Short Trade on HOOD 21 Nov 2025 at 00:18:20
Take profit at 104.9931 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 106.3384 (0.42 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 21 Nov 2025 at 00:18:20
Take profit at 104.9931 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 106.3384 (0.42 %)
Position size of 1889.0247 $
Take profit at 104.9931 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 106.3384 (0.42 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.245345 15m : -0.060391 1H : 0.057239 |
3 |
Indicators:
86446.7
-0.00190523
86282
0.245345
88500.1
-0.0250635
86282
-0.060391
90985.9
-0.0516992
86282
0.057239
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 23:00:00
[1] => 112.54
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 03:00:00
[1] => 115.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
[1] => 112.15
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 116.87
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 17:00:00
[1] => 113.36
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
[1] => 114.66
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 112.41
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:00:00
[1] => 113.77
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:00:00
[1] => 124.51
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 102.95
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -15.02690546944
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7683341427878
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.942204953861
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 04:45:00
[1] => 121.06
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 06:15:00
[1] => 120.94
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
[1] => 122.44
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:30:00
[1] => 122.64
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:30:00
[1] => 106.92
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 106.91
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:15:00
[1] => 102.95
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 20:15:00
[1] => 107.26
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 21:45:00
[1] => 103.62
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 00:15:00
[1] => 105.89
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.084993861554447
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1038409573441
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.190696776684
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 19:15:00
[1] => 106.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 19:55:00
[1] => 106.32
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
[1] => 107.26
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 21:20:00
[1] => 105.35
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 21:45:00
[1] => 106.02
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[1] => 103.62
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 22:35:00
[1] => 103.93
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 22:40:00
[1] => 105.16
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 23:55:00
[1] => 104.24
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 00:15:00
[1] => 105.89
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.084993861554447
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4965464313124
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5828856485035
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 19:15:00 | 106.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 19:55:00 | 106.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 20:25:00 | 107.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 21:20:00 | 105.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 21:45:00 | 106.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 21:55:00 | 103.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 22:35:00 | 103.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 22:40:00 | 105.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 23:55:00 | 104.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 00:15:00 | 105.89 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 04:45:00 | 121.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 06:15:00 | 120.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 08:00:00 | 122.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 09:30:00 | 122.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 12:30:00 | 106.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 106.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:15:00 | 102.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 20:15:00 | 107.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 21:45:00 | 103.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 00:15:00 | 105.89 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 23:00:00 | 112.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 03:00:00 | 115.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 08:00:00 | 112.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 116.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 17:00:00 | 113.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 114.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 112.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 12:00:00 | 113.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 23:00:00 | 124.51 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 102.95 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 00:18:20 |
21 Nov 2025 02:45:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105.89 | 106.3384 | 104.9931 | 2 | 77.65 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 106.3384 - 105.89 = 0.44839999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 105.89 - 104.9931 = 0.8969
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8969 / 0.44839999999999 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1889.0247 | 100 | 17.8395 | 18.89 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.44839999999999 = 17.84
Taille de position USD = 17.84 x 105.89 = 1889.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.84 avec un stoploss a 106.3384
Avec un position size USD de 1889.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.84 x 0.44839999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.84 x 0.8969 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2455 % | 57.97 % | 6 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 104.9932
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 104.769
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 104.5448
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 104.3206
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 104.0964
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 103.8722
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 04:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 103.648
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 103.4238
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 103.1996
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 102.9754
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 102.7512
[stop_loss] => 106.3384
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.78
[max_drawdown] => 0.26000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 3
[high] => 106.15000000
[low] => 105.11000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.74
[mae_pct] => 0.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T00:18:20-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T02:18:20-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.78
[max_drawdown] => 0.26000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 14.54
[high] => 106.15000000
[low] => 102.11000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.57
[mae_pct] => 0.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.54
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T00:18:20-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T07:18:20-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 107.26000000
[high_after] => 106.15000000
[low_before] => 103.62000000
[low_after] => 102.11000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)