0.017223
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 12:15:00
[1] => 0.017613
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 14:30:00
[1] => 0.01715
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 16:45:00
[1] => 0.017499
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22858449054233
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.801749271137
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0349854227405
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 11:15:00
[1] => 0.017223
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 12:15:00
[1] => 0.017613
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 12:50:00
[1] => 0.017362
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 13:05:00
[1] => 0.017528
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 14:30:00
[1] => 0.01715
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 15:05:00
[1] => 0.017337
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 15:10:00
[1] => 0.017225
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 15:45:00
[1] => 0.017267
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 16:25:00
[1] => 0.017285
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 16:50:00
[1] => 0.017499
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22858449054233
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0066531674863
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2380676887475
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 11:15:00 | 0.017223 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 12:15:00 | 0.017613 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 12:50:00 | 0.017362 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 13:05:00 | 0.017528 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 14:30:00 | 0.01715 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 15:05:00 | 0.017337 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 15:10:00 | 0.017225 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 15:45:00 | 0.017267 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 16:25:00 | 0.017285 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 16:50:00 | 0.017499 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 00:45:00 | 0.018224 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 02:00:00 | 0.01802 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 02:45:00 | 0.018257 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 05:30:00 | 0.01751 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 06:45:00 | 0.018101 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 09:45:00 | 0.017237 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 11:15:00 | 0.017223 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 12:15:00 | 0.017613 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 14:30:00 | 0.01715 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 16:45:00 | 0.017499 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 21:00:00 | 0.019124 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 08:00:00 | 0.01901 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 13:00:00 | 0.017542 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 22:00:00 | 0.017905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-01 00:00:00 | 0.018503 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-01 10:00:00 | 0.017728 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-01 16:00:00 | 0.018348 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-01 18:00:00 | 0.017795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 02:00:00 | 0.018257 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-02 14:00:00 | 0.01715 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2025 16:53:21 |
02 Nov 2025 17:30:00 |
36 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01748 | 0.01756 | 0.01733 | 1.87 | 0.006886 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01756 - 0.01748 = 8.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01748 - 0.01733 = 0.00015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00015 / 8.0E-5 = 1.875
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1821.2594 | 100 | 104185.0831 | 18.21 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 8.0E-5 = 100000
Taille de position USD = 100000 x 0.01748 = 1748
Donc, tu peux acheter 100000 avec un stoploss a 0.01756
Avec un position size USD de 1748$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 100000 x 8.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 100000 x 0.00015 = 15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 15.63 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 8.33 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.63 $ | 0.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0114 % | 2.49 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01732
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01728
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01724
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0172
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01716
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01712
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01708
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01704
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.017
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01696
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01692
[stop_loss] => 0.01756
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-02 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000217
[max_drawdown] => 0.000374
[rr_ratio] => 0.58
[high] => 0.01785400
[low] => 0.01726300
[mfe_pct] => 1.24
[mae_pct] => 2.14
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.58
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-02T16:53:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-02T18:53:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.001271
[max_drawdown] => 0.000439
[rr_ratio] => 2.9
[high] => 0.01791900
[low] => 0.01620900
[mfe_pct] => 7.27
[mae_pct] => 2.51
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.9
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-02T16:53:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-02T23:53:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01752800
[high_after] => 0.01791900
[low_before] => 0.01715000
[low_after] => 0.01644600
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)