Short Trade on AR 01 Dec 2025 at 03:25:41

Take profit at 3.9577 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0256 (0.56 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 03:25:41

With 353.4813 AR at 4.003$ per unit.

Position size of 1414.9855 $

Take profit at 3.9577 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0256 (0.56 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.52
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.445002

15m : -0.094186

1H : 0.041155

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.01508802321
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.98329
  4. ema21 : 4.03175
  5. ema50 : 4.08671
  6. ema100 : 4.12917
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00494593
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0120191
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.013447
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0305569
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.344995
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.215098
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.119433
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0734142
  17. rsi : 0.450458
  18. adx : 0.330855
  19. kc_percentage : 0.395466
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0614748
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.184489
  22. volume_ema1 : 154570.52915173
  23. volume_ema2 : 189538.40341742
  24. chop : 30.8704
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 3.95905
  29. ema21 : 3.95887
  30. ema50 : 4.00124
  31. ema100 : 4.04504
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0110992
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 4.55156E-5
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0105881
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.010395
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0540683
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0177867
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0622252
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0519436
  42. rsi : 0.55219
  43. adx : 0.276695
  44. kc_percentage : 0.879704
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0296788
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.572201
  47. volume_ema1 : 28088.139272244
  48. volume_ema2 : 65657.365253652
  49. chop : 62.134
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 3.97809
  54. ema21 : 3.96191
  55. ema50 : 3.95198
  56. ema100 : 3.95655
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00626082
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00408434
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00251076
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0117387
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0743522
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0432927
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0198274
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00521607
  67. rsi : 0.689283
  68. adx : 0.206259
  69. kc_percentage : 1.18451
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.014689
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.66897
  72. volume_ema1 : 7066.6134283742
  73. volume_ema2 : 21347.351547844
  74. chop : 39.3659
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86693.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0025209
  81. 5m_price:
    86474.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.445002
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88856.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0262959
  86. 15m_price:
    86519.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.094186
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90283.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0421926
  91. 1H_price:
    86474.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.041155
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.379
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.187
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.261
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 12:00:00
                        [1] => 4.013
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 22:00:00
                        [1] => 4.061
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 00:00:00
                        [1] => 4.146
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.191
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                        [1] => 3.872
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4.006
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3057851239669
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4607438016529
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 06:15:00
                        [1] => 4.098
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 08:15:00
                        [1] => 4.188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 10:15:00
                        [1] => 4.124
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 11:45:00
                        [1] => 4.191
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.185
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 16:15:00
                        [1] => 4.147
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 17:15:00
                        [1] => 4.188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                        [1] => 3.906
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
                        [1] => 3.872
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 03:15:00
                        [1] => 4.006
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3057851239669
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4607438016529
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 22:35:00
                        [1] => 3.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:15:00
                        [1] => 3.938
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:35:00
                        [1] => 3.872
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 00:35:00
                        [1] => 3.913
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 01:00:00
                        [1] => 3.963
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 01:20:00
                        [1] => 3.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 01:30:00
                        [1] => 3.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 01:55:00
                        [1] => 3.972
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 02:10:00
                        [1] => 3.922
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 03:20:00
                        [1] => 4.006
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9887812340642
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1417644059154
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.99%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0196
0.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0857
2.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 22:35:00 3.91 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:15:00 3.938 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:35:00 3.872 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 00:35:00 3.913 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 01:00:00 3.963 ↑ High
2025-12-01 01:20:00 3.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 01:30:00 3.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 01:55:00 3.972 ↑ High
2025-12-01 02:10:00 3.922 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 03:20:00 4.006 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1654
4.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0857
2.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 06:15:00 4.098 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 08:15:00 4.188 ↑ High
2025-11-30 10:15:00 4.124 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 11:45:00 4.191 ↑ High
2025-11-30 15:00:00 4.185 ↑ High
2025-11-30 16:15:00 4.147 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 17:15:00 4.188 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 3.906 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:30:00 3.872 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 03:15:00 4.006 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3534
8.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0857
2.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-28 11:00:00 4.379 ↑ High
2025-11-28 17:00:00 4.187 ↓ Low
2025-11-28 20:00:00 4.261 ↑ High
2025-11-29 12:00:00 4.013 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 22:00:00 4.061 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 00:00:00 4.146 ↑ High
2025-11-30 11:00:00 4.191 ↑ High
2025-11-30 17:00:00 4.188 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 3.872 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 03:00:00 4.006 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
03:25:41
01 Dec 2025
04:00:00
34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.003 4.0256 3.9577 2 1.735
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.003
  • Stop Loss: 4.0256
  • Take Profit: 3.9577

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.0256 - 4.003 = 0.0226

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.003 - 3.9577 = 0.0453

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0453 / 0.0226 = 2.0044

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1414.9855 100 353.4813 14.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0226

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0226 = 353.98

Taille de position USD = 353.98 x 4.003 = 1416.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 353.98 avec un stoploss a 4.0256

Avec un position size USD de 1416.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 353.98 x 0.0226 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 353.98 x 0.0453 = 16.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 353.98
  • Taille de position USD 1416.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0044

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.13 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.56 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6995 % 123.89 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9577
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.02786
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9577
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.03012
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9577
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.03238
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9577
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.0369
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.053
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [high] => 4.05600000
            [low] => 3.98100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 1.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:25:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T05:25:41-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.105
            [max_drawdown] => 0.053
            [rr_ratio] => 1.98
            [high] => 4.05600000
            [low] => 3.89800000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.62
            [mae_pct] => 1.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.98
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:25:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T10:25:41-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.00600000
            [high_after] => 4.05600000
            [low_before] => 3.87200000
            [low_after] => 3.89800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)