Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 16:14:42

With 4.9286 MSTR at 205.09$ per unit.

Position size of 1010.8074 $

Take profit at 208.3364 (1.58 %) and Stop Loss at 203.4668 (0.79 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.641332

15m : -0.021262

1H : 0.003596

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.33
  4. atr: 1.082118404
Details
  1. score: 2.33
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 205.521
  4. ema21 - 201.649
  5. ema50 - 199.606
  6. ema100 - 199.379
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.00210067
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0192003
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0102385
  10. price_ema100_diff - 0.0286413
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - 0.552896
  14. ema_slope_21 - 0.312978
  15. ema_slope_50 - 0.119443
  16. ema_slope_100 - 0.0507918
  17. rsi - 0.585847
  18. adx - 0.309288
  19. kc_percentage - 0.707269
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0762473
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.668602
  22. volume_ema1 - 485553.76958468
  23. volume_ema2 - 1465171.612707
  24. chop - 25.8361
  25. regime - bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 208.764
  29. ema21 - 208.199
  30. ema50 - 203.95
  31. ema100 - 200.015
  32. price_ema9_diff - -0.0176023
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00271528
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0208328
  35. price_ema100_diff - 0.025373
  36. all_emas_in_trend - True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - -0.050419
  39. ema_slope_21 - 0.0965406
  40. ema_slope_50 - 0.144066
  41. ema_slope_100 - 0.110497
  42. rsi - 0.442151
  43. adx - 0.390018
  44. kc_percentage - 0.13847
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0437782
  46. volume_ema_diff - 0.0176621
  47. volume_ema1 - 182798.31348693
  48. volume_ema2 - 179625.73339062
  49. chop - 48.6675
  50. regime - bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 207.308
  54. ema21 - 208.766
  55. ema50 - 208.922
  56. ema100 - 206.46
  57. price_ema9_diff - -0.0107003
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00698269
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.000748809
  60. price_ema100_diff - -0.00663846
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - -0.1336
  64. ema_slope_21 - -0.0763076
  65. ema_slope_50 - -0.0164974
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0211897
  67. rsi - 0.306861
  68. adx - 0.202884
  69. kc_percentage - -0.325303
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0213034
  71. volume_ema_diff - 0.941881
  72. volume_ema1 - 96475.055242343
  73. volume_ema2 - 49681.233293013
  74. chop - 27.0685
  75. regime - bear_medium_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 92745.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00228819
  81. 5m_price: 92957.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.641332
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 91996.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0104423
  86. 15m_price: 92957.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.021262
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 93731.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00825725
  91. 1H_price: 92957.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.003596
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
16:14:42
18 Nov 2025
16:20:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
205.09 203.4668 208.3364 2 203.75
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 205.09
  • Stop Loss: 203.4668
  • Take Profit: 208.3364

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.4668 - 205.09 = -1.6232

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 205.09 - 208.3364 = -3.2464

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2464 / -1.6232 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1010.8074 100 4.9286 10.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.6232

Taille de position = 8 / -1.6232 = -4.93

Taille de position USD = -4.93 x 205.09 = -1011.09

Donc, tu peux acheter -4.93 avec un stoploss a 203.4668

Avec un position size USD de -1011.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4.93 x -1.6232 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4.93 x -3.2464 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4.93
  • Taille de position USD -1011.09
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.58 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0288 % 129.98 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.3364
            [entry_price] => 205.09
            [stop_loss] => 203.30448
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 16:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.3364
            [entry_price] => 205.09
            [stop_loss] => 203.14216
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 16:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.3364
            [entry_price] => 205.09
            [stop_loss] => 202.97984
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
)