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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 01 Dec 2025 at 13:28:28

Take profit at 159.9637 (1.81 %) and Stop Loss at 164.3831 (0.9 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 13:28:28

With 5.4306 MSTR at 162.91$ per unit.

Position size of 884.6993 $

Take profit at 159.9637 (1.81 %) and Stop Loss at 164.3831 (0.9 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.85
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.573314

15m : 0.0501

1H : -0.032688

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.9820888921
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 163.774
  4. ema21 : 167.799
  5. ema50 : 172.121
  6. ema100 : 174.633
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.005278
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0239891
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0251069
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.067131
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.40097
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.316637
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.193535
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.113199
  17. rsi : 0.347747
  18. adx : 0.555926
  19. kc_percentage : 0.126443
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0761514
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.47031
  22. volume_ema1 : 623424.81732398
  23. volume_ema2 : 252366.46237372
  24. chop : 11.092
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.239
  28. ema21 : 161.95
  29. ema50 : 165.645
  30. ema100 : 169.166
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0166649
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0105641
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0223062
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0369867
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.280123
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.288449
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.201806
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.135207
  41. rsi : 0.463519
  42. adx : 0.513634
  43. kc_percentage : 0.648982
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0463571
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.316548
  46. volume_ema1 : 100360.16550592
  47. volume_ema2 : 146843.20817721
  48. chop : 35.5408
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.18
  52. ema21 : 160.156
  53. ema50 : 161.205
  54. ema100 : 163.779
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0107301
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00639548
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00650864
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00530868
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.184736
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0836305
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0176708
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0442143
  65. rsi : 0.674131
  66. adx : 0.289559
  67. kc_percentage : 1.23017
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0229317
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.443133
  70. volume_ema1 : 92002.071872614
  71. volume_ema2 : 63751.60857867
  72. chop : 30.0175
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85468.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00214217
  78. 5m_price: 
    85285.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.573314
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87106.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0188683
  83. 15m_price: 
    85463.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.0501
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89431.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0463633
  88. 1H_price: 
    85285.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.032688
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 10:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 14:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.3698311007571
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0737893927748
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9795029464514
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 02:15:00
                    [1] => 169.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
                    [1] => 166.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:30:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:15:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31901840490798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0671235508871
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4001793377314
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 07:55:00
                    [1] => 166.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 08:30:00
                    [1] => 170.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:10:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:35:00
                    [1] => 163.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:40:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:20:00
                    [1] => 156.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
                    [1] => 159.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:25:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31901840490798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0671235508871
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4001793377314
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.9169
3.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8437
2.40%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-01 07:55:00 166.23 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 08:30:00 170.09 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:10:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:35:00 163.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 10:40:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:00:00 159.66 ↑ High
2025-12-01 11:20:00 156.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:40:00 159.67 ↑ High
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:25:00 163 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.3569
8.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8437
2.40%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 19:45:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 168.99 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:30:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 02:15:00 169.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 07:45:00 166.23 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 09:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:30:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:15:00 163 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.07%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.3569
8.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8437
2.40%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 08:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 10:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 12:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 14:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 16:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 18:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
13:28:28		 01 Dec 2025
13:55:00		 26 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.91 164.3831 159.9637 2 132.48
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.91
  • Stop Loss: 164.3831
  • Take Profit: 159.9637

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 164.3831 - 162.91 = 1.4731

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.91 - 159.9637 = 2.9463

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.9463 / 1.4731 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
884.6993 100 5.4306 8.85
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4731

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4731 = 5.43

Taille de position USD = 5.43 x 162.91 = 884.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.43 avec un stoploss a 164.3831

Avec un position size USD de 884.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.43 x 1.4731 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.43 x 2.9463 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.43
  • Taille de position USD 884.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.81 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9146 % 101.15 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.9637
            [entry_price] => 162.91
            [stop_loss] => 164.53041
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.9637
            [entry_price] => 162.91
            [stop_loss] => 164.67772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.9637
            [entry_price] => 162.91
            [stop_loss] => 164.82503
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.9637
            [entry_price] => 162.91
            [stop_loss] => 165.11965
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.7
            [max_drawdown] => 7.6
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [high] => 170.51000000
            [low] => 161.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 4.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T13:28:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T15:28:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.7
            [max_drawdown] => 12.64
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 175.55000000
            [low] => 161.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 7.76
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T13:28:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T20:28:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 168.91000000
            [high_after] => 175.55000000
            [low_before] => 156.12000000
            [low_after] => 161.21000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)