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Short Trade on AAVE

Short Trade on AAVE

The 12 Dec 2025 at 21:28:52

With 13.4324 AAVE at 194.51$ per unit.

Position size of 2612.7456 $

Take profit at 193.3189 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 195.1056 (0.31 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 2.91
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.521365

15m : 0.06074

1H : -0.031774

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.3970484796
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 193.498
  4. ema21 - 195.446
  5. ema50 - 196.429
  6. ema100 - 195.858
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00522707
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00996512
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00500744
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.00688455
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.437104
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.275965
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.110182
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0430877
  17. rsi - 0.458731
  18. adx - 0.329532
  19. kc_percentage - 0.415215
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0499912
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.699342
  22. volume_ema1 - 282674.05320096
  23. volume_ema2 - 940186.51929039
  24. chop - 36
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 193.531
  28. ema21 - 193.028
  29. ema50 - 194.402
  30. ema100 - 197.156
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00505607
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00260741
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00707181
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0134221
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0736005
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0342818
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0301991
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0451126
  41. rsi - 0.579188
  42. adx - 0.199586
  43. kc_percentage - 0.94457
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0170769
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.678877
  46. volume_ema1 - 55510.174942496
  47. volume_ema2 - 172863.13037434
  48. chop - 54.2814
  49. regime - bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 194.043
  52. ema21 - 193.664
  53. ema50 - 193.028
  54. ema100 - 192.642
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00240422
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00195885
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00329032
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00969353
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0151157
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.022594
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0215389
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0137353
  65. rsi - 0.675903
  66. adx - 0.348759
  67. kc_percentage - 1.01734
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00811712
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.213878
  70. volume_ema1 - 18121.924646803
  71. volume_ema2 - 23052.322759276
  72. chop - 43.7517
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90256.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -1.49203E-5
  78. 5m_price: 90255
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.521365
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91041.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00859052
  83. 15m_price: 90259.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.06074
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91189.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0102458
  88. 1H_price: 90255
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.031774
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
21:28:52		 12 Dec 2025
22:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.51 195.1056 193.3189 2 188.69
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.51
  • Stop Loss: 195.1056
  • Take Profit: 193.3189

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.1056 - 194.51 = 0.59560000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.51 - 193.3189 = 1.1911

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1911 / 0.59560000000002 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2612.7456 100 13.4324 26.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.59560000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.59560000000002 = 13.43

Taille de position USD = 13.43 x 194.51 = 2612.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.43 avec un stoploss a 195.1056

Avec un position size USD de 2612.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.43 x 0.59560000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.43 x 1.1911 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.43
  • Taille de position USD 2612.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.61 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1594 % 52.06 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.3188
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.021
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.7232
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4254
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.1276
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.8298
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.532
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.2342
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.9364
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.6386
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.3408
            [stop_loss] => 195.1056
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.21
            [max_drawdown] => 0.35000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 3.46
            [high] => 194.86000000
            [low] => 193.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.46
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T21:28:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T23:28:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.3
            [max_drawdown] => 5.64
            [rr_ratio] => 0.23
            [high] => 200.15000000
            [low] => 193.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.67
            [mae_pct] => 2.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T21:28:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T04:28:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.58000000
            [high_after] => 199.22000000
            [low_before] => 191.16000000
            [low_after] => 193.21000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)