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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 16:18:47

Take profit at 208.1274 (1.55 %) and Stop Loss at 203.3613 (0.78 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 16:18:47

With 5.0355 MSTR at 204.95$ per unit.

Position size of 1032.0355 $

Take profit at 208.1274 (1.55 %) and Stop Loss at 203.3613 (0.78 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.17
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.646196

15m : -0.010351

1H : 0.043528

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.3
  4. atr: 1.059136677
Details
  1. score: 2.3
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 205.493
  4. ema21 : 201.637
  5. ema50 : 199.6
  6. ema100 : 199.376
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00264598
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0191257
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0102026
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0279534
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.551686
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.312432
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.11921
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0506752
  17. rsi : 0.58284
  18. adx : 0.309288
  19. kc_percentage : 0.699169
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0762994
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.667795
  22. volume_ema1 : 486784.38951802
  23. volume_ema2 : 1465316.3915227
  24. chop : 25.8361
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 208.001
  28. ema21 : 207.904
  29. ema50 : 203.999
  30. ema100 : 200.185
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.014672
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000470089
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0191393
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0237988
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.081432
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0685632
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.129465
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.102962
  41. rsi : 0.438895
  42. adx : 0.362981
  43. kc_percentage : 0.134625
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0409106
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.291463
  46. volume_ema1 : 123096.16225796
  47. volume_ema2 : 173732.95466373
  48. chop : 48.3366
  49. regime : bull_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 206.836
  52. ema21 : 208.419
  53. ema50 : 208.813
  54. ema100 : 206.779
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.00912126
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00759372
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00188978
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00884907
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.157641
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0924785
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0270267
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0117538
  65. rsi : 0.30263
  66. adx : 0.215789
  67. kc_percentage : -0.300057
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0206695
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.346125
  70. volume_ema1 : 65547.323428229
  71. volume_ema2 : 48693.314278236
  72. chop : 26.9487
  73. regime : bear_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92765.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00182526
  78. 5m_price: 
    92934.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.646196
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91997.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0101864
  83. 15m_price: 
    92934.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.010351
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93731
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00849677
  88. 1H_price: 
    92934.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.043528
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 204.37
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.1532201487302
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2740128198855
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6190732494985
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:30:00
                    [1] => 195.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                    [1] => 192.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 195.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 193.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 197.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                    [1] => 213.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 204.37
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.1532201487302
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2740128198855
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6190732494985
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:50:00
                    [1] => 209.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:10:00
                    [1] => 211.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:05:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:25:00
                    [1] => 210.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                    [1] => 209.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                    [1] => 212.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                    [1] => 209.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 204.37
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3349056603774
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2740128198855
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.73342467094
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.27%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.73%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0087
0.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6826
2.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 11:50:00 209.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 12:10:00 211.96 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:05:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 13:25:00 210.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 204.37 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.27%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.62%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.7513
7.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6826
2.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:30:00 195.48 ↑ High
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 204.37 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.27%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.62%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.7513
7.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6826
2.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 204.37 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
16:18:47		 18 Nov 2025
16:20:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
204.95 203.3613 208.1274 2 134.33
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 204.95
  • Stop Loss: 203.3613
  • Take Profit: 208.1274

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.3613 - 204.95 = -1.5887

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 204.95 - 208.1274 = -3.1774

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.1774 / -1.5887 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1032.0355 100 5.0355 10.32
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.5887

Taille de position = 8 / -1.5887 = -5.04

Taille de position USD = -5.04 x 204.95 = -1032.95

Donc, tu peux acheter -5.04 avec un stoploss a 203.3613

Avec un position size USD de -1032.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5.04 x -1.5887 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5.04 x -3.1774 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5.04
  • Taille de position USD -1032.95
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.55 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.78 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9612 % 123.99 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.1274
            [entry_price] => 204.95
            [stop_loss] => 203.20243
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 16:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.1274
            [entry_price] => 204.95
            [stop_loss] => 203.04356
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 16:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.1274
            [entry_price] => 204.95
            [stop_loss] => 202.88469
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.1274
            [entry_price] => 204.95
            [stop_loss] => 202.56695
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.32
            [max_drawdown] => 2.22
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 206.27000000
            [low] => 202.73000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 1.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T16:18:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T18:18:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.26
            [max_drawdown] => 2.81
            [rr_ratio] => 1.16
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.59
            [mae_pct] => 1.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T16:18:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T23:18:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 213.81000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 204.37000000
            [low_after] => 202.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)