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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 07 Nov 2025 at 12:33:52

Take profit at 230.4555 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 235.3073 (0.69 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 07 Nov 2025 at 12:33:52

With 4.9466 MSTR at 233.69$ per unit.

Position size of 1155.971 $

Take profit at 230.4555 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 235.3073 (0.69 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.493007

15m : -0.043215

1H : -0.074445

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.22
  4. atr: 1.078181643
Details
  1. score: 1.22
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.057
  4. ema21 : 235.293
  5. ema50 : 241.453
  6. ema100 : 248.152
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00703684
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.013757
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0255097
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0582808
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.214311
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.20885
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.176041
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.133953
  17. rsi : 0.434862
  18. adx : 0.471916
  19. kc_percentage : 0.406308
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.061232
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.22435
  22. volume_ema1 : 12139632.960505
  23. volume_ema2 : 3764981.6796332
  24. chop : 24.9257
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 230.851
  28. ema21 : 230.455
  29. ema50 : 232.407
  30. ema100 : 234.438
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0122937
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00172058
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0083977
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00319151
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.139466
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00188138
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0481402
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0413622
  41. rsi : 0.580678
  42. adx : 0.331806
  43. kc_percentage : 0.890739
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0359092
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.653418
  46. volume_ema1 : 3782517.6883764
  47. volume_ema2 : 2287695.8357781
  48. chop : 30.339
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 232.024
  52. ema21 : 230.63
  53. ema50 : 229.935
  54. ema100 : 231.108
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00717874
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00604504
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00302038
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0111691
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.110875
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0772953
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0307868
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.000832986
  65. rsi : 0.671695
  66. adx : 0.240913
  67. kc_percentage : 1.21893
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0177411
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.164515
  70. volume_ema1 : 1040110.1180527
  71. volume_ema2 : 1244917.8018158
  72. chop : 41.3056
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    100837
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0174376
  78. 5m_price: 
    102595
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.493007
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101084
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0149509
  83. 15m_price: 
    102595
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.043215
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103093
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0048295
  88. 1H_price: 
    102595
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.074445
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-04 22:00:00
                    [1] => 252.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:00:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:00:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3112223612849
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9643406643135
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.4713548737442
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:00:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:30:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 02:15:00
                    [1] => 237.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 03:15:00
                    [1] => 239.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 04:30:00
                    [1] => 235.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:30:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:30:00
                    [1] => 234.16
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9643406643135
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0835311892942
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:40:00
                    [1] => 232.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:55:00
                    [1] => 234.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 08:05:00
                    [1] => 232.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:35:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:40:00
                    [1] => 226.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:15:00
                    [1] => 227.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:25:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:35:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:30:00
                    [1] => 234.16
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0906049132694
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.667245571379
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.67%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8573
0.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.4755
4.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-07 06:40:00 232.33 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 06:55:00 234.45 ↑ High
2025-11-07 08:05:00 232.43 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:35:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 10:40:00 226.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:15:00 227.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:25:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 11:35:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:30:00 234.16 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.08%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.3927
1.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.4755
4.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:00:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:30:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 02:15:00 237.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 03:15:00 239.47 ↑ High
2025-11-07 04:30:00 235.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 09:30:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:30:00 234.16 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.96%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
21.4627
9.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.4755
4.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-04 22:00:00 252.72 ↑ High
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:00:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:00:00 220.98 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Nov 2025
12:33:52		 07 Nov 2025
13:30:00		 56 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
233.69 235.3073 230.4555 2 132.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 233.69
  • Stop Loss: 235.3073
  • Take Profit: 230.4555

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 235.3073 - 233.69 = 1.6173

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 233.69 - 230.4555 = 3.2345

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.2345 / 1.6173 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1155.971 100 4.9466 11.56
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.6173

Taille de position = 8 / 1.6173 = 4.95

Taille de position USD = 4.95 x 233.69 = 1156.77

Donc, tu peux acheter 4.95 avec un stoploss a 235.3073

Avec un position size USD de 1156.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4.95 x 1.6173 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4.95 x 3.2345 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4.95
  • Taille de position USD 1156.77
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.69 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3779 % 199.09 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.4555
            [entry_price] => 233.69
            [stop_loss] => 235.46903
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.4555
            [entry_price] => 233.69
            [stop_loss] => 235.63076
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.4555
            [entry_price] => 233.69
            [stop_loss] => 235.79249
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.4555
            [entry_price] => 233.69
            [stop_loss] => 236.11595
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.91
            [max_drawdown] => 7.34
            [rr_ratio] => 0.12
            [high] => 241.03000000
            [low] => 232.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.39
            [mae_pct] => 3.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.12
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:33:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T14:33:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.91
            [max_drawdown] => 10.17
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 243.86000000
            [low] => 232.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.39
            [mae_pct] => 4.35
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:33:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T19:33:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 234.16000000
            [high_after] => 243.86000000
            [low_before] => 220.98000000
            [low_after] => 232.78000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)