Short Trade on XPL 12 Nov 2025 at 01:34:00
Take profit at 0.2619 (1.87 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2694 (0.94 %)
Short Trade on XPL 12 Nov 2025 at 01:34:00
Take profit at 0.2619 (1.87 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2694 (0.94 %)
Position size of 857.2121 $
Take profit at 0.2619 (1.87 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2694 (0.94 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.5 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.447923 15m : -0.024286 1H : -0.111456 |
0 |
Indicators:
103189
0.00264287
103462
0.447923
103710
-0.00238969
103462
-0.024286
103935
-0.00455033
103462
-0.111456
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 10:00:00
[1] => 0.2828
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 05:00:00
[1] => 0.2739
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
[1] => 0.3303
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 01:00:00
[1] => 0.3322
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 11:00:00
[1] => 0.301
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3261
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
[1] => 0.2761
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.2879
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 0.2548
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
[1] => 0.2681
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55949272659455
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6310832025118
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2197802197802
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 04:45:00
[1] => 0.2793
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 07:15:00
[1] => 0.2761
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 09:00:00
[1] => 0.2775
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 10:30:00
[1] => 0.2771
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.2879
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 16:45:00
[1] => 0.2663
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:45:00
[1] => 0.2548
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 22:00:00
[1] => 0.2644
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 00:00:00
[1] => 0.2581
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
[1] => 0.2681
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55949272659455
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2932971716389
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8744672607517
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 20:45:00
[1] => 0.2591
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 21:15:00
[1] => 0.2635
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 21:30:00
[1] => 0.2593
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 22:05:00
[1] => 0.2644
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 22:35:00
[1] => 0.261
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 23:05:00
[1] => 0.2606
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 23:15:00
[1] => 0.2623
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 00:10:00
[1] => 0.2581
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 00:15:00
[1] => 0.2615
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
[1] => 0.2681
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55949272659455
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2932971716389
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5239005736138
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 20:45:00 | 0.2591 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 21:15:00 | 0.2635 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 21:30:00 | 0.2593 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 22:05:00 | 0.2644 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 22:35:00 | 0.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 23:05:00 | 0.2606 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 23:15:00 | 0.2623 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 00:10:00 | 0.2581 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 00:15:00 | 0.2615 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 01:25:00 | 0.2681 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 04:45:00 | 0.2793 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 07:15:00 | 0.2761 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 09:00:00 | 0.2775 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 10:30:00 | 0.2771 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 11:00:00 | 0.2879 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 16:45:00 | 0.2663 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 19:45:00 | 0.2548 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 22:00:00 | 0.2644 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 00:00:00 | 0.2581 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 01:15:00 | 0.2681 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 10:00:00 | 0.2828 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-09 05:00:00 | 0.2739 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-09 19:00:00 | 0.3303 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-10 01:00:00 | 0.3322 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-10 11:00:00 | 0.301 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-10 15:00:00 | 0.3261 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 07:00:00 | 0.2761 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 11:00:00 | 0.2879 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 0.2548 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 01:00:00 | 0.2681 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 01:34:00 |
12 Nov 2025 02:45:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2669 | 0.2694 | 0.2619 | 2 | 0.0959 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2694 - 0.2669 = 0.0024999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2669 - 0.2619 = 0.005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0024999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 857.2121 | 100 | 3211.7353 | 8.57 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0024999999999999 = 3200
Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.2669 = 854.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.2694
Avec un position size USD de 854.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3200 x 0.0024999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3200 x 0.005 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.87 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.06 $ | 1.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5995 % | 64 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2619
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.26065
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2594
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.25815
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2569
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.25565
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2544
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.25315
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2519
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.25065
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2494
[stop_loss] => 0.2694
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0079
[max_drawdown] => 0.0016
[rr_ratio] => 4.94
[high] => 0.26850000
[low] => 0.25900000
[mfe_pct] => 2.96
[mae_pct] => 0.6
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.94
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:34:00-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-12T03:34:00-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0079
[max_drawdown] => 0.0083
[rr_ratio] => 0.95
[high] => 0.27520000
[low] => 0.25900000
[mfe_pct] => 2.96
[mae_pct] => 3.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.95
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:34:00-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-12T08:34:00-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.26810000
[high_after] => 0.27520000
[low_before] => 0.25810000
[low_after] => 0.25900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)