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Short Trade on MERL

Short Trade on MERL

The 02 Dec 2025 at 10:37:53

With 1481.9049 MERL at 0.345$ per unit.

Position size of 511.2572 $

Take profit at 0.3342 (3.13 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3504 (1.57 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 110
ML Pullback Score: 7.9
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.071502

15m : 0.015962

1H : -0.048625

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.003598971464
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.340074
  4. ema21 - 0.353374
  5. ema50 - 0.358539
  6. ema100 - 0.353638
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0144827
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0376349
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.014406
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0244269
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.20776
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.793574
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.306767
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.108437
  17. rsi - 0.45343
  18. adx - 0.21345
  19. kc_percentage - 0.386283
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.195597
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.680569
  22. volume_ema1 - 371248.76548423
  23. volume_ema2 - 1162220.5562848
  24. chop - 55.6139
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.336985
  28. ema21 - 0.334923
  29. ema50 - 0.344592
  30. ema100 - 0.356433
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0237827
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00615699
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0280587
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0320767
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.219579
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0157679
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.152831
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.141348
  41. rsi - 0.638228
  42. adx - 0.201336
  43. kc_percentage - 0.933311
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0679953
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.524937
  46. volume_ema1 - 96957.422736141
  47. volume_ema2 - 204094.08718469
  48. chop - 39.8614
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.340974
  52. ema21 - 0.336804
  53. ema50 - 0.333819
  54. ema100 - 0.334116
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0118071
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0123801
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00894291
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0325752
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.261011
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.168318
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0809007
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0311121
  65. rsi - 0.69688
  66. adx - 0.374284
  67. kc_percentage - 1.02458
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0439703
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.257831
  70. volume_ema1 - 40220.41146341
  71. volume_ema2 - 31976.002711421
  72. chop - 28.802
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87833
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0261778
  78. 5m_price: 90132.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.071502
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 86938.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0359342
  83. 15m_price: 90062.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.015962
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 88669.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.0165017
  88. 1H_price: 90132.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.048625
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
10:37:53		 02 Dec 2025
11:25:00		 47 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.345 0.3504 0.3342 2 0.4736
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.345
  • Stop Loss: 0.3504
  • Take Profit: 0.3342

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3504 - 0.345 = 0.0054

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.345 - 0.3342 = 0.0108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0108 / 0.0054 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
511.2572 100 1481.9049 5.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0054

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0054 = 1481.48

Taille de position USD = 1481.48 x 0.345 = 511.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 1481.48 avec un stoploss a 0.3504

Avec un position size USD de 511.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1481.48 x 0.0054 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1481.48 x 0.0108 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1481.48
  • Taille de position USD 511.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.13 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.57 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 3.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3333 % 85.18 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3342
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 11:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3315
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 12:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3288
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 13:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3261
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 13:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3234
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3207
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.318
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3153
            [stop_loss] => 0.3504
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 15:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.015
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0046
            [rr_ratio] => 3.26
            [high] => 0.34960000
            [low] => 0.33000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.35
            [mae_pct] => 1.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:37:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T12:37:53-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0298
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0046
            [rr_ratio] => 6.48
            [high] => 0.34960000
            [low] => 0.31520000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.64
            [mae_pct] => 1.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.48
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:37:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T17:37:53-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34980000
            [high_after] => 0.34960000
            [low_before] => 0.32020000
            [low_after] => 0.31520000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)