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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Nov 2025 at 08:07:05

Take profit at 192.047 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 193.8815 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 08:07:05

With 13.0824 MSTR at 193.27$ per unit.

Position size of 2528.4333 $

Take profit at 192.047 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 193.8815 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.486442

15m : 0.037679

1H : 0.0391

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.4076727371
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 192.799
  4. ema21 : 193.651
  5. ema50 : 195.892
  6. ema100 : 197.512
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00244205
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00440156
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0114376
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0214772
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0115544
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0680429
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0753725
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0510449
  17. rsi : 0.476349
  18. adx : 0.219653
  19. kc_percentage : 0.471694
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.051812
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.610949
  22. volume_ema1 : 151489.78405123
  23. volume_ema2 : 389383.17812437
  24. chop : 73.6754
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 192.423
  28. ema21 : 192.438
  29. ema50 : 192.843
  30. ema100 : 194.363
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00439872
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -7.58077E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00210063
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00562809
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0082299
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0169678
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.017674
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0256472
  41. rsi : 0.549116
  42. adx : 0.197308
  43. kc_percentage : 0.733391
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0187246
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.455143
  46. volume_ema1 : 32132.572378276
  47. volume_ema2 : 58974.430027269
  48. chop : 49.2421
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 192.736
  52. ema21 : 192.38
  53. ema50 : 192.324
  54. ema100 : 192.625
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0027696
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0018508
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000291101
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00334633
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0468652
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0291352
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00858355
  64. ema_slope_100 : 4.54939E-5
  65. rsi : 0.630526
  66. adx : 0.189056
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06293
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00802107
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.692131
  70. volume_ema1 : 5159.6743647007
  71. volume_ema2 : 16759.332171056
  72. chop : 37.3773
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92003.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00234229
  78. 5m_price: 
    91787.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.486442
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91573.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00234401
  83. 15m_price: 
    91787.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.037679
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92634.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00914026
  88. 1H_price: 
    91787.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.0391
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:00:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6632756866734
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7098063973064
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4301346801347
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:45:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
                    [1] => 195.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
                    [1] => 191.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 03:45:00
                    [1] => 194.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:45:00
                    [1] => 192.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:15:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19101703665461
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7098063973064
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9044612794613
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 02:55:00
                    [1] => 193.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 03:00:00
                    [1] => 192.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 03:45:00
                    [1] => 194.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:10:00
                    [1] => 190.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:55:00
                    [1] => 192.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:25:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 07:05:00
                    [1] => 191.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 07:15:00
                    [1] => 192.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 07:40:00
                    [1] => 192
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19101703665461
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69270833333334
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88541666666666
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.69%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.89%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4785
0.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9670
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 02:55:00 193.88 ↑ High
2025-11-20 03:00:00 192.97 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 03:45:00 194.36 ↑ High
2025-11-20 05:10:00 190.11 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 05:55:00 192.52 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:25:00 190.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 07:05:00 191.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 07:15:00 192.97 ↑ High
2025-11-20 07:40:00 192 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:00:00 193.7 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.71%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.90%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.7185
1.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1570
5.29%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:45:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-19 23:30:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 00:00:00 195.17 ↑ High
2025-11-20 01:45:00 191.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 03:45:00 194.36 ↑ High
2025-11-20 05:45:00 192.52 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:15:00 190.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:00:00 193.7 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.71%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.43%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.9285
10.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1570
5.29%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:00:00 190.08 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
08:07:05		 20 Nov 2025
08:30:00		 22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
193.27 193.8815 192.047 2 133.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 193.27
  • Stop Loss: 193.8815
  • Take Profit: 192.047

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.8815 - 193.27 = 0.61149999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 193.27 - 192.047 = 1.223

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.223 / 0.61149999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2528.4333 100 13.0824 25.28
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.61149999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.61149999999998 = 13.08

Taille de position USD = 13.08 x 193.27 = 2527.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.08 avec un stoploss a 193.8815

Avec un position size USD de 2527.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.08 x 0.61149999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.08 x 1.223 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.08
  • Taille de position USD 2527.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.63 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5692 % 179.9 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.047
            [entry_price] => 193.27
            [stop_loss] => 193.94265
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.047
            [entry_price] => 193.27
            [stop_loss] => 194.0038
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.047
            [entry_price] => 193.27
            [stop_loss] => 194.06495
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.047
            [entry_price] => 193.27
            [stop_loss] => 194.18725
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.54
            [max_drawdown] => 1.1
            [rr_ratio] => 6.85
            [high] => 194.37000000
            [low] => 185.73000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T08:07:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T10:07:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 21.47
            [max_drawdown] => 1.1
            [rr_ratio] => 19.52
            [high] => 194.37000000
            [low] => 171.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.11
            [mae_pct] => 0.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 19.52
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T08:07:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T15:07:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 193.91000000
            [high_after] => 194.37000000
            [low_before] => 190.08000000
            [low_after] => 171.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)