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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 21 Nov 2025 at 00:07:30

Take profit at 172.8632 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 175.1084 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 21 Nov 2025 at 00:07:30

With 10.6892 MSTR at 174.36$ per unit.

Position size of 1863.77 $

Take profit at 172.8632 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 175.1084 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 6.66
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.4
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.421872

15m : -0.263051

1H : -0.015872

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.4989456755
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 175.543
  4. ema21 : 179.841
  5. ema50 : 186.72
  6. ema100 : 191.574
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00674399
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0238963
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0368395
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0898588
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.428116
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.421169
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.294913
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.183358
  17. rsi : 0.359211
  18. adx : 0.42109
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0985293
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0734812
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.693783
  22. volume_ema1 : 381387.43763063
  23. volume_ema2 : 1245483.7676768
  24. chop : 56.1723
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 173.665
  28. ema21 : 174.657
  29. ema50 : 177.392
  30. ema100 : 181.392
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00399793
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00567988
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0154146
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.038768
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.175109
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.138979
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.118345
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.100372
  41. rsi : 0.467394
  42. adx : 0.261837
  43. kc_percentage : 0.457324
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0283477
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.748394
  46. volume_ema1 : 80520.557799366
  47. volume_ema2 : 320027.52606341
  48. chop : 38.1385
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 173.509
  52. ema21 : 173.336
  53. ema50 : 174.205
  54. ema100 : 175.299
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00490306
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000998437
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00498869
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0053622
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0242891
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00845581
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0318253
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0286006
  65. rsi : 0.584611
  66. adx : 0.226357
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04684
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0108829
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.264827
  70. volume_ema1 : 36758.866317115
  71. volume_ema2 : 29062.366621738
  72. chop : 40.7171
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86428.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00350021
  78. 5m_price: 
    86126.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.421872
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88541.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.027284
  83. 15m_price: 
    86126.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.263051
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90982.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0533795
  88. 1H_price: 
    86126.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.015872
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 171.14
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.227915830632
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9574617272409
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38564917611314
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:45:00
                    [1] => 192.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:15:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
                    [1] => 180.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 178.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
                    [1] => 176.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:00:00
                    [1] => 179.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 171.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 00:00:00
                    [1] => 174.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074447371435114
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9574617272409
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0334229285965
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 176.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 178.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:10:00
                    [1] => 176.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 176.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:05:00
                    [1] => 179.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 171.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:45:00
                    [1] => 174.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 23:35:00
                    [1] => 171.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 00:05:00
                    [1] => 174.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074447371435114
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4771735969759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5527769700494
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.1416
2.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7232
1.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 17:00:00 176.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 18:00:00 178.59 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:10:00 176.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 18:55:00 176.28 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:05:00 179.25 ↑ High
2025-11-20 20:25:00 177.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 22:00:00 171.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 22:45:00 174.25 ↑ High
2025-11-20 23:35:00 171.95 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 00:05:00 174.62 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.03%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.2616
11.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7232
1.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 05:45:00 192.52 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:15:00 190.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:30:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 15:30:00 180.32 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:00:00 178.59 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:45:00 176.28 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:00:00 179.25 ↑ High
2025-11-20 22:00:00 171.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 00:00:00 174.62 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-10.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.39%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
38.7016
22.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7232
1.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 22:00:00 171.14 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
00:07:30		 21 Nov 2025
00:20:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
174.36 175.1084 172.8632 2 133.64
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 174.36
  • Stop Loss: 175.1084
  • Take Profit: 172.8632

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 175.1084 - 174.36 = 0.74839999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 174.36 - 172.8632 = 1.4968

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4968 / 0.74839999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1863.77 100 10.6892 18.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.74839999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.74839999999998 = 10.69

Taille de position USD = 10.69 x 174.36 = 1863.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.69 avec un stoploss a 175.1084

Avec un position size USD de 1863.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.69 x 0.74839999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.69 x 1.4968 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.69
  • Taille de position USD 1863.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.86 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5276 % 122.93 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.8632
            [entry_price] => 174.36
            [stop_loss] => 175.18324
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 00:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.8632
            [entry_price] => 174.36
            [stop_loss] => 175.25808
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 00:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.8632
            [entry_price] => 174.36
            [stop_loss] => 175.33292
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.8632
            [entry_price] => 174.36
            [stop_loss] => 175.4826
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.01
            [max_drawdown] => 0.91999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.1
            [high] => 175.28000000
            [low] => 173.35000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.58
            [mae_pct] => 0.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T00:07:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T02:07:30-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.2
            [max_drawdown] => 0.91999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 8.91
            [high] => 175.28000000
            [low] => 166.16000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.7
            [mae_pct] => 0.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T00:07:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T07:07:30-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 179.03000000
            [high_after] => 175.28000000
            [low_before] => 171.14000000
            [low_after] => 166.16000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)