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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 01:34:17

Take profit at 232.4775 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 233.5463 (0.15 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 01:34:17

With 22.4555 MSTR at 233.19$ per unit.

Position size of 5236.3944 $

Take profit at 232.4775 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 233.5463 (0.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 3.37
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.134138

15m : 0.055022

1H : 0.191535

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.24
  4. atr: 0.237506938
Details
  1. score: 1.24
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.631
  4. ema21 : 234.062
  5. ema50 : 237.091
  6. ema100 : 239.185
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00240108
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00611548
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0127749
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0250652
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.145926
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.139188
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105095
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0657446
  17. rsi : 0.438056
  18. adx : 0.29948
  19. kc_percentage : 0.383886
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0272615
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.573573
  22. volume_ema1 : 383278.92767115
  23. volume_ema2 : 898816.87555102
  24. chop : 51.0238
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 232.602
  28. ema21 : 232.378
  29. ema50 : 232.872
  30. ema100 : 234.061
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00252386
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000965654
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00212082
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00372216
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0159647
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00836173
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00977495
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.015925
  41. rsi : 0.607639
  42. adx : 0.146052
  43. kc_percentage : 0.948
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00772952
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.737239
  46. volume_ema1 : 50688.673639742
  47. volume_ema2 : 192908.25661646
  48. chop : 59.8477
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 232.743
  52. ema21 : 232.491
  53. ema50 : 232.259
  54. ema100 : 231.983
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00191799
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00108431
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00100078
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00519991
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0233899
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0138049
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00790111
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00597322
  65. rsi : 0.683033
  66. adx : 0.292082
  67. kc_percentage : 1.24067
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00396982
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.577561
  70. volume_ema1 : 14707.759775546
  71. volume_ema2 : 34816.30628221
  72. chop : 35.255
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    103189
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00265047
  78. 5m_price: 
    103463
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.134138
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    103710
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00238213
  83. 15m_price: 
    103463
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055022
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103935
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00454279
  88. 1H_price: 
    103463
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.191535
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 18:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.060000857155109
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2900703674746
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.350881765268
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 12:45:00
                    [1] => 234.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 13:00:00
                    [1] => 238.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:15:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:30:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:45:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:15:00
                    [1] => 232.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.060000857155109
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.67348789016967
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.73392911108234
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 20:15:00
                    [1] => 232.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:25:00
                    [1] => 232.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:35:00
                    [1] => 231.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:05:00
                    [1] => 232.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:45:00
                    [1] => 232.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:55:00
                    [1] => 232.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:40:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 00:20:00
                    [1] => 232.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.060000857155109
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.67348789016967
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.45204064060617
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.67%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.45%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2163
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8475
0.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 20:15:00 232.69 ↑ High
2025-11-11 21:25:00 232.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 21:35:00 231.9 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:05:00 232.52 ↑ High
2025-11-11 22:45:00 232.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:55:00 232.58 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:40:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 00:20:00 232.28 ↑ High
2025-11-12 01:25:00 233.33 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.67%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.0037
2.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2575
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 11:15:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 12:45:00 234.52 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 13:00:00 238.02 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:15:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 18:30:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:45:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 21:15:00 232.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.1937
8.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2575
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 16:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 18:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:00:00 233.33 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
01:34:17		 12 Nov 2025
02:05:00		 30 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
233.19 233.5463 232.4775 2 132.01
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 233.19
  • Stop Loss: 233.5463
  • Take Profit: 232.4775

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 233.5463 - 233.19 = 0.3563

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 233.19 - 232.4775 = 0.71250000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.71250000000001 / 0.3563 = 1.9997

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5236.3944 100 22.4555 52.36
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3563

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3563 = 22.45

Taille de position USD = 22.45 x 233.19 = 5235.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.45 avec un stoploss a 233.5463

Avec un position size USD de 5235.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.45 x 0.3563 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.45 x 0.71250000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.45
  • Taille de position USD 5235.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9997

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.31 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.4774
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.29925
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.1211
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.94295
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.7648
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.58665
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.4085
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.23035
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.0522
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.87405
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.6959
            [stop_loss] => 233.5463
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.37
            [max_drawdown] => 0.34999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.91
            [high] => 233.54000000
            [low] => 231.82000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:34:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T03:34:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.37
            [max_drawdown] => 3.36
            [rr_ratio] => 0.41
            [high] => 236.55000000
            [low] => 231.82000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 1.44
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:34:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T08:34:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 233.33000000
            [high_after] => 236.55000000
            [low_before] => 231.63000000
            [low_after] => 231.82000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)