Short Trade on RIVER 14 Nov 2025 at 15:14:07
Take profit at 4.114 (9.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.732 (4.55 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 14 Nov 2025 at 15:14:07
Take profit at 4.114 (9.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.732 (4.55 %)
Position size of 175.7702 $
Take profit at 4.114 (9.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.732 (4.55 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.035935 15m : 0.03982 1H : -0.032522 |
2 |
Indicators:
95957.7
-0.00519987
95458.8
0.035935
97108
-0.0169837
95458.8
0.03982
101040
-0.0552413
95458.8
-0.032522
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 02:00:00
[1] => 7.109
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 7.244
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
[1] => 7.522
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
[1] => 7.314
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 16:00:00
[1] => 7.928
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
[1] => 7.035
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
[1] => 7.337
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 13:00:00
[1] => 6.982
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 14:00:00
[1] => 7.249
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:00:00
[1] => 3.789
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -37.646571940957
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.292689363948
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 91.316970176828
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 16:45:00
[1] => 7.091
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 17:00:00
[1] => 7.178
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:00:00
[1] => 7.069
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:15:00
[1] => 7.148
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
[1] => 6.957
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:00:00
[1] => 6.887
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 06:15:00
[1] => 6.483
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
[1] => 6.612
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:15:00
[1] => 3.789
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:00:00
[1] => 4.547
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59379810864306
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.292689363948
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.005278437582
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 06:55:00
[1] => 6.601
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:40:00
[1] => 6.513
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
[1] => 6.612
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:30:00
[1] => 6.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 09:05:00
[1] => 6.562
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:00:00
[1] => 4.875
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:10:00
[1] => 5.52
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 13:15:00
[1] => 4.062
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:25:00
[1] => 3.789
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:10:00
[1] => 4.547
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59379810864306
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.292689363948
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.005278437582
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 06:55:00 | 6.601 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:40:00 | 6.513 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 08:00:00 | 6.612 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 08:30:00 | 6.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 09:05:00 | 6.562 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 11:00:00 | 4.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 11:10:00 | 5.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 13:15:00 | 4.062 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:25:00 | 3.789 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:10:00 | 4.547 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 16:45:00 | 7.091 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 17:00:00 | 7.178 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 21:00:00 | 7.069 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 22:15:00 | 7.148 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:30:00 | 6.957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 04:00:00 | 6.887 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 06:15:00 | 6.483 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 08:00:00 | 6.612 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:15:00 | 3.789 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:00:00 | 4.547 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 02:00:00 | 7.109 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 7.244 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 01:00:00 | 7.522 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 02:00:00 | 7.314 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 16:00:00 | 7.928 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 20:00:00 | 7.035 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 04:00:00 | 7.337 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 13:00:00 | 6.982 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 14:00:00 | 7.249 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:00:00 | 3.789 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 15:14:07 |
14 Nov 2025 15:25:00 |
10 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.526 | 4.732 | 4.114 | 2 | 11.018 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.732 - 4.526 = 0.206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.526 - 4.114 = 0.412
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.412 / 0.206 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175.7702 | 100 | 38.8357 | 1.76 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.206 = 38.83
Taille de position USD = 38.83 x 4.526 = 175.74
Donc, tu peux acheter 38.83 avec un stoploss a 4.732
Avec un position size USD de 175.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 38.83 x 0.206 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 38.83 x 0.412 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.1 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.5678 % | 122.33 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.114
[entry_price] => 4.526
[stop_loss] => 4.7526
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.114
[entry_price] => 4.526
[stop_loss] => 4.7732
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.114
[entry_price] => 4.526
[stop_loss] => 4.7938
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:15:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.114
[entry_price] => 4.526
[stop_loss] => 4.835
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.596
[max_drawdown] => 0.261
[rr_ratio] => 2.28
[high] => 4.78700000
[low] => 3.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 13.17
[mae_pct] => 5.77
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.28
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:14:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T17:14:07-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.655
[max_drawdown] => 0.261
[rr_ratio] => 2.51
[high] => 4.78700000
[low] => 3.87100000
[mfe_pct] => 14.47
[mae_pct] => 5.77
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.51
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:14:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T22:14:07-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.25500000
[high_after] => 4.78700000
[low_before] => 3.78900000
[low_after] => 3.87100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)