Short Trade on COIN 17 Nov 2025 at 16:20:52
Take profit at 262.1241 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 265.718 (0.45 %)
Short Trade on COIN 17 Nov 2025 at 16:20:52
Take profit at 262.1241 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 265.718 (0.45 %)
Position size of 1766.4668 $
Take profit at 262.1241 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 265.718 (0.45 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.51 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.204788 15m : -0.19459 1H : 0.176086 |
3 |
Indicators:
93016.5
-0.0130903
91798.9
0.204788
93990.6
-0.0237158
91761.6
-0.19459
95586
-0.0396198
91798.9
0.176086
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 286.71
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 21:00:00
[1] => 283.4
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 03:00:00
[1] => 287.87
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
[1] => 258.7
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.3961510404002
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.932740626208
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.275608813297
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 286.71
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 21:30:00
[1] => 283.4
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 23:30:00
[1] => 285.5
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 01:00:00
[1] => 285.47
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 01:30:00
[1] => 285.06
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 03:45:00
[1] => 287.87
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 05:45:00
[1] => 284.98
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
[1] => 264.67
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:15:00
[1] => 258.7
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 265.81
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.79380008276589
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.932740626208
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7483571704677
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 08:05:00
[1] => 284.93
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 08:50:00
[1] => 278.88
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:35:00
[1] => 269.67
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:00:00
[1] => 269.44
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
[1] => 264.67
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:55:00
[1] => 269.18
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 13:50:00
[1] => 263.35
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:25:00
[1] => 258.7
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:10:00
[1] => 262.13
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:10:00
[1] => 265.81
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.79380008276589
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.932740626208
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 23
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4038835692214
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 08:05:00 | 284.93 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 08:50:00 | 278.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 09:35:00 | 269.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 11:00:00 | 269.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 11:15:00 | 264.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 11:55:00 | 269.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 13:50:00 | 263.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:25:00 | 258.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 15:10:00 | 262.13 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:10:00 | 265.81 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 286.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 21:30:00 | 283.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 23:30:00 | 285.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 01:00:00 | 285.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 01:30:00 | 285.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 03:45:00 | 287.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 05:45:00 | 284.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 11:15:00 | 264.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 14:15:00 | 258.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 265.81 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 03:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 05:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 07:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 09:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 11:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 286.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 21:00:00 | 283.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 03:00:00 | 287.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:00:00 | 258.7 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 16:20:52 |
17 Nov 2025 19:40:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264.52 | 265.718 | 262.1241 | 2 | 173.43 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 265.718 - 264.52 = 1.198
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 264.52 - 262.1241 = 2.3959
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3959 / 1.198 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1766.4668 | 100 | 6.678 | 17.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.198 = 6.68
Taille de position USD = 6.68 x 264.52 = 1766.99
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.68 avec un stoploss a 265.718
Avec un position size USD de 1766.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.68 x 1.198 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.68 x 2.3959 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0491 % | 10.84 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 262.124
[stop_loss] => 265.718
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.525
[stop_loss] => 265.718
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 260.926
[stop_loss] => 265.718
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 260.327
[stop_loss] => 265.718
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 259.728
[stop_loss] => 265.718
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:05:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.54
[max_drawdown] => 0.13
[rr_ratio] => 11.85
[high] => 264.65000000
[low] => 262.98000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.58
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.85
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:20:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T18:20:52-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.41
[max_drawdown] => 0.13
[rr_ratio] => 72.38
[high] => 264.65000000
[low] => 255.11000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.56
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 72.38
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:20:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T23:20:52-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 268.29000000
[high_after] => 264.65000000
[low_before] => 258.70000000
[low_after] => 259.14000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)