Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 22:47:16

Take profit at 205.6418 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 203.3141 (0.38 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 22:47:16

With 10.3105 MSTR at 204.09$ per unit.

Position size of 2104.2752 $

Take profit at 205.6418 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 203.3141 (0.38 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.385304

15m : -0.136313

1H : 0.206905

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 0.5172707497
Details
  1. score: 2.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 204.962
  4. ema21 : 202.978
  5. ema50 : 200.709
  6. ema100 : 200.159
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00425653
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00977202
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0113073
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0196365
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.304468
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.288884
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.152063
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.074515
  17. rsi : 0.534284
  18. adx : 0.241338
  19. kc_percentage : 0.565642
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0710758
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.844866
  22. volume_ema1 : 122176.06642495
  23. volume_ema2 : 787554.80608687
  24. chop : 36.5731
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 205.264
  29. ema21 : 205.364
  30. ema50 : 204.609
  31. ema100 : 201.892
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00571978
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000490246
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00369041
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0108829
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0256952
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00593137
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0151726
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0368655
  42. rsi : 0.448331
  43. adx : 0.193701
  44. kc_percentage : 0.221786
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0222734
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.67255
  47. volume_ema1 : 24498.629842299
  48. volume_ema2 : 74816.542258428
  49. chop : 41.0274
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 205.161
  54. ema21 : 205.573
  55. ema50 : 205.469
  56. ema100 : 206.005
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00522167
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00200406
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00050568
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0093003
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0563605
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00398864
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0107152
  66. ema_slope_100 : -6.38043E-5
  67. rsi : 0.372021
  68. adx : 0.362281
  69. kc_percentage : -0.193278
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0104945
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.22885
  72. volume_ema1 : 10632.497677441
  73. volume_ema2 : 8652.3938990314
  74. chop : 13.986
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92627.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00689038
  81. 5m_price:
    91989.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.385304
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92036
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000507826
  86. 15m_price:
    91989.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.136313
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93603
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0172398
  91. 1H_price:
    91989.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.206905
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 190
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2861534028145
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64806569704166
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.002869298506
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 193.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 197.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 213.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:45:00
                        [1] => 203.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2861534028145
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3396411894815
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                        [1] => 204.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                        [1] => 206.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:50:00
                        [1] => 202.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 21:00:00
                        [1] => 202.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 21:15:00
                        [1] => 207.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:10:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:45:00
                        [1] => 203.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2861534028145
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3396411894815
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1741
0.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5682
1.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 20:50:00 202.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 21:00:00 202.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 21:15:00 207.72 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:10:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:45:00 203.45 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.34%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9641
4.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.1682
3.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:45:00 203.45 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.7041
7.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.1682
3.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
22:47:16
18 Nov 2025
23:10:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
204.09 203.3141 205.6418 2 132.98
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 204.09
  • Stop Loss: 203.3141
  • Take Profit: 205.6418

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.3141 - 204.09 = -0.77590000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 204.09 - 205.6418 = -1.5518

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5518 / -0.77590000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2104.2752 100 10.3105 21.04
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.77590000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.77590000000001 = -10.31

Taille de position USD = -10.31 x 204.09 = -2104.17

Donc, tu peux acheter -10.31 avec un stoploss a 203.3141

Avec un position size USD de -2104.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -10.31 x -0.77590000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -10.31 x -1.5518 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -10.31
  • Taille de position USD -2104.17
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.76 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3822 % 100.53 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.6418
            [entry_price] => 204.09
            [stop_loss] => 203.23651
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.6418
            [entry_price] => 204.09
            [stop_loss] => 203.15892
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.6418
            [entry_price] => 204.09
            [stop_loss] => 203.08133
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.6418
            [entry_price] => 204.09
            [stop_loss] => 202.92615
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.13
            [max_drawdown] => 4.51
            [rr_ratio] => 0.03
            [high] => 204.22000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.06
            [mae_pct] => 2.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T22:47:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T00:47:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.48
            [max_drawdown] => 4.51
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [high] => 205.57000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 2.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T22:47:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T05:47:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 208.21000000
            [high_after] => 205.57000000
            [low_before] => 202.14000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)