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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 16:28:40

Take profit at 207.7369 (1.74 %) and Stop Loss at 202.4166 (0.87 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 16:28:40

With 4.511 MSTR at 204.19$ per unit.

Position size of 921.1039 $

Take profit at 207.7369 (1.74 %) and Stop Loss at 202.4166 (0.87 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 3.34
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.84
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.640061

15m : 0.06288

1H : 0.096526

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 1.18229147
Details
  1. score: 2.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 205.341
  4. ema21 : 201.568
  5. ema50 : 199.571
  6. ema100 : 199.361
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00560886
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.018721
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0100072
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0242188
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.545113
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.30947
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.117948
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0500424
  17. rsi : 0.56704
  18. adx : 0.302898
  19. kc_percentage : 0.647357
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.080658
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.628185
  22. volume_ema1 : 547481.03698468
  23. volume_ema2 : 1472457.1735776
  24. chop : 25.9595
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 207.997
  28. ema21 : 207.902
  29. ema50 : 203.998
  30. ema100 : 200.185
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.0183069
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000459599
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0191343
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0200044
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0815907
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0684897
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.129433
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.102946
  41. rsi : 0.438436
  42. adx : 0.36512
  43. kc_percentage : 0.0564824
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0421991
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.243091
  46. volume_ema1 : 132321.51825796
  47. volume_ema2 : 174818.29066373
  48. chop : 46.5767
  49. regime : bull_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 205.687
  52. ema21 : 207.583
  53. ema50 : 208.403
  54. ema100 : 206.591
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.00728128
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00913403
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0039345
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0116227
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.202419
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.125965
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0469233
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.000478296
  65. rsi : 0.326795
  66. adx : 0.257864
  67. kc_percentage : -0.170857
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0240227
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.311325
  70. volume_ema1 : 67967.670068102
  71. volume_ema2 : 51831.260602216
  72. chop : 18.0455
  73. regime : bear_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92750.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00162199
  78. 5m_price: 
    92901.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.640061
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91997.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0101449
  83. 15m_price: 
    92930.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.06288
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93730.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00884507
  88. 1H_price: 
    92901.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.096526
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6817267667555
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52779559019386
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:30:00
                    [1] => 195.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                    [1] => 192.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 195.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 193.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 197.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                    [1] => 213.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6817267667555
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52779559019386
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:50:00
                    [1] => 209.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:10:00
                    [1] => 211.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:05:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:25:00
                    [1] => 210.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                    [1] => 209.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                    [1] => 212.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                    [1] => 209.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8679245283019
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52779559019386
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5725842253243
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.87%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.53%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.57%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3134
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.0731
2.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 11:50:00 209.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 12:10:00 211.96 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:05:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 13:25:00 210.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.53%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.8066
7.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.0731
2.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:30:00 195.48 ↑ High
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.53%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.8066
7.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.0731
2.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
16:28:40		 18 Nov 2025
20:15:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
204.19 202.4166 207.7369 2 135.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 204.19
  • Stop Loss: 202.4166
  • Take Profit: 207.7369

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 202.4166 - 204.19 = -1.7734

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 204.19 - 207.7369 = -3.5469

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.5469 / -1.7734 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
921.1039 100 4.511 9.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.7734

Taille de position = 8 / -1.7734 = -4.51

Taille de position USD = -4.51 x 204.19 = -920.9

Donc, tu peux acheter -4.51 avec un stoploss a 202.4166

Avec un position size USD de -920.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4.51 x -1.7734 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4.51 x -3.5469 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4.51
  • Taille de position USD -920.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.74 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.87 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.004 % 115.6 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.7369
            [entry_price] => 204.19
            [stop_loss] => 202.23926
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.7369
            [entry_price] => 204.19
            [stop_loss] => 202.06192
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.7369
            [entry_price] => 204.19
            [stop_loss] => 201.88458
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.7369
            [entry_price] => 204.19
            [stop_loss] => 201.5299
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.08
            [max_drawdown] => 0.77000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.7
            [high] => 206.27000000
            [low] => 203.42000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.02
            [mae_pct] => 0.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T16:28:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T18:28:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.02
            [max_drawdown] => 2.05
            [rr_ratio] => 1.96
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.97
            [mae_pct] => 1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.96
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T16:28:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T23:28:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 213.81000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 202.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)