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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Nov 2025 at 16:21:10

Take profit at 195.3959 (1.1 %) and Stop Loss at 198.642 (0.55 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Nov 2025 at 16:21:10

With 7.3934 MSTR at 197.56$ per unit.

Position size of 1460.6386 $

Take profit at 195.3959 (1.1 %) and Stop Loss at 198.642 (0.55 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 5.3
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.648319

15m : 0.010045

1H : 0.028054

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.36
  4. atr: 0.7213648335
Details
  1. score: 1.36
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 196.205
  4. ema21 : 197.882
  5. ema50 : 199.575
  6. ema100 : 201.692
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0069044
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00847592
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00848266
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0204887
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.203453
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.119302
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0664493
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0506556
  17. rsi : 0.481814
  18. adx : 0.297659
  19. kc_percentage : 0.484811
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0755334
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.560323
  22. volume_ema1 : 317503.32951126
  23. volume_ema2 : 722129.32006732
  24. chop : 23.0676
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 195.186
  28. ema21 : 195.013
  29. ema50 : 196.679
  30. ema100 : 198.188
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0121597
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000885797
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00846894
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00316874
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0154354
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0612402
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0700809
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0492198
  41. rsi : 0.581843
  42. adx : 0.165647
  43. kc_percentage : 0.878586
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0346829
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.490127
  46. volume_ema1 : 46860.924965022
  47. volume_ema2 : 91907.080862804
  48. chop : 40.3461
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 196.585
  52. ema21 : 195.009
  53. ema50 : 194.552
  54. ema100 : 195.502
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00495869
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00808102
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00235017
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0105249
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.191848
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.111767
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.034716
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00263725
  65. rsi : 0.672033
  66. adx : 0.295196
  67. kc_percentage : 1.35941
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0145775
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.176793
  70. volume_ema1 : 36774.086268956
  71. volume_ema2 : 31249.385083232
  72. chop : 14.5523
  73. regime : bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    93016.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0130903
  78. 5m_price: 
    91798.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.648319
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93990.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0237158
  83. 15m_price: 
    91761.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.010045
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95586
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0396198
  88. 1H_price: 
    91798.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.028054
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50781839207602
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2900811636977
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8223885316749
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 201.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 01:15:00
                    [1] => 199.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 03:15:00
                    [1] => 203.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:30:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50781839207602
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2900811636977
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8223885316749
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:40:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:50:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:20:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:05:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:15:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 192.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:35:00
                    [1] => 191.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:50:00
                    [1] => 194.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:40:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:10:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50781839207602
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2900811636977
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8223885316749
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.29%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.2680
2.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6559
2.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 08:40:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:50:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:20:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:05:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:15:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:45:00 192.87 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:35:00 191.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:50:00 194.44 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:40:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:10:00 198.89 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.29%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.5480
4.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6559
2.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 23:00:00 201.53 ↑ High
2025-11-17 01:15:00 199.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 03:15:00 203.07 ↑ High
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 08:30:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.82%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.5480
4.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6559
2.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 05:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 07:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Nov 2025
16:21:10		 17 Nov 2025
19:40:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
197.56 198.642 195.3959 2 129.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 197.56
  • Stop Loss: 198.642
  • Take Profit: 195.3959

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 198.642 - 197.56 = 1.082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 197.56 - 195.3959 = 2.1641

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1641 / 1.082 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1460.6386 100 7.3934 14.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.082

Taille de position = 8 / 1.082 = 7.39

Taille de position USD = 7.39 x 197.56 = 1459.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.39 avec un stoploss a 198.642

Avec un position size USD de 1459.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.39 x 1.082 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.39 x 2.1641 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.39
  • Taille de position USD 1459.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.1 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.55 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3341 % 61 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 195.396
            [stop_loss] => 198.642
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.855
            [stop_loss] => 198.642
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.314
            [stop_loss] => 198.642
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.773
            [stop_loss] => 198.642
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.232
            [stop_loss] => 198.642
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.691
            [stop_loss] => 198.642
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.07
            [max_drawdown] => 0.66
            [rr_ratio] => 1.62
            [high] => 198.22000000
            [low] => 196.49000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:21:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T18:21:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.15
            [max_drawdown] => 0.66
            [rr_ratio] => 12.35
            [high] => 198.22000000
            [low] => 189.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:21:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T23:21:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 198.89000000
            [high_after] => 198.22000000
            [low_before] => 189.74000000
            [low_after] => 192.40000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)