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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 07 Nov 2025 at 12:39:10

Take profit at 230.7777 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 235.6112 (0.69 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 07 Nov 2025 at 12:39:10

With 4.9653 MSTR at 234$ per unit.

Position size of 1161.8906 $

Take profit at 230.7777 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 235.6112 (0.69 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.21
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.489586

15m : -0.082271

1H : -0.06072

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 1.074111485
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.119
  4. ema21 : 235.322
  5. ema50 : 241.465
  6. ema100 : 248.158
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00810337
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0136116
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.025442
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0570549
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.212142
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.207877
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.175631
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.13375
  17. rsi : 0.441596
  18. adx : 0.469413
  19. kc_percentage : 0.427191
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0622278
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.23063
  22. volume_ema1 : 12177752.400138
  23. volume_ema2 : 3769466.3195901
  24. chop : 24.9728
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 230.945
  28. ema21 : 230.498
  29. ema50 : 232.425
  30. ema100 : 234.447
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.013224
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00194271
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0082925
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00190882
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.142917
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00342676
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0474831
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.041033
  41. rsi : 0.590721
  42. adx : 0.33294
  43. kc_percentage : 0.91698
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0363232
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.653509
  46. volume_ema1 : 3782778.3865097
  47. volume_ema2 : 2287726.5061467
  48. chop : 29.5801
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 232.494
  52. ema21 : 230.975
  53. ema50 : 230.103
  54. ema100 : 231.104
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00647461
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00657796
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00378991
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0125279
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.128345
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0884817
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0376729
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00545739
  65. rsi : 0.675098
  66. adx : 0.258843
  67. kc_percentage : 1.20996
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0176775
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.390763
  70. volume_ema1 : 731439.285624
  71. volume_ema2 : 1200582.7540818
  72. chop : 36.6887
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    100816
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0135894
  78. 5m_price: 
    102186
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.489586
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101084
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0150634
  83. 15m_price: 
    102607
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.082271
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103085
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00871605
  88. 1H_price: 
    102186
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.06072
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:00:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:00:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:00:00
                    [1] => 234.52
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.26010574791063
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.8512082541406
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.1272513349625
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:00:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:30:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 02:15:00
                    [1] => 237.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 03:15:00
                    [1] => 239.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 04:30:00
                    [1] => 235.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:30:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:30:00
                    [1] => 234.52
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.26010574791063
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.8512082541406
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2389380530973
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:40:00
                    [1] => 232.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:55:00
                    [1] => 234.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 08:05:00
                    [1] => 232.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:35:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:40:00
                    [1] => 226.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:15:00
                    [1] => 227.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:25:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:35:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:35:00
                    [1] => 234.52
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.26010574791063
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9805406357313
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8235498436957
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.98%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0912
0.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.7977
4.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-07 06:40:00 232.33 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 06:55:00 234.45 ↑ High
2025-11-07 08:05:00 232.43 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:35:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 10:40:00 226.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:15:00 227.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:25:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 11:35:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:35:00 234.52 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.0888
1.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.7977
4.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:00:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:30:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 02:15:00 237.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 03:15:00 239.47 ↑ High
2025-11-07 04:30:00 235.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 09:30:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:30:00 234.52 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.13%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
21.1588
8.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.7977
4.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:00:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:00:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 12:00:00 234.52 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Nov 2025
12:39:10		 07 Nov 2025
13:30:00		 50 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
234 235.6112 230.7777 2 132.76
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 234
  • Stop Loss: 235.6112
  • Take Profit: 230.7777

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 235.6112 - 234 = 1.6112

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 234 - 230.7777 = 3.2223

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.2223 / 1.6112 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1161.8906 100 4.9653 11.62
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.6112

Taille de position = 8 / 1.6112 = 4.97

Taille de position USD = 4.97 x 234 = 1162.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 4.97 avec un stoploss a 235.6112

Avec un position size USD de 1162.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4.97 x 1.6112 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4.97 x 3.2223 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4.97
  • Taille de position USD 1162.98
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.69 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2436 % 180.62 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.7777
            [entry_price] => 234
            [stop_loss] => 235.77232
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.7777
            [entry_price] => 234
            [stop_loss] => 235.93344
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.7777
            [entry_price] => 234
            [stop_loss] => 236.09456
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.7777
            [entry_price] => 234
            [stop_loss] => 236.4168
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 13:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.22
            [max_drawdown] => 7.03
            [rr_ratio] => 0.17
            [high] => 241.03000000
            [low] => 232.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:39:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T14:39:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.22
            [max_drawdown] => 9.86
            [rr_ratio] => 0.12
            [high] => 243.86000000
            [low] => 232.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 4.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.12
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:39:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T19:39:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 234.52000000
            [high_after] => 243.86000000
            [low_before] => 220.98000000
            [low_after] => 232.78000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)