Short Trade on RIVER 14 Nov 2025 at 15:29:47
Take profit at 4.3524 (8.68 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9728 (4.34 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 14 Nov 2025 at 15:29:47
Take profit at 4.3524 (8.68 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9728 (4.34 %)
Position size of 184.3523 $
Take profit at 4.3524 (8.68 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9728 (4.34 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.88 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.58 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.021484 15m : 0.085174 1H : -0.049614 |
3 |
Indicators:
95836.6
-0.00952824
94923.5
0.021484
97042.5
-0.0169689
95395.8
0.085174
101029
-0.0604406
94923.5
-0.049614
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 02:00:00
[1] => 7.109
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 7.244
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
[1] => 7.522
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
[1] => 7.314
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 16:00:00
[1] => 7.928
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
[1] => 7.035
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
[1] => 7.337
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 13:00:00
[1] => 6.982
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 14:00:00
[1] => 7.249
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:00:00
[1] => 3.789
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -34.280590426266
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 25.732383214568
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 91.316970176828
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 16:45:00
[1] => 7.091
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 17:00:00
[1] => 7.178
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:00:00
[1] => 7.069
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:15:00
[1] => 7.148
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
[1] => 6.957
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:00:00
[1] => 6.887
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 06:15:00
[1] => 6.483
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
[1] => 6.612
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:15:00
[1] => 3.789
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:15:00
[1] => 4.778
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29300962745917
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 25.732383214568
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 26.101873845342
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:40:00
[1] => 6.513
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
[1] => 6.612
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:30:00
[1] => 6.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 09:05:00
[1] => 6.562
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:00:00
[1] => 4.875
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:10:00
[1] => 5.52
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 13:15:00
[1] => 4.062
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:25:00
[1] => 3.789
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:25:00
[1] => 4.778
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29300962745917
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 25.732383214568
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 26.101873845342
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 07:40:00 | 6.513 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 08:00:00 | 6.612 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 08:30:00 | 6.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 09:05:00 | 6.562 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 11:00:00 | 4.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 11:10:00 | 5.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 13:15:00 | 4.062 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:25:00 | 3.789 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:25:00 | 4.778 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 16:45:00 | 7.091 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 17:00:00 | 7.178 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 21:00:00 | 7.069 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 22:15:00 | 7.148 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:30:00 | 6.957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 04:00:00 | 6.887 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 06:15:00 | 6.483 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 08:00:00 | 6.612 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:15:00 | 3.789 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:15:00 | 4.778 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 02:00:00 | 7.109 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 7.244 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 01:00:00 | 7.522 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 02:00:00 | 7.314 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 16:00:00 | 7.928 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 20:00:00 | 7.035 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 04:00:00 | 7.337 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 13:00:00 | 6.982 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 14:00:00 | 7.249 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:00:00 | 3.789 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 15:29:47 |
14 Nov 2025 15:30:00 |
13 seconds |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.766 | 4.9728 | 4.3524 | 2 | 11.088 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.9728 - 4.766 = 0.2068
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.766 - 4.3524 = 0.4136
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4136 / 0.2068 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184.3523 | 100 | 38.6807 | 1.84 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2068 = 38.68
Taille de position USD = 38.68 x 4.766 = 184.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 38.68 avec un stoploss a 4.9728
Avec un position size USD de 184.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 38.68 x 0.2068 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 38.68 x 0.4136 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.68 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 8.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4406 % | 10.15 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.3524
[stop_loss] => 4.9728
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.249
[stop_loss] => 4.9728
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.1456
[stop_loss] => 4.9728
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.0422
[stop_loss] => 4.9728
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 16:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.9388
[stop_loss] => 4.9728
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 17:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.895
[max_drawdown] => 0.021
[rr_ratio] => 42.62
[high] => 4.78700000
[low] => 3.87100000
[mfe_pct] => 18.78
[mae_pct] => 0.44
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 42.62
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:29:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T17:29:47-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.895
[max_drawdown] => 0.021
[rr_ratio] => 42.62
[high] => 4.78700000
[low] => 3.87100000
[mfe_pct] => 18.78
[mae_pct] => 0.44
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 42.62
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T15:29:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T22:29:47-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.93300000
[high_after] => 4.78700000
[low_before] => 3.78900000
[low_after] => 3.87100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)