Short Trade on AR 01 Dec 2025 at 03:25:41
Take profit at 3.9577 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0256 (0.56 %)
Short Trade on AR 01 Dec 2025 at 03:25:41
Take profit at 3.9577 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0256 (0.56 %)
Position size of 1414.9855 $
Take profit at 3.9577 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0256 (0.56 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.445002 15m : -0.094186 1H : 0.041155 |
3 |
Indicators:
86693.1
-0.0025209
86474.6
0.445002
88856.4
-0.0262959
86519.9
-0.094186
90283.9
-0.0421926
86474.6
0.041155
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 11:00:00
[1] => 4.379
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 17:00:00
[1] => 4.187
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 20:00:00
[1] => 4.261
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 12:00:00
[1] => 4.013
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 22:00:00
[1] => 4.061
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 00:00:00
[1] => 4.146
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:00:00
[1] => 4.191
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
[1] => 4.188
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
[1] => 3.872
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:00:00
[1] => 4.006
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3057851239669
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4607438016529
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:15:00
[1] => 4.098
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 08:15:00
[1] => 4.188
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 10:15:00
[1] => 4.124
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:45:00
[1] => 4.191
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 15:00:00
[1] => 4.185
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 16:15:00
[1] => 4.147
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:15:00
[1] => 4.188
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
[1] => 3.906
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
[1] => 3.872
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:15:00
[1] => 4.006
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3057851239669
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4607438016529
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 22:35:00
[1] => 3.91
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:15:00
[1] => 3.938
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:35:00
[1] => 3.872
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:35:00
[1] => 3.913
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:00:00
[1] => 3.963
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:20:00
[1] => 3.92
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:30:00
[1] => 3.92
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:55:00
[1] => 3.972
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:10:00
[1] => 3.922
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:20:00
[1] => 4.006
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9887812340642
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1417644059154
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 22:35:00 | 3.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 23:15:00 | 3.938 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 23:35:00 | 3.872 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 00:35:00 | 3.913 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 01:00:00 | 3.963 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 01:20:00 | 3.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 01:30:00 | 3.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 01:55:00 | 3.972 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 02:10:00 | 3.922 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 03:20:00 | 4.006 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 06:15:00 | 4.098 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 08:15:00 | 4.188 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 10:15:00 | 4.124 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 11:45:00 | 4.191 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 15:00:00 | 4.185 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 16:15:00 | 4.147 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 17:15:00 | 4.188 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 20:00:00 | 3.906 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 23:30:00 | 3.872 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 03:15:00 | 4.006 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 11:00:00 | 4.379 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 17:00:00 | 4.187 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 20:00:00 | 4.261 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 12:00:00 | 4.013 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 22:00:00 | 4.061 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 00:00:00 | 4.146 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 11:00:00 | 4.191 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 17:00:00 | 4.188 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 23:00:00 | 3.872 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 03:00:00 | 4.006 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 03:25:41 |
01 Dec 2025 04:00:00 |
34 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.003 | 4.0256 | 3.9577 | 2 | 1.735 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0256 - 4.003 = 0.0226
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.003 - 3.9577 = 0.0453
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0453 / 0.0226 = 2.0044
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1414.9855 | 100 | 353.4813 | 14.15 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0226 = 353.98
Taille de position USD = 353.98 x 4.003 = 1416.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 353.98 avec un stoploss a 4.0256
Avec un position size USD de 1416.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 353.98 x 0.0226 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 353.98 x 0.0453 = 16.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6995 % | 123.89 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.9577
[entry_price] => 4.003
[stop_loss] => 4.02786
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.9577
[entry_price] => 4.003
[stop_loss] => 4.03012
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.9577
[entry_price] => 4.003
[stop_loss] => 4.03238
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.9577
[entry_price] => 4.003
[stop_loss] => 4.0369
[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.022
[max_drawdown] => 0.053
[rr_ratio] => 0.42
[high] => 4.05600000
[low] => 3.98100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.55
[mae_pct] => 1.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:25:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T05:25:41-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.105
[max_drawdown] => 0.053
[rr_ratio] => 1.98
[high] => 4.05600000
[low] => 3.89800000
[mfe_pct] => 2.62
[mae_pct] => 1.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.98
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:25:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T10:25:41-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.00600000
[high_after] => 4.05600000
[low_before] => 3.87200000
[low_after] => 3.89800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)