Short Trade on MERL

The 02 Dec 2025 at 10:46:32

With 1513.8573 MERL at 0.349$ per unit.

Position size of 528.3362 $

Take profit at 0.3384 (3.04 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3543 (1.52 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.85
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.076945

15m : 0.169853

1H : -0.129659

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.003523009298
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.340874
  4. ema21 - 0.353737
  5. ema50 - 0.358695
  6. ema100 - 0.353717
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0238363
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0363626
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0138232
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0133369
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.191
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.785815
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.303255
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.106594
  17. rsi - 0.469622
  18. adx - 0.21345
  19. kc_percentage - 0.439913
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.193355
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.665513
  22. volume_ema1 - 389463.4243909
  23. volume_ema2 - 1164363.4573327
  24. chop - 55.6139
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.339436
  29. ema21 - 0.336227
  30. ema50 - 0.344708
  31. ema100 - 0.355791
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0281747
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00954352
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0246035
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0190874
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.301952
  39. ema_slope_21 - 0.0706775
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.123173
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.124621
  42. rsi - 0.648055
  43. adx - 0.20702
  44. kc_percentage - 1.08797
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0623291
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.586786
  47. volume_ema1 - 81543.713395205
  48. volume_ema2 - 197340.55458279
  49. chop - 39.6456
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.344064
  54. ema21 - 0.339049
  55. ema50 - 0.33504
  56. ema100 - 0.334655
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0143432
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.014793
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0119667
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.0428631
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.325267
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.216485
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.109341
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0479717
  67. rsi - 0.792505
  68. adx - 0.415762
  69. kc_percentage - 1.16208
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0417869
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.0500605
  72. volume_ema1 - 30225.121300775
  73. volume_ema2 - 31817.943987046
  74. chop - 29.7018
  75. regime - bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 87946.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0313034
  81. 5m_price: 90700
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.076945
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 86957.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0430395
  86. 15m_price: 90700
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.169853
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 88680.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.0227745
  91. 1H_price: 90700
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.129659
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
10:46:32
02 Dec 2025
11:05:00
18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.349 0.3543 0.3384 2 0.4741
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.349
  • Stop Loss: 0.3543
  • Take Profit: 0.3384

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3543 - 0.349 = 0.0053

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.349 - 0.3384 = 0.0106

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0106 / 0.0053 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
528.3362 100 1513.8573 5.28
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0053

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0053 = 1509.43

Taille de position USD = 1509.43 x 0.349 = 526.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 1509.43 avec un stoploss a 0.3543

Avec un position size USD de 526.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0053 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0106 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1509.43
  • Taille de position USD 526.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.04 % 16.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.52 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
16.05 $ 3.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3384
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 11:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.33575
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 11:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3331
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 11:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.33045
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 12:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3278
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 13:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.32515
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 13:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3225
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.31985
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3172
            [stop_loss] => 0.3543
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.019
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.34630000
            [low] => 0.33000000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.44
            [mae_pct] => -0.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:46:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T12:46:32-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0338
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.34630000
            [low] => 0.31520000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.68
            [mae_pct] => -0.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:46:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T17:46:32-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34980000
            [high_after] => 0.34630000
            [low_before] => 0.32060000
            [low_after] => 0.31520000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)