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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Nov 2025 at 08:10:48

Take profit at 192.0775 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 193.8363 (0.3 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 08:10:48

With 13.6455 MSTR at 193.25$ per unit.

Position size of 2636.9975 $

Take profit at 192.0775 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 193.8363 (0.3 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.485553

15m : -0.139996

1H : -0.143486

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.390848563
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 192.795
  4. ema21 : 193.649
  5. ema50 : 195.891
  6. ema100 : 197.511
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00235911
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00441287
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0114429
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0215765
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.011727
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0681205
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0754056
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0510615
  17. rsi : 0.475874
  18. adx : 0.219653
  19. kc_percentage : 0.469887
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0518174
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.609751
  22. volume_ema1 : 151978.83895123
  23. volume_ema2 : 389440.71399496
  24. chop : 73.6754
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 192.419
  28. ema21 : 192.436
  29. ema50 : 192.842
  30. ema100 : 194.363
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00431566
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -8.71463E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.002106
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00572896
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0080565
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0170463
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0177078
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0256641
  41. rsi : 0.548025
  42. adx : 0.197308
  43. kc_percentage : 0.728391
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0187265
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.44739
  46. volume_ema1 : 32621.627278276
  47. volume_ema2 : 59031.965897857
  48. chop : 49.2421
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 192.848
  52. ema21 : 192.464
  53. ema50 : 192.369
  54. ema100 : 192.689
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00208164
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00199701
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000492324
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00291135
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0454409
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0301279
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00964275
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.000252613
  65. rsi : 0.622669
  66. adx : 0.193627
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0237
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00757153
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.768258
  70. volume_ema1 : 3808.7639542449
  71. volume_ema2 : 16435.416544614
  72. chop : 37.0412
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92038
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00355149
  78. 5m_price: 
    91711.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.485553
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91571.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00152304
  83. 15m_price: 
    91711.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.139996
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92633
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00995201
  88. 1H_price: 
    91711.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.143486
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:00:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7090539165819
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6624579124579
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4301346801347
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:45:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
                    [1] => 195.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
                    [1] => 191.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 03:45:00
                    [1] => 194.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:45:00
                    [1] => 192.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:15:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23748064016519
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6624579124579
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9044612794613
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 02:55:00
                    [1] => 193.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 03:00:00
                    [1] => 192.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 03:45:00
                    [1] => 194.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:10:00
                    [1] => 190.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:55:00
                    [1] => 192.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:25:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 07:05:00
                    [1] => 191.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 07:15:00
                    [1] => 192.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 07:40:00
                    [1] => 192
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23748064016519
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64583333333334
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88541666666666
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.65%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.89%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5237
0.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9975
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 02:55:00 193.88 ↑ High
2025-11-20 03:00:00 192.97 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 03:45:00 194.36 ↑ High
2025-11-20 05:10:00 190.11 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 05:55:00 192.52 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:25:00 190.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 07:05:00 191.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 07:15:00 192.97 ↑ High
2025-11-20 07:40:00 192 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:00:00 193.7 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.90%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.7637
1.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1875
5.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:45:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-19 23:30:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 00:00:00 195.17 ↑ High
2025-11-20 01:45:00 191.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 03:45:00 194.36 ↑ High
2025-11-20 05:45:00 192.52 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:15:00 190.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:00:00 193.7 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.66%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.43%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.9737
10.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1875
5.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:00:00 190.08 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
08:10:48		 20 Nov 2025
08:30:00		 19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
193.25 193.8363 192.0775 2 131.56
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 193.25
  • Stop Loss: 193.8363
  • Take Profit: 192.0775

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.8363 - 193.25 = 0.58629999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 193.25 - 192.0775 = 1.1725

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1725 / 0.58629999999999 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2636.9975 100 13.6455 26.37
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.58629999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.58629999999999 = 13.64

Taille de position USD = 13.64 x 193.25 = 2635.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.64 avec un stoploss a 193.8363

Avec un position size USD de 2635.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.64 x 0.58629999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.64 x 1.1725 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.64
  • Taille de position USD 2635.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.61 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5796 % 191.03 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.0775
            [entry_price] => 193.25
            [stop_loss] => 193.89493
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.0775
            [entry_price] => 193.25
            [stop_loss] => 193.95356
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.0775
            [entry_price] => 193.25
            [stop_loss] => 194.01219
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.0775
            [entry_price] => 193.25
            [stop_loss] => 194.12945
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.78
            [max_drawdown] => 1.12
            [rr_ratio] => 6.95
            [high] => 194.37000000
            [low] => 185.47000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.03
            [mae_pct] => 0.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T08:10:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T10:10:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 21.45
            [max_drawdown] => 1.12
            [rr_ratio] => 19.15
            [high] => 194.37000000
            [low] => 171.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 19.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T08:10:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T15:10:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 193.74000000
            [high_after] => 194.37000000
            [low_before] => 190.08000000
            [low_after] => 171.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)