Short Trade on MERL

The 02 Dec 2025 at 10:25:59

With 1743.2331 MERL at 0.3414$ per unit.

Position size of 595.1398 $

Take profit at 0.3322 (2.69 %) and Stop Loss at 0.346 (1.35 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.96
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.89
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.103917

15m : 0.024783

1H : 0.048565

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.003059449363
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.339354
  4. ema21 - 0.353046
  5. ema50 - 0.358397
  6. ema100 - 0.353567
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00602674
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0387822
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0149309
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0344121
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.22284
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.800557
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.309927
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.110095
  17. rsi - 0.437988
  18. adx - 0.217775
  19. kc_percentage - 0.330794
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.189223
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.71813
  22. volume_ema1 - 326097.15308756
  23. volume_ema2 - 1156908.6018852
  24. chop - 55.5457
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.333841
  29. ema21 - 0.333435
  30. ema50 - 0.344354
  31. ema100 - 0.356412
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0226395
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00121839
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0317069
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0421203
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.11064
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.0473159
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.183502
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.155149
  42. rsi - 0.565438
  43. adx - 0.192312
  44. kc_percentage - 0.877
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0632368
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.602604
  47. volume_ema1 - 81606.073304211
  48. volume_ema2 - 205352.31060933
  49. chop - 52.4285
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.337849
  54. ema21 - 0.33473
  55. ema50 - 0.332728
  56. ema100 - 0.333502
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0105092
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00931784
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00601678
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.0236811
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.174266
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.116009
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.0530506
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0160963
  67. rsi - 0.704623
  68. adx - 0.320017
  69. kc_percentage - 1.03072
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0358311
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.245622
  72. volume_ema1 - 22222.13277184
  73. volume_ema2 - 29457.595751
  74. chop - 43.9256
  75. regime - bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 87751.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0311688
  81. 5m_price: 90487
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.103917
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 86881.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0421932
  86. 15m_price: 90547.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.024783
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 88676.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.0204211
  91. 1H_price: 90487
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.048565
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
10:25:59
02 Dec 2025
10:30:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3414 0.346 0.3322 2 0.4741
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3414
  • Stop Loss: 0.346
  • Take Profit: 0.3322

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.346 - 0.3414 = 0.0046

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3414 - 0.3322 = 0.0092

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0092 / 0.0046 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
595.1398 100 1743.2331 5.95
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0046

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0046 = 1739.13

Taille de position USD = 1739.13 x 0.3414 = 593.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 1739.13 avec un stoploss a 0.346

Avec un position size USD de 593.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1739.13 x 0.0046 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1739.13 x 0.0092 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1739.13
  • Taille de position USD 593.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.69 % 16.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.35 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -1.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4605 % 182.61 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3322
            [entry_price] => 0.3414
            [stop_loss] => 0.34646
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3322
            [entry_price] => 0.3414
            [stop_loss] => 0.34692
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3322
            [entry_price] => 0.3414
            [stop_loss] => 0.34738
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3322
            [entry_price] => 0.3414
            [stop_loss] => 0.3483
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0114
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0084
            [rr_ratio] => 1.36
            [high] => 0.34980000
            [low] => 0.33000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.34
            [mae_pct] => 2.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:25:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T12:25:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0262
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0084
            [rr_ratio] => 3.12
            [high] => 0.34980000
            [low] => 0.31520000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.67
            [mae_pct] => 2.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.12
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:25:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T17:25:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34320000
            [high_after] => 0.34980000
            [low_before] => 0.32020000
            [low_after] => 0.31520000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)