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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 01 Dec 2025 at 13:18:51

Take profit at 158.7957 (1.8 %) and Stop Loss at 163.1672 (0.9 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 13:18:51

With 5.4901 MSTR at 161.71$ per unit.

Position size of 887.8087 $

Take profit at 158.7957 (1.8 %) and Stop Loss at 163.1672 (0.9 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.93
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.579822

15m : 0.081484

1H : 0.054262

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.9714405199
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 163.534
  4. ema21 : 167.69
  5. ema50 : 172.074
  6. ema100 : 174.609
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.011156
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0247854
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0254743
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0738765
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.412594
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.321848
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.19576
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.114318
  17. rsi : 0.310038
  18. adx : 0.562714
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0224513
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0740698
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.23411
  22. volume_ema1 : 542562.81759065
  23. volume_ema2 : 242853.28593451
  24. chop : 10.953
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.219
  28. ema21 : 161.941
  29. ema50 : 165.641
  30. ema100 : 169.164
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00930212
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.010632
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.022338
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0440691
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.281128
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.2889
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.201999
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.135303
  41. rsi : 0.460135
  42. adx : 0.513634
  43. kc_percentage : 0.491346
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0467011
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.317518
  46. volume_ema1 : 100205.38877259
  47. volume_ema2 : 146824.99914976
  48. chop : 35.5408
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 160.22
  52. ema21 : 159.581
  53. ema50 : 161.061
  54. ema100 : 163.789
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00929857
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00400006
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00918534
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0126952
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.141966
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0463623
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0403366
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0558646
  65. rsi : 0.625077
  66. adx : 0.272196
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08493
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0224988
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.369494
  70. volume_ema1 : 37134.696330048
  71. volume_ema2 : 58896.675134059
  72. chop : 36.4518
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85478
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00152843
  78. 5m_price: 
    85347.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.579822
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87104.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0201719
  83. 15m_price: 
    85347.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.081484
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89433.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0456853
  88. 1H_price: 
    85347.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.054262
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 10:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 14:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.7600465928946
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.644632334102
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9795029464514
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 02:15:00
                    [1] => 169.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
                    [1] => 166.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:30:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:15:00
                    [1] => 161.93
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074106095226335
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6379939793762
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7148530071095
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 07:55:00
                    [1] => 166.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 08:30:00
                    [1] => 170.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:10:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:35:00
                    [1] => 163.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:40:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:20:00
                    [1] => 156.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
                    [1] => 159.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:15:00
                    [1] => 161.93
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074106095226335
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6379939793762
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7148530071095
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.64%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.71%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.1328
4.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6757
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-01 07:55:00 166.23 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 08:30:00 170.09 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:10:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:35:00 163.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 10:40:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:00:00 159.66 ↑ High
2025-12-01 11:20:00 156.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:40:00 159.67 ↑ High
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:15:00 161.93 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.64%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.5728
8.93%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6757
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 19:45:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 168.99 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:30:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 02:15:00 169.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 07:45:00 166.23 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 09:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:30:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:15:00 161.93 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.64%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.5728
8.93%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6757
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 08:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 10:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 12:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 14:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 16:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 18:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
13:18:51		 01 Dec 2025
13:55:00		 36 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.71 163.1672 158.7957 2 133.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.71
  • Stop Loss: 163.1672
  • Take Profit: 158.7957

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 163.1672 - 161.71 = 1.4572

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.71 - 158.7957 = 2.9143

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.9143 / 1.4572 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
887.8087 100 5.4901 8.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4572

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4572 = 5.49

Taille de position USD = 5.49 x 161.71 = 887.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.49 avec un stoploss a 163.1672

Avec un position size USD de 887.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.49 x 1.4572 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.49 x 2.9143 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.49
  • Taille de position USD 887.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.8 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6635 % 184.61 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.7957
            [entry_price] => 161.71
            [stop_loss] => 163.31292
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.7957
            [entry_price] => 161.71
            [stop_loss] => 163.45864
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.7957
            [entry_price] => 161.71
            [stop_loss] => 163.60436
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.7957
            [entry_price] => 161.71
            [stop_loss] => 163.8958
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.61000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 8.8
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 170.51000000
            [low] => 161.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.38
            [mae_pct] => 5.44
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T13:18:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T15:18:51-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.61000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 13.84
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 175.55000000
            [low] => 161.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.38
            [mae_pct] => 8.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T13:18:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T20:18:51-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 169.27000000
            [high_after] => 175.55000000
            [low_before] => 156.12000000
            [low_after] => 161.10000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)