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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 07 Nov 2025 at 13:00:14

Take profit at 231.6485 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 236.3308 (0.66 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 07 Nov 2025 at 13:00:14

With 5.1257 MSTR at 234.77$ per unit.

Position size of 1203.3599 $

Take profit at 231.6485 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 236.3308 (0.66 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.21
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.94
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.494746

15m : -0.100994

1H : -0.026603

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 1.040508895
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.772
  4. ema21 : 235.335
  5. ema50 : 241.115
  6. ema100 : 247.046
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00858159
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0108896
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0239729
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0496929
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.188718
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.197443
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.170109
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.125746
  17. rsi : 0.457724
  18. adx : 0.456387
  19. kc_percentage : 0.475096
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0562045
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.25584
  22. volume_ema1 : 8171049.1273587
  23. volume_ema2 : 3622165.7583635
  24. chop : 25.7904
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 232.387
  28. ema21 : 231.277
  29. ema50 : 232.627
  30. ema100 : 234.499
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0102505
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00479944
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00580319
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00115149
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.159061
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.035602
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0295798
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0324568
  41. rsi : 0.603218
  42. adx : 0.311694
  43. kc_percentage : 0.947739
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0332185
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.177693
  46. volume_ema1 : 1744901.8824858
  47. volume_ema2 : 2121960.403662
  48. chop : 39.5143
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 233.578
  52. ema21 : 232.134
  53. ema50 : 230.79
  54. ema100 : 231.22
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00509902
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00622428
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00582156
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0153512
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.150869
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.115988
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0604506
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0217147
  65. rsi : 0.652014
  66. adx : 0.308927
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13388
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0170464
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.870104
  70. volume_ema1 : 128769.16361743
  71. volume_ema2 : 991327.98014102
  72. chop : 38.2392
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    100935
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.013883
  78. 5m_price: 
    102336
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.494746
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101198
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0112435
  83. 15m_price: 
    102336
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.100994
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    102763
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0041517
  88. 1H_price: 
    102336
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.026603
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:00:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:00:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 13:00:00
                    [1] => 241.03
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0621084512301
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.9147434156937
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0732192958639
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:00:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:30:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 02:15:00
                    [1] => 237.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 03:15:00
                    [1] => 239.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 04:30:00
                    [1] => 235.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:30:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 13:00:00
                    [1] => 234.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.08512811781731
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.2268078559146
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4202460608677
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:55:00
                    [1] => 234.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 08:05:00
                    [1] => 232.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:35:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:40:00
                    [1] => 226.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:15:00
                    [1] => 227.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:25:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:35:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:40:00
                    [1] => 234.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:55:00
                    [1] => 234.77
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12352515227671
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2314871885181
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.23%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.5608
0.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.6685
4.61%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-07 06:55:00 234.45 ↑ High
2025-11-07 08:05:00 232.43 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:35:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 10:40:00 226.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:15:00 227.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:25:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 11:35:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:40:00 234.77 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:55:00 234.77 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.42%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.3692
1.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.6685
4.61%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:00:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:30:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 02:15:00 237.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 03:15:00 239.47 ↑ High
2025-11-07 04:30:00 235.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 09:30:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 13:00:00 234.94 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.07%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.4392
8.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.6685
4.61%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:00:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:00:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 13:00:00 241.03 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Nov 2025
13:00:14		 07 Nov 2025
13:30:00		 29 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
234.77 236.3308 231.6485 2 133.19
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 234.77
  • Stop Loss: 236.3308
  • Take Profit: 231.6485

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 236.3308 - 234.77 = 1.5608

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 234.77 - 231.6485 = 3.1215

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.1215 / 1.5608 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1203.3599 100 5.1257 12.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.5608

Taille de position = 8 / 1.5608 = 5.13

Taille de position USD = 5.13 x 234.77 = 1204.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.13 avec un stoploss a 236.3308

Avec un position size USD de 1204.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.13 x 1.5608 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.13 x 3.1215 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.13
  • Taille de position USD 1204.37
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.66
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9115 % 137.11 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.6485
            [entry_price] => 234.77
            [stop_loss] => 236.48688
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.6485
            [entry_price] => 234.77
            [stop_loss] => 236.64296
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.6485
            [entry_price] => 234.77
            [stop_loss] => 236.79904
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.6485
            [entry_price] => 234.77
            [stop_loss] => 237.1112
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.16
            [max_drawdown] => 6.98
            [rr_ratio] => 0.17
            [high] => 241.75000000
            [low] => 233.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 2.97
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T13:00:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T15:00:14-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.16
            [max_drawdown] => 9.09
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 243.86000000
            [low] => 233.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 3.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T13:00:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T20:00:14-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 234.77000000
            [high_after] => 243.86000000
            [low_before] => 220.98000000
            [low_after] => 233.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)