Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 22:43:33
Take profit at 206.2309 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 203.7245 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 22:43:33
Take profit at 206.2309 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 203.7245 (0.41 %)
Position size of 1958.7957 $
Take profit at 206.2309 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 203.7245 (0.41 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.68 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.382317 15m : -0.1368 1H : 0.114633 |
0 |
Indicators:
92665.2
-0.00871841
91857.4
0.382317
92106.2
-0.000188932
92088.8
-0.1368
93600.3
-0.0186215
91857.4
0.114633
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 200.69
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
[1] => 200.69
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 190
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
[1] => 207.19
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
[1] => 189.74
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 198.89
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
[1] => 213.81
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
[1] => 202.14
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
[1] => 208.21
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9787714326882
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.96467794597804
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.002869298506
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
[1] => 193.35
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
[1] => 197.59
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
[1] => 213.06
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
[1] => 207.18
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
[1] => 213.81
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
[1] => 202.73
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
[1] => 206.27
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
[1] => 202.14
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
[1] => 208.21
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:30:00
[1] => 203.63
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9787714326882
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.22589991651525
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2491774296518
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
[1] => 206.27
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
[1] => 204.64
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
[1] => 206.09
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
[1] => 202.14
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:50:00
[1] => 202.84
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:00:00
[1] => 202.84
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:15:00
[1] => 207.72
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
[1] => 208.21
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:10:00
[1] => 208.21
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:35:00
[1] => 203.63
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9787714326882
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.22589991651525
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2491774296518
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 17:40:00 | 206.27 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 18:10:00 | 204.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 18:25:00 | 206.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 20:15:00 | 202.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 20:50:00 | 202.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 21:00:00 | 202.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 21:15:00 | 207.72 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 208.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 22:10:00 | 208.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 22:35:00 | 203.63 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 07:45:00 | 193.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 08:00:00 | 197.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 11:15:00 | 213.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 12:30:00 | 207.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 13:00:00 | 213.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 16:15:00 | 202.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 17:30:00 | 206.27 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 20:15:00 | 202.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 208.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 22:30:00 | 203.63 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 200.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 15:00:00 | 200.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 190 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 05:00:00 | 207.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:00:00 | 189.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 198.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 02:00:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 13:00:00 | 213.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 20:00:00 | 202.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 208.21 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 22:43:33 |
18 Nov 2025 22:45:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.56 | 203.7245 | 206.2309 | 2 | 132.91 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.7245 - 204.56 = -0.8355
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 204.56 - 206.2309 = -1.6709
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6709 / -0.8355 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1958.7957 | 100 | 9.5757 | 19.59 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.8355 = -9.58
Taille de position USD = -9.58 x 204.56 = -1959.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.58 avec un stoploss a 203.7245
Avec un position size USD de -1959.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.58 x -0.8355 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.58 x -1.6709 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5426 % | 132.86 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 206.2309
[entry_price] => 204.56
[stop_loss] => 203.64095
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 22:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 206.2309
[entry_price] => 204.56
[stop_loss] => 203.5574
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 22:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 206.2309
[entry_price] => 204.56
[stop_loss] => 203.47385
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 22:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 206.2309
[entry_price] => 204.56
[stop_loss] => 203.30675
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => -0.34
[max_drawdown] => 4.73
[rr_ratio] => -0.07
[high] => 204.22000000
[low] => 199.83000000
[mfe_pct] => -0.17
[mae_pct] => 2.31
[mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.07
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T22:43:33-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T00:43:33-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.01
[max_drawdown] => 4.98
[rr_ratio] => 0.2
[high] => 205.57000000
[low] => 199.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.49
[mae_pct] => 2.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T22:43:33-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T05:43:33-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 208.21000000
[high_after] => 205.57000000
[low_before] => 202.14000000
[low_after] => 199.58000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)