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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 21:19:45

With 260.5102 AVAX at 13.181$ per unit.

Position size of 3433.7843 $

Take profit at 13.1196 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2117 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.693672

15m : -0.043798

1H : -0.039844

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.0204726507
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.1399
  4. ema21 - 13.231
  5. ema50 - 13.4146
  6. ema100 - 13.5742
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00312422
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00688246
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0136924
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.028967
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.26601
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.194066
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.129682
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0838487
  17. rsi - 0.45
  18. adx - 0.209898
  19. kc_percentage - 0.41494
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0380267
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.631742
  22. volume_ema1 - 232173.19103199
  23. volume_ema2 - 630464.97664802
  24. chop - 37.608
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.1383
  28. ema21 - 13.1256
  29. ema50 - 13.1756
  30. ema100 - 13.2801
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00324932
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000966054
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00379515
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00746394
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0181113
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0115929
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.01707
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0253169
  41. rsi - 0.57346
  42. adx - 0.130267
  43. kc_percentage - 0.842289
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0122474
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.501425
  46. volume_ema1 - 52796.894104703
  47. volume_ema2 - 105895.69798702
  48. chop - 75.6913
  49. regime - range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.1445
  52. ema21 - 13.1332
  53. ema50 - 13.1212
  54. ema100 - 13.1
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0027748
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000856173
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.000918426
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00617905
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0123
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.00509142
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.00472739
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00552288
  65. rsi - 0.665856
  66. adx - 0.192649
  67. kc_percentage - 1.06406
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00635176
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.266705
  70. volume_ema1 - 16355.038460805
  71. volume_ema2 - 22303.508095482
  72. chop - 35.8483
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90232.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000302032
  78. 5m_price: 90259.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.693672
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91041.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00859052
  83. 15m_price: 90259.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.043798
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91189.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0101974
  88. 1H_price: 90259.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.039844
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
21:19:45		 12 Dec 2025
22:15:00		 55 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.181 13.2117 13.1196 2 12.235
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.181
  • Stop Loss: 13.2117
  • Take Profit: 13.1196

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2117 - 13.181 = 0.030700000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.181 - 13.1196 = 0.061399999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.061399999999999 / 0.030700000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3433.7843 100 260.5102 34.34
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.030700000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.030700000000001 = 260.59

Taille de position USD = 260.59 x 13.181 = 3434.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 260.59 avec un stoploss a 13.2117

Avec un position size USD de 3434.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 260.59 x 0.030700000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 260.59 x 0.061399999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 260.59
  • Taille de position USD 3434.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4476 % 192.19 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1196
            [entry_price] => 13.181
            [stop_loss] => 13.21477
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1196
            [entry_price] => 13.181
            [stop_loss] => 13.21784
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1196
            [entry_price] => 13.181
            [stop_loss] => 13.22091
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1196
            [entry_price] => 13.181
            [stop_loss] => 13.22705
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.014999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.06
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 13.24100000
            [low] => 13.16600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.11
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T21:19:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T23:19:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.014999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.272
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 13.45300000
            [low] => 13.16600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.11
            [mae_pct] => 2.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T21:19:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T04:19:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.18600000
            [high_after] => 13.44800000
            [low_before] => 13.08500000
            [low_after] => 13.16600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)