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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 01 Dec 2025 at 03:29:31

Take profit at 3.949 (1.25 %) and Stop Loss at 4.024 (0.63 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 03:29:31

With 320.1386 AR at 3.999$ per unit.

Position size of 1280.2342 $

Take profit at 3.949 (1.25 %) and Stop Loss at 4.024 (0.63 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.32
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.440325

15m : -0.095333

1H : 0.040327

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.01665945178
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.98249
  4. ema21 : 4.03139
  5. ema50 : 4.08655
  6. ema100 : 4.12909
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00414341
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0121285
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0134982
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.031507
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.346599
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.21583
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.119748
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0735727
  17. rsi : 0.445864
  18. adx : 0.330855
  19. kc_percentage : 0.380759
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0615363
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.133138
  22. volume_ema1 : 165408.91848506
  23. volume_ema2 : 190813.50804487
  24. chop : 30.8704
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.95905
  28. ema21 : 3.95887
  29. ema50 : 4.00124
  30. ema100 : 4.04504
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0100888
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 4.55156E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0105881
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0113839
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0540683
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0177867
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0622252
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0519436
  41. rsi : 0.55219
  42. adx : 0.276695
  43. kc_percentage : 0.846035
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0297085
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.572201
  46. volume_ema1 : 28088.139272244
  47. volume_ema2 : 65657.365253652
  48. chop : 62.134
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.97729
  52. ema21 : 3.96154
  53. ema50 : 3.95183
  54. ema100 : 3.95647
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00545752
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00397456
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00245854
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0107479
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0726614
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0425239
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0194959
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00504914
  65. rsi : 0.668448
  66. adx : 0.197278
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04186
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0169043
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.208529
  70. volume_ema1 : 17905.002761708
  71. volume_ema2 : 22622.456175295
  72. chop : 39.6284
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86694.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0015225
  78. 5m_price: 
    86562.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.440325
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88856.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0262959
  83. 15m_price: 
    86519.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.095333
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90285.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0412332
  88. 1H_price: 
    86562.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.040327
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-28 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4.379
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-28 17:00:00
                    [1] => 4.187
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.261
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-29 12:00:00
                    [1] => 4.013
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-29 22:00:00
                    [1] => 4.061
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 00:00:00
                    [1] => 4.146
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4.191
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
                    [1] => 4.188
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                    [1] => 3.872
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.006
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3057851239669
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4607438016529
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 4.098
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 08:15:00
                    [1] => 4.188
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 10:15:00
                    [1] => 4.124
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 11:45:00
                    [1] => 4.191
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.185
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4.147
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 17:15:00
                    [1] => 4.188
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 3.906
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
                    [1] => 3.872
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 03:15:00
                    [1] => 4.006
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3057851239669
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4607438016529
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 22:35:00
                    [1] => 3.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:15:00
                    [1] => 3.938
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:35:00
                    [1] => 3.872
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 00:35:00
                    [1] => 3.913
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 01:00:00
                    [1] => 3.963
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 01:20:00
                    [1] => 3.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 01:55:00
                    [1] => 3.972
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 02:10:00
                    [1] => 3.922
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 03:20:00
                    [1] => 4.006
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14977533699451
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9887812340642
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1417644059154
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.99%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0180
0.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0770
1.95%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 22:35:00 3.91 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:15:00 3.938 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:35:00 3.872 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 00:35:00 3.913 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 01:00:00 3.963 ↑ High
2025-12-01 01:20:00 3.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 01:30:00 3.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 01:55:00 3.972 ↑ High
2025-12-01 02:10:00 3.922 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 03:20:00 4.006 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1670
4.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0770
1.95%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 06:15:00 4.098 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 08:15:00 4.188 ↑ High
2025-11-30 10:15:00 4.124 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 11:45:00 4.191 ↑ High
2025-11-30 15:00:00 4.185 ↑ High
2025-11-30 16:15:00 4.147 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 17:15:00 4.188 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 3.906 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:30:00 3.872 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 03:15:00 4.006 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3550
8.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0770
1.95%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-28 11:00:00 4.379 ↑ High
2025-11-28 17:00:00 4.187 ↓ Low
2025-11-28 20:00:00 4.261 ↑ High
2025-11-29 12:00:00 4.013 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 22:00:00 4.061 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 00:00:00 4.146 ↑ High
2025-11-30 11:00:00 4.191 ↑ High
2025-11-30 17:00:00 4.188 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 3.872 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 03:00:00 4.006 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
03:29:31		 01 Dec 2025
04:00:00		 30 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.999 4.024 3.949 2 1.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.999
  • Stop Loss: 4.024
  • Take Profit: 3.949

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.024 - 3.999 = 0.025

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.999 - 3.949 = 0.05

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05 / 0.025 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1280.2342 100 320.1386 12.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.025

Taille de position = 8 / 0.025 = 320

Taille de position USD = 320 x 3.999 = 1279.68

Donc, tu peux acheter 320 avec un stoploss a 4.024

Avec un position size USD de 1279.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 320 x 0.025 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 320 x 0.05 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 320
  • Taille de position USD 1279.68
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.25 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.63 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8002 % 127.99 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.949
            [entry_price] => 3.999
            [stop_loss] => 4.0265
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.949
            [entry_price] => 3.999
            [stop_loss] => 4.029
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.949
            [entry_price] => 3.999
            [stop_loss] => 4.0315
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.949
            [entry_price] => 3.999
            [stop_loss] => 4.0365
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.018
            [max_drawdown] => 0.057
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 4.05600000
            [low] => 3.98100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 1.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:29:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T05:29:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.101
            [max_drawdown] => 0.057
            [rr_ratio] => 1.77
            [high] => 4.05600000
            [low] => 3.89800000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.53
            [mae_pct] => 1.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:29:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T10:29:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.00600000
            [high_after] => 4.05600000
            [low_before] => 3.87200000
            [low_after] => 3.89800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)