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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 07 Nov 2025 at 12:22:59

Take profit at 229.6477 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 234.2112 (0.65 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 07 Nov 2025 at 12:22:59

With 5.2592 MSTR at 232.69$ per unit.

Position size of 1223.7571 $

Take profit at 229.6477 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 234.2112 (0.65 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.48827

15m : -0.103267

1H : -0.002944

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 1.014101041
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 231.857
  4. ema21 : 235.203
  5. ema50 : 241.414
  6. ema100 : 248.132
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0035925
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0142261
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0257279
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0622357
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.221309
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.211989
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.177366
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.134607
  17. rsi : 0.411987
  18. adx : 0.476798
  19. kc_percentage : 0.337914
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0595355
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.06278
  22. volume_ema1 : 11188647.513805
  23. volume_ema2 : 3653101.038845
  24. chop : 24.8402
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 230.112
  28. ema21 : 230.118
  29. ema50 : 232.348
  30. ema100 : 234.448
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0112012
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -2.56256E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00959912
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0075026
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0889374
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0314736
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0635369
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0487888
  41. rsi : 0.556621
  42. adx : 0.344768
  43. kc_percentage : 0.811895
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0363538
  45. volume_ema_diff : 1.07998
  46. volume_ema1 : 4719888.5087979
  47. volume_ema2 : 2269193.1757297
  48. chop : 32.9656
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 231.136
  52. ema21 : 229.997
  53. ema50 : 229.611
  54. ema100 : 230.907
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00672143
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00495162
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00167987
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00771961
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.102392
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.066747
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0229662
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00339467
  65. rsi : 0.664781
  66. adx : 0.206186
  67. kc_percentage : 1.20168
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0161097
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0429696
  70. volume_ema1 : 1181851.0321018
  71. volume_ema2 : 1234914.8606471
  72. chop : 40.24
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    100738
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00844654
  78. 5m_price: 
    101589
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.48827
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101001
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00591167
  83. 15m_price: 
    101598
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.103267
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103073
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0143952
  88. 1H_price: 
    101589
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.002944
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-04 22:00:00
                    [1] => 252.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:00:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:00:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5573633708803
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6973481763055
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.4713548737442
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:00:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:30:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 02:15:00
                    [1] => 237.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 03:15:00
                    [1] => 239.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 04:30:00
                    [1] => 235.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:30:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:15:00
                    [1] => 233.69
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.051350079164707
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6973481763055
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88063889488452
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:40:00
                    [1] => 232.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:55:00
                    [1] => 234.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 08:05:00
                    [1] => 232.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:35:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:40:00
                    [1] => 226.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:15:00
                    [1] => 227.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:25:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:35:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:20:00
                    [1] => 233.69
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.051350079164707
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8308532182795
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4631816602987
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.83%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.46%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2388
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.6677
3.77%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-07 06:40:00 232.33 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 06:55:00 234.45 ↑ High
2025-11-07 08:05:00 232.43 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:35:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 10:40:00 226.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:15:00 227.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:25:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 11:35:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:20:00 233.69 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.70%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.88%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4888
2.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.6677
3.77%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:00:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:30:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 02:15:00 237.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 03:15:00 239.47 ↑ High
2025-11-07 04:30:00 235.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 09:30:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:15:00 233.69 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.70%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.5588
9.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.6677
3.77%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-04 22:00:00 252.72 ↑ High
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:00:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:00:00 220.98 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Nov 2025
12:22:59		 07 Nov 2025
12:35:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
232.69 234.2112 229.6477 2 133.09
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 232.69
  • Stop Loss: 234.2112
  • Take Profit: 229.6477

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 234.2112 - 232.69 = 1.5212

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 232.69 - 229.6477 = 3.0423

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.0423 / 1.5212 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1223.7571 100 5.2592 12.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.5212

Taille de position = 8 / 1.5212 = 5.26

Taille de position USD = 5.26 x 232.69 = 1223.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.26 avec un stoploss a 234.2112

Avec un position size USD de 1223.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.26 x 1.5212 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.26 x 3.0423 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.26
  • Taille de position USD 1223.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.31 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.65 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7865 % 120.32 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.6477
            [entry_price] => 232.69
            [stop_loss] => 234.36332
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 12:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.6477
            [entry_price] => 232.69
            [stop_loss] => 234.51544
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 12:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.6477
            [entry_price] => 232.69
            [stop_loss] => 234.66756
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 12:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.6477
            [entry_price] => 232.69
            [stop_loss] => 234.9718
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 8.34
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 241.03000000
            [low] => 232.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 3.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:22:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T14:22:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 11.17
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 243.86000000
            [low] => 232.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 4.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:22:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T19:22:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 233.69000000
            [high_after] => 243.86000000
            [low_before] => 220.98000000
            [low_after] => 232.69000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)