Short Trade on MERL

The 02 Dec 2025 at 10:07:06

With 1772.8249 MERL at 0.339$ per unit.

Position size of 600.9876 $

Take profit at 0.33 (2.65 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3435 (1.33 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.98
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.090617

15m : 0.011423

1H : 0.172759

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.003008381296
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.338874
  4. ema21 - 0.352828
  5. ema50 - 0.358303
  6. ema100 - 0.353519
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00036947
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0395482
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0152811
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0410712
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.2329
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.805212
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.312034
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.1112
  17. rsi - 0.4272
  18. adx - 0.220139
  19. kc_percentage - 0.292557
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.186315
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.75486
  22. volume_ema1 - 282342.12184756
  23. volume_ema2 - 1151760.9511511
  24. chop - 55.5116
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.332522
  29. ema21 - 0.332879
  30. ema50 - 0.344557
  31. ema100 - 0.356641
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.01948
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00107171
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0338945
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.049465
  36. all_emas_in_trend - True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.0685465
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.0789602
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.200674
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.16228
  42. rsi - 0.553676
  43. adx - 0.193994
  44. kc_percentage - 0.794101
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.063628
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.608519
  47. volume_ema1 - 81850.06898465
  48. volume_ema2 - 209078.50017998
  49. chop - 57.7684
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.334085
  54. ema21 - 0.332162
  55. ema50 - 0.331266
  56. ema100 - 0.331723
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0147113
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00578761
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00270544
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.0219358
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.0607736
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.0538423
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.0218605
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.00530472
  67. rsi - 0.680456
  68. adx - 0.236002
  69. kc_percentage - 1.05738
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0356298
  71. volume_ema_diff - 0.128629
  72. volume_ema1 - 32604.343430566
  73. volume_ema2 - 28888.449912226
  74. chop - 47.7704
  75. regime - bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 87547.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0269096
  81. 5m_price: 89903.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.090617
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 86821.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0355035
  86. 15m_price: 89903.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.011423
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 88664.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.0139765
  91. 1H_price: 89903.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.172759
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
10:07:06
02 Dec 2025
10:30:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.339 0.3435 0.33 2 0.4741
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.339
  • Stop Loss: 0.3435
  • Take Profit: 0.33

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3435 - 0.339 = 0.0045

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.339 - 0.33 = 0.009

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0045 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
600.9876 100 1772.8249 6.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0045

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0045 = 1777.78

Taille de position USD = 1777.78 x 0.339 = 602.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.3435

Avec un position size USD de 602.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0045 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.009 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1777.78
  • Taille de position USD 602.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.65 % 15.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.33 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -1.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6224 % 122.22 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.33
            [entry_price] => 0.339
            [stop_loss] => 0.34395
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.33
            [entry_price] => 0.339
            [stop_loss] => 0.3444
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.33
            [entry_price] => 0.339
            [stop_loss] => 0.34485
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.33
            [entry_price] => 0.339
            [stop_loss] => 0.34575
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.009
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0108
            [rr_ratio] => 0.83
            [high] => 0.34980000
            [low] => 0.33000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.65
            [mae_pct] => 3.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:07:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T12:07:06-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0238
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0108
            [rr_ratio] => 2.2
            [high] => 0.34980000
            [low] => 0.31520000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.02
            [mae_pct] => 3.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:07:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T17:07:06-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34140000
            [high_after] => 0.34980000
            [low_before] => 0.32020000
            [low_after] => 0.31520000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)