Short Trade on RIVER 14 Nov 2025 at 15:14:07

Take profit at 4.114 (9.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.732 (4.55 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 14 Nov 2025 at 15:14:07

With 38.8357 RIVER at 4.526$ per unit.

Position size of 175.7702 $

Take profit at 4.114 (9.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.732 (4.55 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 3.33
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bear_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.035935

15m : 0.03982

1H : -0.032522

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.1373308454
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.98893
  4. ema21 : 5.77637
  5. ema50 : 6.47128
  6. ema100 : 6.81613
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.092792
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.13632
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.107384
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.335986
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.34441
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.50647
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.800327
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.438265
  17. rsi : 0.199545
  18. adx : 0.543144
  19. kc_percentage : -0.264371
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.348344
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.60816
  22. volume_ema1 : 491178.10132707
  23. volume_ema2 : 188323.18966275
  24. chop : -3.41018
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.25483
  29. ema21 : 4.6403
  30. ema50 : 5.42666
  31. ema100 : 6.06059
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0637305
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0830699
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.144906
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.253208
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -1.3769
  39. ema_slope_21 : -1.47009
  40. ema_slope_50 : -1.03659
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.648026
  42. rsi : 0.412
  43. adx : 0.702074
  44. kc_percentage : 0.42581
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.234312
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.455276
  47. volume_ema1 : 175898.80254794
  48. volume_ema2 : 120869.6978661
  49. chop : 45.2146
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.28494
  54. ema21 : 4.20209
  55. ema50 : 4.47207
  56. ema100 : 5.0084
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0562556
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0197159
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0603699
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0963192
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.469676
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00341051
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.348312
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.375057
  67. rsi : 0.658888
  68. adx : 0.372858
  69. kc_percentage : 1.08808
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.122248
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0782759
  72. volume_ema1 : 52351.228997866
  73. volume_ema2 : 56797.07319502
  74. chop : 32.0416
  75. regime : bear_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95957.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00519987
  81. 5m_price:
    95458.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.035935
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    97108
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0169837
  86. 15m_price:
    95458.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.03982
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    101040
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0552413
  91. 1H_price:
    95458.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.032522
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 02:00:00
                        [1] => 7.109
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                        [1] => 7.244
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
                        [1] => 7.522
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
                        [1] => 7.314
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 16:00:00
                        [1] => 7.928
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 7.035
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
                        [1] => 7.337
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 13:00:00
                        [1] => 6.982
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 14:00:00
                        [1] => 7.249
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.789
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -37.646571940957
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.292689363948
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 91.316970176828
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 16:45:00
                        [1] => 7.091
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 7.178
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 21:00:00
                        [1] => 7.069
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 22:15:00
                        [1] => 7.148
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
                        [1] => 6.957
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 04:00:00
                        [1] => 6.887
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 06:15:00
                        [1] => 6.483
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 6.612
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 14:15:00
                        [1] => 3.789
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.547
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59379810864306
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.292689363948
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.005278437582
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 06:55:00
                        [1] => 6.601
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 07:40:00
                        [1] => 6.513
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 6.612
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 08:30:00
                        [1] => 6.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 09:05:00
                        [1] => 6.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.875
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 11:10:00
                        [1] => 5.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 13:15:00
                        [1] => 4.062
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 14:25:00
                        [1] => 3.789
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 15:10:00
                        [1] => 4.547
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59379810864306
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.292689363948
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.005278437582
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
19.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
20.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.8800
39.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3250
7.90%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-14 06:55:00 6.601 ↑ High
2025-11-14 07:40:00 6.513 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 08:00:00 6.612 ↑ High
2025-11-14 08:30:00 6.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 09:05:00 6.562 ↑ High
2025-11-14 11:00:00 4.875 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 11:10:00 5.52 ↑ High
2025-11-14 13:15:00 4.062 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 14:25:00 3.789 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 15:10:00 4.547 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
19.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
20.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.4460
51.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3250
7.90%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 16:45:00 7.091 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 17:00:00 7.178 ↑ High
2025-11-13 21:00:00 7.069 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 22:15:00 7.148 ↑ High
2025-11-13 23:30:00 6.957 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 04:00:00 6.887 ↑ High
2025-11-14 06:15:00 6.483 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 08:00:00 6.612 ↑ High
2025-11-14 14:15:00 3.789 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 15:00:00 4.547 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-37.65%
Dist From Last Low Pct
19.29%
Bars Since Swing High
25 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
91.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.1960
67.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3250
7.90%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 02:00:00 7.109 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 19:00:00 7.244 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:00:00 7.522 ↑ High
2025-11-12 02:00:00 7.314 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:00:00 7.928 ↑ High
2025-11-12 20:00:00 7.035 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 04:00:00 7.337 ↑ High
2025-11-13 13:00:00 6.982 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 14:00:00 7.249 ↑ High
2025-11-14 14:00:00 3.789 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Nov 2025
15:14:07
14 Nov 2025
15:25:00
10 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.526 4.732 4.114 2 11.018
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.526
  • Stop Loss: 4.732
  • Take Profit: 4.114

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.732 - 4.526 = 0.206

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.526 - 4.114 = 0.412

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.412 / 0.206 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
175.7702 100 38.8357 1.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.206

Taille de position = 8 / 0.206 = 38.83

Taille de position USD = 38.83 x 4.526 = 175.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 38.83 avec un stoploss a 4.732

Avec un position size USD de 175.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 38.83 x 0.206 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 38.83 x 0.412 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 38.83
  • Taille de position USD 175.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
9.1 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.55 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.55
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.5678 % 122.33 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.114
            [entry_price] => 4.526
            [stop_loss] => 4.7526
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.114
            [entry_price] => 4.526
            [stop_loss] => 4.7732
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.114
            [entry_price] => 4.526
            [stop_loss] => 4.7938
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.114
            [entry_price] => 4.526
            [stop_loss] => 4.835
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.596
            [max_drawdown] => 0.261
            [rr_ratio] => 2.28
            [high] => 4.78700000
            [low] => 3.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 13.17
            [mae_pct] => 5.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:14:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T17:14:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.655
            [max_drawdown] => 0.261
            [rr_ratio] => 2.51
            [high] => 4.78700000
            [low] => 3.87100000
            [mfe_pct] => 14.47
            [mae_pct] => 5.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:14:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T22:14:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.25500000
            [high_after] => 4.78700000
            [low_before] => 3.78900000
            [low_after] => 3.87100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)