Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 16:33:22

Take profit at 207.2341 (1.67 %) and Stop Loss at 202.1429 (0.83 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 16:33:22

With 4.714 MSTR at 203.84$ per unit.

Position size of 960.9094 $

Take profit at 207.2341 (1.67 %) and Stop Loss at 202.1429 (0.83 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 5.54
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.640881

15m : 0.061558

1H : -0.050655

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 1.131372763
Details
  1. score: 2.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 205.271
  4. ema21 : 201.536
  5. ema50 : 199.557
  6. ema100 : 199.354
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00697482
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0185345
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00991731
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0224988
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.542087
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.308105
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.117367
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0497509
  17. rsi : 0.560049
  18. adx : 0.302898
  19. kc_percentage : 0.628129
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0807965
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.626134
  22. volume_ema1 : 550640.35001802
  23. volume_ema2 : 1472828.8574639
  24. chop : 25.9595
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 206.985
  29. ema21 : 207.439
  30. ema50 : 203.972
  31. ema100 : 200.4
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0151964
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00218961
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0169987
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0171609
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.13569
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0290188
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.108753
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0911944
  42. rsi : 0.415156
  43. adx : 0.355174
  44. kc_percentage : 0.0660508
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0415688
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.272293
  47. volume_ema1 : 125440.41184975
  48. volume_ema2 : 172377.82837803
  49. chop : 41.2164
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 205.255
  54. ema21 : 207.211
  55. ema50 : 208.214
  56. ema100 : 206.565
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00689742
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00943703
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00482096
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.013195
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.205472
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.134403
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0538227
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00434821
  67. rsi : 0.30679
  68. adx : 0.275883
  69. kc_percentage : -0.208728
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0225681
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0205943
  72. volume_ema1 : 48223.652078734
  73. volume_ema2 : 49237.670109206
  74. chop : 20.0854
  75. regime : bear_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92759.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00109868
  81. 5m_price:
    92861.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.640881
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92050.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0088117
  86. 15m_price:
    92861.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.061558
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93729.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00925717
  91. 1H_price:
    92861.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.050655
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 190
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6630185678874
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54752626646279
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 03:30:00
                        [1] => 195.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                        [1] => 192.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                        [1] => 195.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 193.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 197.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 213.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6630185678874
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54752626646279
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:50:00
                        [1] => 209.49
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:10:00
                        [1] => 211.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:05:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:25:00
                        [1] => 210.13
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                        [1] => 209.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                        [1] => 212.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                        [1] => 209.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                        [1] => 212
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8490566037736
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54752626646279
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5725842253243
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.85%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.57%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5871
0.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.5759
3.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 11:50:00 209.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 12:10:00 211.96 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:05:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 13:25:00 210.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.5329
7.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.5759
3.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:30:00 195.48 ↑ High
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.5329
7.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.5759
3.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
16:33:22
18 Nov 2025
20:15:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
203.84 202.1429 207.2341 2 134.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 203.84
  • Stop Loss: 202.1429
  • Take Profit: 207.2341

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 202.1429 - 203.84 = -1.6971

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 203.84 - 207.2341 = -3.3941

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3941 / -1.6971 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
960.9094 100 4.714 9.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.6971

Taille de position = 8 / -1.6971 = -4.71

Taille de position USD = -4.71 x 203.84 = -960.09

Donc, tu peux acheter -4.71 avec un stoploss a 202.1429

Avec un position size USD de -960.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4.71 x -1.6971 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4.71 x -3.3941 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4.71
  • Taille de position USD -960.09
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.67 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.83 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.834 % 100.17 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.2341
            [entry_price] => 203.84
            [stop_loss] => 201.97319
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.2341
            [entry_price] => 203.84
            [stop_loss] => 201.80348
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.2341
            [entry_price] => 203.84
            [stop_loss] => 201.63377
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.2341
            [entry_price] => 203.84
            [stop_loss] => 201.29435
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.43
            [max_drawdown] => 0.42000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 5.79
            [high] => 206.27000000
            [low] => 203.42000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.19
            [mae_pct] => 0.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.79
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T16:33:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T18:33:22-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.37
            [max_drawdown] => 1.7
            [rr_ratio] => 2.57
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.83
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T16:33:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T23:33:22-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 213.81000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 202.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)