Short Trade on RIVER 14 Nov 2025 at 15:19:16

Take profit at 4.2147 (8.89 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8316 (4.44 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 14 Nov 2025 at 15:19:16

With 38.9026 RIVER at 4.626$ per unit.

Position size of 179.9632 $

Take profit at 4.2147 (8.89 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8316 (4.44 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 6.42
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bear_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.030965

15m : 0.037426

1H : 0.022782

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 0.1370946954
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.00893
  4. ema21 : 5.78546
  5. ema50 : 6.4752
  6. ema100 : 6.81811
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.07645
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.13422
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.10652
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.321513
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.3204
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.49572
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.795763
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.435972
  17. rsi : 0.22871
  18. adx : 0.537884
  19. kc_percentage : -0.188299
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.350066
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.66426
  22. volume_ema1 : 506566.55332707
  23. volume_ema2 : 190133.5957804
  24. chop : -3.31089
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.3281
  29. ema21 : 4.6385
  30. ema50 : 5.39399
  31. ema100 : 6.02435
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0688269
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0669173
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.140061
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.232116
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -1.04136
  39. ema_slope_21 : -1.32676
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.99238
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.630759
  42. rsi : 0.442961
  43. adx : 0.665756
  44. kc_percentage : 0.519653
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.217909
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.119898
  47. volume_ema1 : 132252.9094764
  48. volume_ema2 : 118093.60458119
  49. chop : 50.5261
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.35219
  54. ema21 : 4.24013
  55. ema50 : 4.47757
  56. ema100 : 4.99841
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0629112
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0264282
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0530284
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0745069
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.67505
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.133011
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.286092
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.34608
  67. rsi : 0.692035
  68. adx : 0.374126
  69. kc_percentage : 1.19871
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.119232
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.115456
  72. volume_ema1 : 49887.860443022
  73. volume_ema2 : 56399.549006181
  74. chop : 27.3068
  75. regime : bear_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95905.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00588199
  81. 5m_price:
    95341
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.030965
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    97041.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0175226
  86. 15m_price:
    95341
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.037426
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    101038
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0563854
  91. 1H_price:
    95341
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.022782
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 02:00:00
                        [1] => 7.109
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                        [1] => 7.244
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
                        [1] => 7.522
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
                        [1] => 7.314
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 16:00:00
                        [1] => 7.928
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 7.035
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
                        [1] => 7.337
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 13:00:00
                        [1] => 6.982
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 14:00:00
                        [1] => 7.249
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.789
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -36.046351220858
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.354183161784
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 91.316970176828
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 16:45:00
                        [1] => 7.091
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 7.178
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 21:00:00
                        [1] => 7.069
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 22:15:00
                        [1] => 7.148
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
                        [1] => 6.957
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 04:00:00
                        [1] => 6.887
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 06:15:00
                        [1] => 6.483
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 6.612
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 14:15:00
                        [1] => 3.789
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 15:15:00
                        [1] => 4.687
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0881160657137
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.354183161784
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.700184745315
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 07:40:00
                        [1] => 6.513
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 6.612
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 08:30:00
                        [1] => 6.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 09:05:00
                        [1] => 6.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.875
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 11:10:00
                        [1] => 5.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 13:15:00
                        [1] => 4.062
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 14:25:00
                        [1] => 3.789
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 15:15:00
                        [1] => 4.687
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0881160657137
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.354183161784
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.700184745315
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.70%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.7804
36.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4257
10.10%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-14 07:40:00 6.513 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 08:00:00 6.612 ↑ High
2025-11-14 08:30:00 6.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 09:05:00 6.562 ↑ High
2025-11-14 11:00:00 4.875 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 11:10:00 5.52 ↑ High
2025-11-14 13:15:00 4.062 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 14:25:00 3.789 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 15:15:00 4.687 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.70%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3464
48.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4257
10.10%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 16:45:00 7.091 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 17:00:00 7.178 ↑ High
2025-11-13 21:00:00 7.069 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 22:15:00 7.148 ↑ High
2025-11-13 23:30:00 6.957 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 04:00:00 6.887 ↑ High
2025-11-14 06:15:00 6.483 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 08:00:00 6.612 ↑ High
2025-11-14 14:15:00 3.789 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 15:15:00 4.687 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-36.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.35%
Bars Since Swing High
25 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
91.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.0964
64.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4257
10.10%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 02:00:00 7.109 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 19:00:00 7.244 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:00:00 7.522 ↑ High
2025-11-12 02:00:00 7.314 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:00:00 7.928 ↑ High
2025-11-12 20:00:00 7.035 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 04:00:00 7.337 ↑ High
2025-11-13 13:00:00 6.982 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 14:00:00 7.249 ↑ High
2025-11-14 14:00:00 3.789 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Nov 2025
15:19:16
14 Nov 2025
16:05:00
45 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.626 4.8316 4.2147 2 10.827
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.626
  • Stop Loss: 4.8316
  • Take Profit: 4.2147

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.8316 - 4.626 = 0.2056

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.626 - 4.2147 = 0.4113

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4113 / 0.2056 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
179.9632 100 38.9026 1.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2056

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2056 = 38.91

Taille de position USD = 38.91 x 4.626 = 180

Donc, tu peux acheter 38.91 avec un stoploss a 4.8316

Avec un position size USD de 180$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 38.91 x 0.2056 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 38.91 x 0.4113 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 38.91
  • Taille de position USD 180
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
8.89 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.44 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 8.89
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4803 % 78.31 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2148
            [stop_loss] => 4.8316
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.112
            [stop_loss] => 4.8316
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0092
            [stop_loss] => 4.8316
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9064
            [stop_loss] => 4.8316
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 17:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.726
            [max_drawdown] => 0.161
            [rr_ratio] => 4.51
            [high] => 4.78700000
            [low] => 3.90000000
            [mfe_pct] => 15.69
            [mae_pct] => 3.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:19:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T17:19:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.755
            [max_drawdown] => 0.161
            [rr_ratio] => 4.69
            [high] => 4.78700000
            [low] => 3.87100000
            [mfe_pct] => 16.32
            [mae_pct] => 3.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:19:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T22:19:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.17100000
            [high_after] => 4.78700000
            [low_before] => 3.78900000
            [low_after] => 3.87100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)